Business Commons^™

Relationship Between Inflation And Unemployment: The Case Study Of Former Yugoslav Countries, Florin Aliu, Albulena Jahja, Ermal Lubishtani

UBT International Conference

Unemployment remains a constant concern for national governments and often causes social unrest. This study addresses the relationship between inflation and unemployment known as Phillips Curve, for the seven countries that emerged from former Yugoslavia. This phenomenon is investigated with annual data covering the period from 2003 to 2020. According to the OLS outcomes, there is a negative tradeoff within unemployment and inflation for Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, which stands in line with the Phillips curve paradigm. In the case of Kosovo, North Macedonia, Serbia, and Bosnia, OLS findings indicate a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment. VAR results show …

Phillips Curve In Self-Management Socialism Of Yugoslavia, Florin Aliu, Isa Mulaj, Ruzhdi Matoshi

UBT International Conference

Inflation and unemployment were two of the main issues that plagued the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY) from 1965 to her disintegration. Economic history has taught us that uncontrolled inflation is a characteristic of the countries with a lack of democracy, but SFRY was more economically liberal and decentralized than any other communist country. Using the World Bank annual data from 1965 to 1990 for unemployment and inflation, the OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) findings demonstrate that unemployment is significant and positively affects the inflation rate, which stands against the theoretical paradigms known as the Phillips curve. The impulse response …

Impact Of Macroeconomic Indicators On Non-Performing Loans In The Balkan Countries, Agnesa Krasniqi

UBT International Conference

Non-performing loans can be the result of a lack of sound lending policies, as well as a lack of sound credit judgment by management when approving loans. In addition to the bank's internal factors, the macroeconomic environment of a country can also affect the NPL. The NPL can be affected by the GDP of that country, then unemployment, inflation, etc. The purpose of this research is to extract the impact of macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, unemployment and inflation on non-performing loans of each country in the Balkan Peninsula.

The research was conducted through multivariate regression, whereas dependent variable we …

Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors On Non- Performing Loans (Npl) In The Banking Sector In Kosovo, Enver Daci

UBT International Conference

Over the last few years, more precisely, since the end of the global financial crisis, academic circles have increased their interest in the NLP and the empirical bibliography provides valuable information on the factors that influence them. According to studies conducted on non-performing loans, various analysts have tried to correlate the level of non-performing loans directly to two categories of factors: (1) macroeconomic factors and (2) banking or banking specific factors.

Consequences in the banking industry as a result of non-performing loans may be large if no preventive steps are taken. Non-performing loans negatively affect the performance and stability of …

The Impact Of Budget Deficit On Inflation An Econometric Approach For The Period 1994 – 2012, Ardit Gjeçi, Juljan Hysa

UBT International Conference

The aim of research is to define and explain a relation between macroeconomic indicators such as the budget deficit and inflation. Under consideration is taken the period between 1994 – 2012, a period which has had an intensity and greater attention by the internationals in terms of performance of the economy. The paper studies these indicators mainly through econometric model, by considering indicators a function of each other. Main hypothesis of this research is: “If we increase the budget deficit and money supply, the rate of inflation is expected to increase." Based on the inflation model only in relation with …

Inflation Targeting And Its Effects On The Inflation: Albanian Case, Oltjana Zoto, Arbri Agalliu

UBT International Conference

Transformation from a centrally planned economy to a market economy was accompanied by a number of reforms such as the efforts to fully liberalize prices and the creation of a two-level banking system. To achieve this goal there was the need to include the monetary policy as one of the main macroeconomic policies. The law on “the Bank of Albania” defined the competence of BoA to draft and implement the monetary policy by keeping the price stability as principal goal. There are several monetary policies strategies or regimen to achieve the prices stability such as: targeting of the monetary mass, …