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Data Snapshot: U.S. Population Growth Continues To Slow Due To Fewer Births And More Deaths, Kenneth M. Johnson
Data Snapshot: U.S. Population Growth Continues To Slow Due To Fewer Births And More Deaths, Kenneth M. Johnson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
The U.S. population grew by just 2,020,000 or 0.62 percent between July 2017 and July 2018 according to recent Census Bureau estimates. This is the lowest population growth rate since 1937.
2020 Census Faces Challenges In Rural America, William P. O'Hare
2020 Census Faces Challenges In Rural America, William P. O'Hare
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Bill O’Hare discusses how the 2020 Census will have ramifications for every person in the United States, urban and rural residents alike. Outlining the special challenges that will make some rural areas and populations difficult to enumerate accurately, he identifies rural areas where special outreach and operations will be needed to get a complete and accurate count. He reports that though the rural population is generally easier to count than the urban population, several places and populations in rural areas will be difficult to enumerate accurately in the 2020 Census. They include: blacks in the rural …
Population, Greenspace, And Development:Conversion Patterns In The Great Lakes Region, Mark Ducey, Kenneth M. Johnson, Ethan P. Belair, Barbara D. Cook
Population, Greenspace, And Development:Conversion Patterns In The Great Lakes Region, Mark Ducey, Kenneth M. Johnson, Ethan P. Belair, Barbara D. Cook
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Mark Ducey, Kenneth Johnson, Ethan Belair, and Barbara Cook combine demographic, land-cover, and other spatial data to estimate the incidence and extent of conversion from greenspace (forestland, shrublands, and grasslands) to development in the Great Lakes states. They report that greenspace conversions to developed land are most common in areas where greenspace is already limited. Population density strongly influences the conversion of greenspace to development. Conversions are most likely to occur on the urban periphery and in high-amenity rural areas. This research contributes to a better understanding of the linkages between demographic and land-cover change and …
More Young Adult Migrants Moving To New Hampshire From Other U.S. Locations, Kenneth Johnson
More Young Adult Migrants Moving To New Hampshire From Other U.S. Locations, Kenneth Johnson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
New Hampshire received a significant net inflow of people from other U.S. states between 2013 and 2017 according to new Census Bureau estimates. The average annual domestic migration gain was 5,900 between 2013 and 2017. In contrast, only about 100 more people moved to New Hampshire than left it for other U.S. destinations annually during the Great Recession and its aftermath between 2008 and 2012
The Interaction Between The Minimum Wage And The Federal Eitc, Andrew Schaefer, Jessica Carson, Marybeth Mattingly, Andrew Wink
The Interaction Between The Minimum Wage And The Federal Eitc, Andrew Schaefer, Jessica Carson, Marybeth Mattingly, Andrew Wink
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this fact sheet, authors Andrew Schaefer, Jessica Carson, Marybeth Mattingly, and Andrew Wink examine the interaction between the minimum wage and the federal Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) to determine whether a minimum wage increase would produce gains in the sum of earnings plus EITC dollars for low-income workers. They report that for workers earning the minimum wage, an increase would result in higher income; none would experience a lower net income due to changes in the federal EITC credit (though this may be offset by loss of other safety net program benefits). For some family types, increased income …
Data Snapshot: Fewer Young Adults Lack Health Insurance Following Key Aca Provisions, Jessica Carson
Data Snapshot: Fewer Young Adults Lack Health Insurance Following Key Aca Provisions, Jessica Carson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
T he share of people without health insurance has dropped dramatically since the implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), but declines have been most dramatic among young adults age 19 to 25. In 2008, one-in-three 23-year-olds were uninsured, likely reflecting their graduation from college and therefore, their ineligibility to be covered on parental plans. Beginning in 2010, the ACA allowed young adults to remain on their parents’ plans until age 26; the orange line in Figure 1 reflects this shift, as 26-year-olds, rather than 23-year-olds, became the most often uninsured by 2013.
The Usda Summer Food Service Program In Coos County New Hampshire, Jean Bessette
The Usda Summer Food Service Program In Coos County New Hampshire, Jean Bessette
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this report, author Jean Bessette examines the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Summer Food Service Program (SFSP) operating in 2017 in four communities in Coös County, New Hampshire. She reports that the SFSP provides benefits to Coös County on multiple levels. For children, it ensures the availability of nutritious meals in the summer when school meal programs are not operating; for parents, it helps to alleviate pressure on food budgets; and for communities, it helps to ameliorate the impacts of poverty and lack of economic growth and development. Successful strategies to increase participation in summer food programs include providing …
Data Snapshot: Eitc Continues To Reach Families In Poor Places, Andrew Schaefer, Marybeth Mattingly, Kennedy Nickerson, Jessica Carson
Data Snapshot: Eitc Continues To Reach Families In Poor Places, Andrew Schaefer, Marybeth Mattingly, Kennedy Nickerson, Jessica Carson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
Recent proposals in the House and Senate focus on amplifying the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)—a refundable tax credit for low-income workers—to compensate for growing wage inequity. Authors Andrew Schaefer, Marybeth Mattingly, Kennedy Nickerson, and Jessica Carson find that the share of EITC filers who are families with children is especially high in the poorest counties, including many places throughout the South.
Data Snapshot: Ten Years After The Great Recession Began, U.S. Birth Rate Is At Record Low, Kenneth Johnson
Data Snapshot: Ten Years After The Great Recession Began, U.S. Birth Rate Is At Record Low, Kenneth Johnson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
Recent National Center for Health Statistics data show a record low birth rate in the United States, and no evidence of any upturn in these birth rates. Though other social and economic factors may also be influencing U.S. birth rates, the impact of the Great Recession persists. I estimate that in 2017, there were 700,000 fewer births in the United States than would have been expected had pre-recessionary birth rates continued among current women of childbearing age.
Data Snapshot: Declines In Child Poverty Continue In 2017, Jessica Carson, Andrew Schaefer, Marybeth Mattingly
Data Snapshot: Declines In Child Poverty Continue In 2017, Jessica Carson, Andrew Schaefer, Marybeth Mattingly
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
The official poverty measure indicates that child poverty declined by 1.1 percentage points between 2016 and 2017, according to analyses of the latest American Community Survey data released today. By 2017, child poverty across the nation was still 0.4 percentage point higher than before the Great Recession. Child poverty remained higher in cities and rural places than in the suburbs. For the first time, rates in cities dipped below the pre-recession level, although poverty is still slightly higher in rural and suburban places than in 2007.
Working Families’ Access To Early Childhood Education, Jessica Carson
Working Families’ Access To Early Childhood Education, Jessica Carson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, using data from the Census Bureau, state administrative systems, and a Carsey survey of working parents, author Jessica Carson examines the child care landscape of the Upper Valley of New Hampshire and Vermont and links these findings to a discussion of early childhood education policy and practice. She reports that 96 percent of Upper Valley parents surveyed said child care is necessary in order for them to work. The number of slots offered by licensed (home- and center-based) early childhood education providers in the Upper Valley is 2,000 short of the estimated number of young children whose …
Child Care Expenses Make Middle-Class Incomes Hard To Reach, Robert Paul Hartley, Beth Mattingly, Christopher Wimer
Child Care Expenses Make Middle-Class Incomes Hard To Reach, Robert Paul Hartley, Beth Mattingly, Christopher Wimer
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Robert Paul Hartley, Marybeth Mattingly, and Christopher Wimer present estimates of the number of families that cannot maintain a middle-class income as a result of child care expenses. Estimates are based on 2013–2017 data from the Current Population Survey’s Annual Social and Economic Supplement, which corresponds to income and expenses during 2012–2016. They report that approximately 9 percent of working families with children under age 6 are pushed out of the middle class as a result of child care expenses. For working families with very young children (under age 3), 8 percent are pushed below the …
Both Rural And Urban Snap Recipients Affected By Proposed Work Requirements, Jessica A. Carson
Both Rural And Urban Snap Recipients Affected By Proposed Work Requirements, Jessica A. Carson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
With the expiration of the current Farm Bill on September 30, 2018, the House and Senate are working in conference committee to reconcile their versions of its replacement. A major difference between the two is the House’s inclusion of a more intensive work requirement.
The Opioid Crisis In Rural And Small Town America, Shannon M. Monnat, Khary K. Rigg
The Opioid Crisis In Rural And Small Town America, Shannon M. Monnat, Khary K. Rigg
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Shannon Monnat and Khary Rigg examine rural versus urban differences in opioid mortality and identify challenges for dealing with the opioid crisis in rural areas. They report that, in 2016, opioid mortality rates were higher in urban than in rural counties, particularly in the Midwest, but rates have increased more in rural than in urban counties over the past two decades. Since 2010, the share of drug overdose deaths involving prescription opioids has declined, but the share of deaths involving heroin and synthetic opioids has spiked in both rural and urban areas. The most dramatic increases …
Parental Substance Use In New Hampshire: Who Cares For The Children?, Kristin Smith
Parental Substance Use In New Hampshire: Who Cares For The Children?, Kristin Smith
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Kristin Smith examines parental substance use and who cares for children when their parents cannot. It uses data from the New Hampshire Department of Health and Human Services’ Division for Children, Youth, and Families Results Oriented Management and the Statewide Automated Child Welfare Information System (NH Bridges), and the American Community Survey. She reports that the number of child abuse and neglect reports assessed by the New Hampshire Division for Children, Youth, and Families increased by 21 percent between 2013 and 2016. The number of children or youth removed from parental care increased from 358 in …
Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise, And The Vulnerable Cultural Heritage Of Coastal New Hampshire, Meghan Howey
Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise, And The Vulnerable Cultural Heritage Of Coastal New Hampshire, Meghan Howey
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Meghan Howey examines the impact of climate change and sea-level rise on the vulnerable cultural heritage of coastal New Hampshire. Coastal New Hampshire has been identified by scientists and recognized by policy makers as an area experiencing many of the effects of climate change, including increasing temperatures and rising sea levels. The continued trajectory of such change places the seacoast region at a very high risk of coastal flooding today and of coastal land submersions within the next 50 to 100 years. Coastal New Hampshire stands to lose 14 percent of its known prehistoric and historic …
Drug Overdose Rates Are Highest In Places With The Most Economic And Family Distress, Shannon M. Monnat
Drug Overdose Rates Are Highest In Places With The Most Economic And Family Distress, Shannon M. Monnat
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Shannon Monnat examines county-level mortality data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, pooled for 2006–2015, to gain insight into the U.S. drug overdose problem. She reports that, unlike the news media’s regular portrayal of the drug overdose epidemic being a national crisis, some places have much higher drug mortality rates than others. On average, rates are higher in counties with higher levels of economic distress and family dissolution, and they are lower in counties with a larger per capita presence of religious establishments. These findings hold even when controlling for demographic differences, urban …
Domestic Migration And Fewer Births Reshaping America, Kenneth Johnson
Domestic Migration And Fewer Births Reshaping America, Kenneth Johnson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this fact sheet, author Kenneth Johnson analyzes new Census Bureau data released on March 22, 2018, to analyze the continuing influence of domestic migration on U.S. demographic trends. He reports that domestic migration losses from large urban cores rose sharply. Domestic migration gains are accelerating in other metro areas. Population growth has resumed in rural areas. In addition, while the number of deaths is rising, the number of births is not.
Full-Time Employment Not Always A Ticket To Health Insurance, Jessica Carson
Full-Time Employment Not Always A Ticket To Health Insurance, Jessica Carson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Jessica Carson examines differences in health insurance coverage by workers’ income, and explores who is eligible for an employer-based plan, who enrolls in those plans, and the reasons why workers choose not to enroll. She reports that, in 2016, only 33 percent of low-income workers (those below 200 percent of the official poverty threshold) employed full time, year round reported having employer-based health insurance, compared to 57 percent of higher-income workers. Low-income workers are less often offered insurance: 40 percent of low-income workers work for employers who do not offer insurance to any employee, compared to …
Data Snapshot: Millennials And Climate Change, Lawrence Hamilton
Data Snapshot: Millennials And Climate Change, Lawrence Hamilton
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
From more frequent flooding to heat waves and drought, adverse impacts from climate change are already being experienced.Scientists warn of worse impacts within the lifetime of many people alive today, if greenhouse gas emissions are not reduced. Although majorities in all age groups recognize the reality of climate change, awareness is highest among young adults.
Public Awareness Of Scientific Consensus On Climate Change Is Rising, Lawrence C. Hamilton
Public Awareness Of Scientific Consensus On Climate Change Is Rising, Lawrence C. Hamilton
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this fact sheet, author Lawrence Hamilton discusses public awareness of scientific consensus on climate change, drawing on 16 nationwide or single-state surveys. An overwhelming majority of scientists who study the Earth’s climate agree that human activities are causing rapid change; Hamilton finds the U.S. public becoming more aware of this consensus. About 2/3 of respondents in recent polls (up from half in 2010) recognize that most scientists agree that human activities are causing climate change.
Utilization Of Long-Term Care By An Aging Population, Reagan Baughma, Jon Hurdelbrink
Utilization Of Long-Term Care By An Aging Population, Reagan Baughma, Jon Hurdelbrink
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Reagan Baughman and Jon Hurdelbrink examine the relationship between macroeconomic conditions, as measured by the national unemployment rate, and utilization of long-term care, as measured by respondents’ reports in the Health and Retirement Study of what type of care they received in the past month to help with daily activities. Long-term care for older adults can take the form of nursing home care, formal (paid) home care, or informal (unpaid) home care. Almost 1 in 5 individuals over the age of 65 gets some type of help with activities of daily living such as bathing, dressing, …