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Predictive Power Of Criminal Background On Losses, Krista Malmquist Whipple

Doctoral Dissertations and Projects

Product and data science teams for the auto insurance industry have been trying to increase pricing segmentation with validated rating variables to decrease rate subsidization. The criminal background data availability provided a new behavior variable to test against insurance-based credit scores as a potential predictive variable in the generalized linear rating model. Criminal background was analyzed using a Poisson Log Linear model and other key insurance rating variables for predicting loss costs. The study supported the inclusion of the criminal background data in combination with insurance-based credit score as the variable’s addition could improve the overall fit of the predictive …