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Artificial Intelligence and Robotics

Journal of System Simulation

Uncertainty

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Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Optimal Scheduling Strategy Of Virtual Power Plant With Carbon Emission And Carbon Penalty Considering Uncertainty Of Wind Power And Photovoltaic Power, Jijun Shui, Daogang Peng, Yankan Song, Qiang Zhou Feb 2024

Optimal Scheduling Strategy Of Virtual Power Plant With Carbon Emission And Carbon Penalty Considering Uncertainty Of Wind Power And Photovoltaic Power, Jijun Shui, Daogang Peng, Yankan Song, Qiang Zhou

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To better meet the development needs of China's new power system, an optimal scheduling strategy of virtual power plant(VPP) with carbon emission and carbon penalty considering the uncertainty of wind power and photovoltaic power is proposed. The mathematical description of photovoltaic(PV), wind turbine(WT), combined heat and power(CHP) unit and energy storage system (ESS) is carried out, and a wind-solar output model considering the uncertainty is established. The scenario generation and reduction method is used to generate the typical scenario. To maximize the overall operation benefit of VPP, considering carbon emission cost and carbon penalty, an optimal scheduling model of …


Research On Period Emergency Supply Distribution Optimization Under Uncertainty, Li Zhang, Mingling He, Qiushuang Yin, Ning Li, Le'an Yu Aug 2023

Research On Period Emergency Supply Distribution Optimization Under Uncertainty, Li Zhang, Mingling He, Qiushuang Yin, Ning Li, Le'an Yu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the uncertainty and multi-periodicity of emergency supply distribution, a novel period vehicle routing problem(PVRP) multi-objective optimization model is built and a three-step optimization method is proposed. A triangular fuzzy number is used to eliminate the uncertainty. An AHP approach is used to transform the multi-objective function into the single objective function. An improved ACO algorithm is proposed to solve the single objective optimization problem. By classical data set, the time effectiveness of proposed method on emergency supply distribution problem is verified. The computational advantage in convergence speed is proved by the comparative analysis of the proposed …


Uncertainty Simulation Method Based On Deep Bayesian Networks Learning, Nie Kai, Kejun Zeng, Qinghai Meng Jan 2022

Uncertainty Simulation Method Based On Deep Bayesian Networks Learning, Nie Kai, Kejun Zeng, Qinghai Meng

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: There are lots of uncertain elements in battlefields situation assessment and the uncertainty simulation would enhance the ability of situation assessment. A deep variational autoencoder bayesian networks (BN) model with memory module is proposed aiming at the problem of being unable to represent the uncertainties exactly caused by the various combat objects and more uncertain elements. Based on the deep BN learning, the situation assessment model is designed from the deep generative model. The principle of deep generative model mixing with the memory module is discussed and the leaning and reasoning process of the model is explained. The proposed …


Active Learning Intelligent Soft Sensor Based On Probability Selection, Xuezhi Dai, Weili Xiong Jun 2021

Active Learning Intelligent Soft Sensor Based On Probability Selection, Xuezhi Dai, Weili Xiong

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at lack of tag samples and high cost of sampling tags in complex industrial processes, an active learning algorithm based on probability selection is proposed. Firstly, unlabeled samples are performed subspace integration by using the principal component analysis. Then, the information of unlabeled samples is evaluated by the uncertainty, which is calculated based on the out put of all sub learners. And the most valuable samples are selected to mark manually. Finally, the function of unlabeled samples and labeled samples are analyzed, and the termination conditions are designed by introducing the performance index of training set. Through simulations …


Color Face Image Recognition Based On Lbpt Method, Jihua Ye, Yahui Chen, Shimin Wang Jul 2020

Color Face Image Recognition Based On Lbpt Method, Jihua Ye, Yahui Chen, Shimin Wang

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming to the shortcomings of exiting algorithm to obtain better color face image information for color facial image recognition, the LBPT algorithm was proposed to realize the high efficiency recognition of color face image. LBPT algorithm reflected the texture features of gray image through adaptively obtaining neighborhood radius, ascertaining the relationship between neighborhood radius and neighborhood pixel number, setting threshold. The RGB color model was used to separate the color face image into the R,G,B three component diagrams. The LBPT algorithm was used to obtain the feature of the component diagrams. In order to realize further recognition, the method …


Gcps Adaptive Scheduling Model Based On Cooperative Executor, Zhang Jing, Chen Yao, Sun Jun, Hongbo Fan Dec 2019

Gcps Adaptive Scheduling Model Based On Cooperative Executor, Zhang Jing, Chen Yao, Sun Jun, Hongbo Fan

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the problem that the uncertainty of grid cyber physical systems leads to chain failure, an adaptive GCPS dispatching model based on co-actuator is established. First, the constraint conditions of the system are analyzed. A model constraints of GCPS system is presented to describe the constraint conditions of the power system, and it is proved that it meets the consistency of the measure and representing methods. Second, the optimal value of approximation error is solved by PILOT, and the framework of CA-SADM is described. Finally, the performance index, output power accuracy and the influence of fault on the …


Method Of Power System Energy Storage Configuration Based On Flexibility Promotion, Weiqing Sun, Li Zhen, Yiming Tan, Fenglei Lü, Wenping Qiu, Hongzhong Li Jan 2019

Method Of Power System Energy Storage Configuration Based On Flexibility Promotion, Weiqing Sun, Li Zhen, Yiming Tan, Fenglei Lü, Wenping Qiu, Hongzhong Li

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To solve the problem of renewable energy access and aiming at system’s response capability to short-term uncertainty, power system flexibility and its evaluation index are defined. A method of energy storage configuration based on flexibility evaluation is proposed. The uncertainty from power supply is analyzed. Aiming at the uncertainty of renewable energy, a source flexibility evaluation index is defined. The principle and method of energy storage configuration are presented from the aspect of siting and sizing. The energy storage configuration model is created and solved considering both the system flexibility requirements and energy storage costs based on the …