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University of Massachusetts Amherst

Environmental Engineering

Uncertainty

Theses/Dissertations

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Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Predictive Modeling Of Riverine Constituent Concentrations And Loads Using Historic And Imposed Hydrologic Conditions, Mark Hagemann Nov 2016

Predictive Modeling Of Riverine Constituent Concentrations And Loads Using Historic And Imposed Hydrologic Conditions, Mark Hagemann

Doctoral Dissertations

This research was principally concerned with the task of quantifying dissolved and suspended constituents carried in river water when direct measurements are not available. This is a question of scientific and societal relevance, and one with a long history of study and a great deal of remaining difficulty. The traditional approach to estimating these quantities, linear regression models (LMs), suffers from poor flexibility and high subsequent bias in many applications. This research applied semiparametric generalized additive models (GAMs), a more flexible class of regression models, evaluated their performance in various locations and conditions, and applied them in a proactive modeling …