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Quantitative Hedge Fund Selection, Melvyn Teo
Quantitative Hedge Fund Selection, Melvyn Teo
Research Collection BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Centre
Prior research has shown that small funds, young funds, and local funds outperform their older, larger, and distant counterparts. According to the literature, hedge fund performance is driven by fund capacity constraints, managerial incentives, and local information. I revisit these studies on hedge funds and test whether their results hold up in recent data. By doing so, I lay the foundations for a quantitative hedge fund selection framework.
Hedge Funds And Analyst Optimism, Melvyn Teo
Hedge Funds And Analyst Optimism, Melvyn Teo
Research Collection BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Centre
We find that analysts are more likely to issue favorable recommendations for stocks predominantly owned hedge funds. Moreover, these optimistic recommendations translate into poorer stock performance over the next three to six months. Hedge funds take advantage of these flattering reports by concurrently offloading their stock holdings. Our results suggest that analysts are reluctant to downgrade stocks held by their most important clients.
The Long And Short Of It: Evidence Of Year-End Price Manipulation By Short Sellers, Jesse Blocher, Joseph Engelberg, Adam V. Reed
The Long And Short Of It: Evidence Of Year-End Price Manipulation By Short Sellers, Jesse Blocher, Joseph Engelberg, Adam V. Reed
Research Collection BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Centre
We identify a setting in which there is a predictable incentive for short sellers to manipulate prices, and we find patterns consistent with short sellers manipulating prices. Specifically, we find that stocks with high short interest experience abnormally low returns on the last trading day of the year. This effect is strongest among stocks that are easily manipulated and during the last hour of trading. Further, this effect reverses at the beginning of the year, consistent with the temporary nature of price manipulation. We show that hedge funds’ portfolios are closely related to market-wide short interest, suggesting that hedge funds, …
The Liquidity Risk Of Liquid Hedge Funds, Melvyn Teo
The Liquidity Risk Of Liquid Hedge Funds, Melvyn Teo
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
This paper evaluates hedge funds that grantfavorable redemption terms to investors. Within this group of purportedlyliquid funds, high net inflow funds subsequently outperform low net inflowfunds by 4.79% per year after adjusting for risk. The return impact of fundflows is stronger when funds embrace liquidity risk, when market liquidity islow, and when funding liquidity, as measured by the Treasury-Eurodollar spread,aggregate hedge fund flows, and prime broker stock returns, is tight. Inkeeping with an agency explanation, funds with strong incentives to raisecapital, low manager option deltas, and no manager capital co-invested are morelikely to take on excessive liquidity risk. These results …
Weathering The Storm: Asian Hedge Funds, Melvyn Teo
Weathering The Storm: Asian Hedge Funds, Melvyn Teo
Research Collection BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Centre
How has the financial crisis shaped the hedge fund industry in Asia? We survey the style, investment region, and assets under management landscape of Asia-based hedge funds before and after the recent economic downturn. Our findings suggest that during the early part of the crisis in 2007, macro and fixed income funds based in Australia were especially vulnerable. When Asian financial markets succumbed in 2008 and 2009, hedge fund exits ramped up in Singapore and Hong Kong, particularly amongst event driven and Japan-focused funds. Small funds were most susceptible to closure during the liquidity crunch. Conversely, CTAs and Greater China-focused …
Hedge Fund Contagion, Melvyn Teo
Hedge Fund Contagion, Melvyn Teo
Research Collection BNP Paribas Hedge Fund Centre
Why do correlations all go to one when economic conditions turn bad? We review the latest research on funding liquidity (the ease with which hedge funds obtain capital) and discuss its implications on the asset liquidity and valuations of securities held by funds, on subsequent fund performance, and on contagion across hedge fund investment styles.