Construction Engineering Commons^™

The Risks Of Unbalanced Bidding, David William Cattell, Paul Anthony Bowen, Ammar P. Kaka

David Cattell

Unbalanced bidding models have largely ignored the risk aspect of item pricing. Many researchers have acknowledged that there are considerable risks associated with unbalancing a bid but little has been done to describe these risks, let alone model them. A new framework is proposed by which all of these risks can be assessed. It identifies that these risks comprise the risk of rejection, the risk of reaction, and the risk of being wrong. It is further proposed that the value-at-risk ('VaR') method of measuring risk is a convenient way by which to combine all of these risks into one composite …