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Understanding Volatility: An Analysis Of The Stock Market Return-Variance Correlation, Richard Traub
Understanding Volatility: An Analysis Of The Stock Market Return-Variance Correlation, Richard Traub
Honors Scholar Theses
This paper attempts to explain the negative correlation between stock market returns in the United States (measured by the risk premium of the S&P 500 Index) and the respective volatility of these returns. The academic research regarding two primary schools of thought on this issue, the volatility feedback effect and the leverage effect, is furthered as potential explanations for this phenomenon. A tertiary explanation relating to investor behavior is also explored as a viable cause. In order to empirically study this relationship, I examine the risk premium quintiles and the corresponding CBOE Volatility Index levels for the time-series dating from …