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A Possibilistic Linear Programming Method For Asset Allocation, Lijia Guo, Zhen Huang

Journal of Actuarial Practice (1993-2006)

The mean-variance method has been one of the popular methods used by most financial institutions in making the decision of asset allocation since the 1950s. This paper presents an alternative method for asset allocation. Instead of minimizing risk for a given expected return or maximizing expected return for a fixed level of risk, our approach considers simultaneously maximizing the rate of return of portfolio, minimizing the risk of obtaining lower return, and maximizing the possibility of reaching higher return. By using a triangular possibilistic distribution to describe the uncertainty of the return, we introduce a possibilistic linear programming model which …