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Environmental Design

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Chulalongkorn University

NAKHARA (Journal of Environmental Design and Planning)

2018

A forecasting modelJEL: C54

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A Low Income Housing Needs And Affordability For Thailand's Strategic National Plan During 2017-2037, Chaweewan Denpaiboon, Kitti Limskul, Sarich Chotipanich Dec 2018

A Low Income Housing Needs And Affordability For Thailand's Strategic National Plan During 2017-2037, Chaweewan Denpaiboon, Kitti Limskul, Sarich Chotipanich

NAKHARA (Journal of Environmental Design and Planning)

This paper has developed a model to forecast the housing needs and affordability of the low-incomehouseholds in Thailand 2018-2037. The model has applied the baseline data from the Socioeconomicsurvey (SES 2015). Considering official population projections by the changing age structure and household formations based on income, forecasts can be made about housing needed by 'Renters', who are the target group of the low-income households. Given, heuristic scenarios on households' income growth over time, an initial planning model for affordable units of housing by types for renters has been proposed. Effective government policy to mobilize social resource for this low-income household …