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Portland State University

Theses/Dissertations

2013

Machine learning -- Mathematical models

Other Electrical and Computer Engineering

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A Survey Of Systems For Predicting Stock Market Movements, Combining Market Indicators And Machine Learning Classifiers, Jeffrey Allan Caley Mar 2013

A Survey Of Systems For Predicting Stock Market Movements, Combining Market Indicators And Machine Learning Classifiers, Jeffrey Allan Caley

Dissertations and Theses

In this work, we propose and investigate a series of methods to predict stock market movements. These methods use stock market technical and macroeconomic indicators as inputs into different machine learning classifiers. The objective is to survey existing domain knowledge, and combine multiple techniques into one method to predict daily market movements for stocks. Approaches using nearest neighbor classification, support vector machine classification, K-means classification, principal component analysis and genetic algorithms for feature reduction and redefining the classification rule were explored. Ten stocks, 9 companies and 1 index, were used to evaluate each iteration of the trading method. The classification …