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Emerging Modelling Paradigms and Model Coupling

Articles 1 - 26 of 26

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Developing A High Performance Computing (Hpc) Based Hydrological Modelling Framework To Support Extreme Weather Impact Studies, Dehua Zhu, Yunqing Xuan, Mike Webster, Ian Cluckie Aug 2014

Developing A High Performance Computing (Hpc) Based Hydrological Modelling Framework To Support Extreme Weather Impact Studies, Dehua Zhu, Yunqing Xuan, Mike Webster, Ian Cluckie

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Computer based modelling has long been an established norm in hydrological studies. The demand of computing power in hydrological modelling domain, although keep steadily growing over past decades, it has never been higher as we now look into many impact studies due to climate change. While HPC has long been a major player in the neighbouring field of climate sciences, its role has yet to be defined when the resources become increasingly accessible to hydrological modellers attempting to address the impact of climate change in terms of extreme weather events. In this paper, we present a framework of HPC based …


A Complex Adaptive Systems Approach To Simulate Interactions Among Water Resources, Decision-Makers, And Consumers And Assess Urban Water Sustainability, Alireza Mashhadi Ali, M. Ehsan Shafiee, Sankarasubramanian Arumugam, Emily Zechman Berglund Aug 2014

A Complex Adaptive Systems Approach To Simulate Interactions Among Water Resources, Decision-Makers, And Consumers And Assess Urban Water Sustainability, Alireza Mashhadi Ali, M. Ehsan Shafiee, Sankarasubramanian Arumugam, Emily Zechman Berglund

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

The balance between water supply and demand for urban water resources is threatened by population growth, land use changes, and climate change. Interactions among environmental resources, infrastructure, societal norms, and management decisions create complexity and increase the unpredictability of the dynamics of water availability. This research develops a sociotechnical framework to simulate interactions among technical and social systems and assess urban water sustainability. An agent-based model (ABM) is implemented to simulate a community of heterogeneous households as agents. The ABM is coupled with a hydrological watershed model, a water reservoir model, and climate change projections. The increase in the number …


Modflow: An Insight Into Thirty Years Development Of A Standard Numerical Code For Groundwater Simulations, Dalila Loudyi, Roger Falconer, Binliang Lin Aug 2014

Modflow: An Insight Into Thirty Years Development Of A Standard Numerical Code For Groundwater Simulations, Dalila Loudyi, Roger Falconer, Binliang Lin

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Of all of the groundwater flow models widely available, the U.S. Geological Survey three-dimensional modular finite-difference, groundwater flow model, MODFLOW, is regarded by many as the most widely used by government agencies and consultancy firms. The Model was first developed in 1984 and since then many changes, updates and corrections have been introduced to the programme, simultaneously with its growing use. Since its establishment as a world-wide standard for groundwater flow modelling, many programmes have been developed to link MODFLOW to other codes that use groundwater flow information in porous saturated media. Processes such as solute transport, variable density flow, …


Software Tools For Large Scale Interactive Hydrodynamic Modeling, Gennadii Donchyts, Fedor Baart, Arthur Van Dam, Bert Jagers, Sander Van Der Pijl Aug 2014

Software Tools For Large Scale Interactive Hydrodynamic Modeling, Gennadii Donchyts, Fedor Baart, Arthur Van Dam, Bert Jagers, Sander Van Der Pijl

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Running hydrodynamic models interactively allows both visual exploration and change of model state during simulation. One of the main characteristics of an interactive model is that it should provide immediate feedback to the user, for example respond to changes in model state or view settings. For this reason, such features are usually only available for models with a relatively small number of computational cells, which are used mainly for demonstration and educational purposes. It would be useful if interactive modeling would also work for models typically used in consultancy projects involving large scale simulations. This results in a number of …


Minimum Data Requirements For Integrating Urban Development And Urban Water Infrastructure Models, Christian Mikovits, Michael Mair, Wolfgang Rauch, Manfred Kleidorfer Aug 2014

Minimum Data Requirements For Integrating Urban Development And Urban Water Infrastructure Models, Christian Mikovits, Michael Mair, Wolfgang Rauch, Manfred Kleidorfer

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Data quality and availability is a common problem in many modelling studies dealing with regional, spatially distributed case studies. This is true for both, urban development models and urban water management models. As current research in urban water management more and more tries to benefit from an integrated view of the performance of water networks in the context of dynamically growing and shrinking cities, this problem of data scarcity increases. Having different applications with different levels of details available, the question arises which data (and which temporal and spatial resolution) is really necessary to be collected in a modeling study …


Inverse Modeling Of Groundwater System Using Coupled Pso-Mlpg Techniques, Swathi Boddula, Eldho T I Aug 2014

Inverse Modeling Of Groundwater System Using Coupled Pso-Mlpg Techniques, Swathi Boddula, Eldho T I

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

The effective management of groundwater systems relies on the adequate knowledge of its hydro-geological parameters. In large aquifer systems, it is often computationally expensive to estimate the spatially distributed aquifer parameters. Inverse modeling of these parameters are usually required in simulation of flow and contaminant transport in the problem domain for its meaningful system prediction. In the present study, a new approach for inverse modeling is adopted based on Meshless Local Petrov Galerkin (MLPG) flow simulation model which is coupled with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) model. MLPG is one of the meshless techniques, which are recently developed to solve many …


Data Assimilation And Multidimensional Model Coupling On The Adour Catchment, South-West Of France, Sébastien Barthélémy, Sophie Ricci, Nicole Goutal, Etienne Le Pape, Olivier Thual Aug 2014

Data Assimilation And Multidimensional Model Coupling On The Adour Catchment, South-West Of France, Sébastien Barthélémy, Sophie Ricci, Nicole Goutal, Etienne Le Pape, Olivier Thual

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

This study focuses on the hydrodynamic modelling of the tidally influenced “Adour maritime” catchment located in South-West of France. The local SPC is in charge of operational flood-forecasting and for that purpose, the 1D hydraulic software MASCARET developed at EDF is used. Due to various sources of uncertainties on the hydraulic parameters and hydrological forcing, the free-run is imperfect and should be corrected for improved forecast of extreme events. An Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm was implemented on top of the hydraulic model using the OpenPalm coupler to assimilate hourly water level in-situ data from observing stations. The water-level and discharge …


The Application Of A Dynamic Openmi Coupling Between A Regional Climate Model And A Distributed Surface Water-Groundwater Model, Michael Brian Butts, Martin Drews, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Sara Lerer, Søren Højmark Rasmussen, Jesper Grooss, Jesper Overgaard, Jens Christian Refsgaard Aug 2014

The Application Of A Dynamic Openmi Coupling Between A Regional Climate Model And A Distributed Surface Water-Groundwater Model, Michael Brian Butts, Martin Drews, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Sara Lerer, Søren Højmark Rasmussen, Jesper Grooss, Jesper Overgaard, Jens Christian Refsgaard

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

The understanding of interactions between the atmosphere, the land surface and the subsurface hydrology plays a key role in ensuring sustainable development of water resources and terrestrial ecosystems. The evaluation of climate adaptation measures requires the ability to reliably simulate the impact of different anthropogenic effects such as changes in land use, interventions such as reservoirs for flood control and irrigation, conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater under projections of future climatic conditions and variability. The interaction between climate and groundwater are often neglected in climate models and climate assessment and few studies have investigated how groundwater systems will …


Assessing Rehabilitation Strategies Of Urban Drainage Systems Based On Future Scenarios Of Urbanization, Arlex Sanchez-Torres, Zoran Vojinović, Roland K. Price Aug 2014

Assessing Rehabilitation Strategies Of Urban Drainage Systems Based On Future Scenarios Of Urbanization, Arlex Sanchez-Torres, Zoran Vojinović, Roland K. Price

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Population growth and urbanisation are creating a big need to improve the planning processes and management of urban infrastructures. Urban drainage networks are one of the vital services needed for any urban area, modelling its growth and expansion is a challenge because of the dynamics of the system. This work describes the integration of a cellular automata model, to simulate urban land use changes, with algorithms to deduct the future layout of the drainage network and with SWMM 5.0 as the hydraulic engine to assess the performance of the drainage systems in the current condition and in the future. The …


Computational Efficient Small Signal Model For Fast Hydraulic Simulations, Markus Neumayer, David Steffelbauer, Markus Günther, Daniela Fuchs-Hanusch Aug 2014

Computational Efficient Small Signal Model For Fast Hydraulic Simulations, Markus Neumayer, David Steffelbauer, Markus Günther, Daniela Fuchs-Hanusch

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

To increase the performance, quality and reliability of water distribution systems, implementing efficient computational and algorithmic techniques, has become a major tasks in hydraulic modelling. Examples can be found in online condition monitoring, real time control applications, or model based leakage detection and location approaches, etc. All these techniques require extensive hydraulic simulations. Well known and trusted hydraulic simulation tools like EPANET, etc. are deployed within the individual task specific code using provided interface routines. The flow dependent friction models of hydraulic systems require an iterative solution strategy to solve the problem. Although this is done efficiently using Newton-Raphson methods, …


A Resource Centric Approach For Advancing Collaboration Through Hydrologic Data And Model Sharing, David G. Tarboton, Ray Idaszak, Jeffery S. Horsburgh, Jefferson Heard, Dan Ames, Jonathan L. Goodall, Lawrence E. Band, Venkatesh Merwade Aug 2014

A Resource Centric Approach For Advancing Collaboration Through Hydrologic Data And Model Sharing, David G. Tarboton, Ray Idaszak, Jeffery S. Horsburgh, Jefferson Heard, Dan Ames, Jonathan L. Goodall, Lawrence E. Band, Venkatesh Merwade

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

HydroShare is an online, collaborative system being developed for open sharing of hydrologic data and models. The goal of HydroShare is to enable scientists to easily discover and access hydrologic data and models, retrieve them to their desktop or perform analyses in a distributed computing environment that may include grid, cloud or high performance computing model instances as necessary. Scientists may also publish outcomes (data, results or models) into HydroShare, using the system as a collaboration platform for sharing data, models and analyses. HydroShare is expanding the data sharing capability of the CUAHSI Hydrologic Information System by broadening the classes …


Coupling Spatial And Time Scales In The Hydrological Modelling Of Mediterranean Regions: Wimmed, Javier Herrero, Agustín Millares, Cristina Aguilar, Marta Egüen, Miguel A. Losada, María José Polo Aug 2014

Coupling Spatial And Time Scales In The Hydrological Modelling Of Mediterranean Regions: Wimmed, Javier Herrero, Agustín Millares, Cristina Aguilar, Marta Egüen, Miguel A. Losada, María José Polo

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Mediterranean catchments usually exhibit strong gradients of both weather variables at different time scales and soil uses, which add complexity to their hydrological modelling, especially in mountainous areas. WiMMed (Water integrated Management model for Mediterranean regions) model was designed to include such variability of scales in an operational suite capable of connecting GIS-based representations of the catchment (soil characteristics and uses, vegetation cover and snow dynamics) with advanced algorithms for simulating the energy and water balance on a physical basis. Widely used throughout the South of Spain, WiMMed efficiently represents the spatial patterns of precipitation, temperature, solar radiation, and evapotranspiration …


Extension And Testing Of A 2d Hydrodynamic Model For Direct Rainfall Runoff Simulation, Robert Klar, Stefan Achleitner, Simon Lumassegger, Markus Aufleger, Michael Hofer Aug 2014

Extension And Testing Of A 2d Hydrodynamic Model For Direct Rainfall Runoff Simulation, Robert Klar, Stefan Achleitner, Simon Lumassegger, Markus Aufleger, Michael Hofer

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

While the simulation of flood risks originating from the overtopping of river banks is well covered within continuously evaluated programs to improve flood protection measures, flash flooding is not. Flash floods are triggered by short, local thunderstorm cells with high precipitation intensities. Small catchments have short response times and flow paths and convective thunder cells may result in potential flooding of endangered settlements. Assessing local flooding and pathways of flood requires a detailed hydraulic simulation of the surface runoff. Hydrological models usually do not incorporate surface runoff at this detailedness but rather empirical equations are applied for runoff detention. In …


Modelling Of Thermal Energy Balance In Sewer Systems, Jan Hofman, Martin Bloemendal, Bas Wols, Claudia Agudelo-Vera, Jorge Elias Maxil, Pascal Boderie, Mark Nijman, Jan Peter Van Der Hoek Aug 2014

Modelling Of Thermal Energy Balance In Sewer Systems, Jan Hofman, Martin Bloemendal, Bas Wols, Claudia Agudelo-Vera, Jorge Elias Maxil, Pascal Boderie, Mark Nijman, Jan Peter Van Der Hoek

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Warm water is an important factor in the water and energy nexus. The energy used to produce warm tap water is often 10 times higher than the operational energy to produce and distribute drinking water and to collect and treat wastewater together. Once used in a shower, bath or laundry machine, the hot water is disposed into the sewer system. For modern homes in The Netherlands this is 30-50 % of the total heat loss. Heat recovery from sewer systems may therefore be an interesting option to reduce water use related energy. In this study a model was developed to …


Evaluation Of Retrofitting Options In Urban Drainage Systems Based On Flexibility: A Case Study For Nhieu Loc - Thi Nghe Basin In Ho Chi Minh City, Mohanasundar Radhakrishnan, Chau Nguyen Xuan Quang, Assela Pathirana, Ho Long Phi, Richard M. Ashley Aug 2014

Evaluation Of Retrofitting Options In Urban Drainage Systems Based On Flexibility: A Case Study For Nhieu Loc - Thi Nghe Basin In Ho Chi Minh City, Mohanasundar Radhakrishnan, Chau Nguyen Xuan Quang, Assela Pathirana, Ho Long Phi, Richard M. Ashley

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Inherent uncertainties are the primary constraints and concerns for any robust urban flood management programme. Selection of better retrofitting options to tackle uncertainties involves the process of evaluating the technical and financial feasibility of a wide range of options. In this paper, we present a case study of a catchment in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, where we apply evolutionary methods to search for optimal retrofitting opportunities to cope with uncertainties. Flexible options such as detention storage at nodes and provision of sustainable drainage systems have been identified. The optimal storage volumes for detention storage at the nodes and optimal …


Cawat – A Catchment Water Allocation Tool For Integrated Irrigation And Aquaculture Development In Small Watersheds, Xueliang Cai, Suan Pheng Kam, Bui Tan Yen, Aditya Sood, Hoanh Chu Thai Aug 2014

Cawat – A Catchment Water Allocation Tool For Integrated Irrigation And Aquaculture Development In Small Watersheds, Xueliang Cai, Suan Pheng Kam, Bui Tan Yen, Aditya Sood, Hoanh Chu Thai

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Water resources development has seen little development in the vast rural areas of Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) due to lack of investment, means of access and poor policy environment. In search of sustainable and efficient water resources development, participatory approach is widely accepted as a key strategy for water resources development and conservations in many SSA countries. To encourage bottom-up solutions for local water resources development, a Catchment Water Allocation Tool (CaWAT) was developed to aid rural water resources planning for agriculture in small watersheds. The tool is based on water balance accounting to examine water allocations among different users. It …


Overview Of Coupling Of Data, Models And Information Through The Web Using Existing Standards, Gerben De Boer, Fedor Baart, Bernhard P. J. Becker, Bert Jagers Aug 2014

Overview Of Coupling Of Data, Models And Information Through The Web Using Existing Standards, Gerben De Boer, Fedor Baart, Bernhard P. J. Becker, Bert Jagers

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Assessment of environmental status and integral safety requires combination of information from many sources, coming from either databases or increasingly via live model (scenario) simulations. Many of these models require input from one another, sometimes unidirectional, but more and more two-directional as well. Many protocols and frameworks are available for model coupling, often based on open standards and implementations. Previous overviews of coupling protocols have focused on data exchange volume, data complexity, invasiveness into existing models and support for specific programming languages. We extend the overview using recent developments in web-based protocols and focus on the suitability for internet-based data …


Genetic Programming For Cellular Automata Urban Inundation Modelling, Mike J. Gibson, Edward C. Keedwell, Dragan A. Savić Aug 2014

Genetic Programming For Cellular Automata Urban Inundation Modelling, Mike J. Gibson, Edward C. Keedwell, Dragan A. Savić

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Recent advances in Cellular Automata (CA) represent a new, computationally efficient method of simulating flooding in urban areas. A number of recent publications in this field have shown that CAs can be much more computationally efficient than methods than using standard shallow water equations (Saint Venant/Navier-Stokes equations). CAs operate using local state-transition rules that determine the progression of the flow from one cell in the grid to another cell, in many publications the Manning’s Formula is used as a simplified local state transition rule. Through the distributed interactions of the CA, computationally simplified urban flooding can be processed, although these …


Challenges In The Simultaneous Development And Deployment Of A Large Integrated Modelling System, Matthew Paul Stenson, Peter Fitch, Dave Penton, Jamie Vleeshouwer, Ben Leighton, Jean-Michel Perraud, Garth Warren, Daniel Collins Aug 2014

Challenges In The Simultaneous Development And Deployment Of A Large Integrated Modelling System, Matthew Paul Stenson, Peter Fitch, Dave Penton, Jamie Vleeshouwer, Ben Leighton, Jean-Michel Perraud, Garth Warren, Daniel Collins

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Many of our natural resource management issues cannot be adequately informed by a single discipline or sub-discipline, and require an integration of information from multiple natural and human systems. As we are unable to observe and monitor more than a few important indicators there is a strong reliance on supplementing observed information with modelled information. Following a period of record drought in the 1990’s, the Australian government recognised the need for better quality, more integrated, and nationally consistent water information. The Australian Water Resources Assessment system (AWRA) is an integrated hydrological modelling system developed by CSIRO and Australian Bureau of …


Risk Based Analysis For Assessment Of Integrated Urban Water System Watermet2 Model: A Case Study Of Oslo, Rita Maria Ugarelli, Kourosh Behzadian, Maria Ceu Almeida, Tonino Liserra, Patrick Smeets, Zoran Kapelan Aug 2014

Risk Based Analysis For Assessment Of Integrated Urban Water System Watermet2 Model: A Case Study Of Oslo, Rita Maria Ugarelli, Kourosh Behzadian, Maria Ceu Almeida, Tonino Liserra, Patrick Smeets, Zoran Kapelan

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Integrated urban water systems (IUWSs) generally comprise the components related to both water supply and waste water systems. These components are subject to uncertainty in terms of operation, management and information. Hence, assessment of strategies in the IUWSs over the planning horizon should include such a risk analysis of these uncertainties. Owning to the complexity of these risks, a comprehensive risk assessment tool needs to be developed. In this paper, a risk assessment tool is presented to support the evaluation of intervention strategies in an IUWS over a planning horizon. The IUWS is modelled by “WaterMet2” which is a simulation, …


Developing An Integrated Modelling System For Blue-Green Solutions, Christos Makropoulos, Evangelos Rozos, Cedo Maksimovic Aug 2014

Developing An Integrated Modelling System For Blue-Green Solutions, Christos Makropoulos, Evangelos Rozos, Cedo Maksimovic

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Blue-green interventions represent the next level of integration for sustainable cities: that of an integrated urban water and urban green design, operation and management. The key concept is that a more holistic approach would present a win-win scenario, in which urban green would be utilized as infrastructure for water services (e.g. mitigating urban floods) while urban water infrastructure would be used as a source of irrigation for urban green, increasing their performance in a range of services including amenities, reducing heat island effects and increasing ecosystem services. However, this focus on integration brings into sharp relief another need: that of …


Development Of An Information Mapping Framework To Couple Surface Flow And Subsurface Hydraulic Models, Kashif Shaad, Paolo Burlando Aug 2014

Development Of An Information Mapping Framework To Couple Surface Flow And Subsurface Hydraulic Models, Kashif Shaad, Paolo Burlando

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Here we present the outline of an information mapping framework that allows coupling of existing surface and subsurface hydraulic modelling domains and can provide an alternate to specialized fully integrated coupled modelling codes. The flexibility of the framework intends to allow selecting solvers with assumptions and representations in-line with the requirements of the area being modelled as well as reusing the expertise that has gone into building the decoupled models as part of the respective surface flow or groundwater study. We focus on 2d representation of surface hydraulics and 3d representation of subsurface flow to form the basis of the …


Bayesian Model Averaging Approach For Reducing Urban Flooding Damage Estimation Uncertainty, Vincenza Notaro, Chiara Maria Fontanazza, Gabriele Freni Aug 2014

Bayesian Model Averaging Approach For Reducing Urban Flooding Damage Estimation Uncertainty, Vincenza Notaro, Chiara Maria Fontanazza, Gabriele Freni

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Uncertainty analysis is useful to define the level of reliability of a modelling application, but operational methods are needed to identify the best modelling structure for a specific problem based on uncertainty reduction criteria. One interesting example is given by flood damage estimation problem where different possible modelling solution and flood damage estimation can be used depending on the case study. Past literature showed that several modelling structures may be equally reliable in terms of calibration ability but they may produce different uncertainty levels. The use of the Bayesian approach for uncertainty analysis has been stimulated by its rigorous theoretical …


On The Modeling And Real-Time Control Of Urban Drainage Systems: A Survey, Luis Antonio Garcia Gutierrez, Eduardo Escobar, Duvan Téllez, Julian Barreiro Gómez, Nicanor Quijano Silva, Carlos Ocampo-Martinez Aug 2014

On The Modeling And Real-Time Control Of Urban Drainage Systems: A Survey, Luis Antonio Garcia Gutierrez, Eduardo Escobar, Duvan Téllez, Julian Barreiro Gómez, Nicanor Quijano Silva, Carlos Ocampo-Martinez

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Drainage network are complex systems composed by several processes including recollection, transport, storing, wastewater and/or rain treatment, and return of the water to a receiving environment. Urban drainage systems (UDS) involve most of these processes inside cities and can be either separate or combined systems, depending on how wastewater and rainwater are managed. The way UDS manage the wastewater is through the convenient handling of active elements such as gates (redirection and/or retention), storing tanks and pumping stations, when needed. Therefore, the modeling and control of UDS basically consists in knowing and representing the (dynamical) behavior of those elements and …


Next Generation Hydro Software, Gennadii Donchyts, Fedor Baart, Arthur Van Dam, Erik De Goede, Joost Icke, Hans Van Putten Aug 2014

Next Generation Hydro Software, Gennadii Donchyts, Fedor Baart, Arthur Van Dam, Erik De Goede, Joost Icke, Hans Van Putten

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

A few years ago Deltares started a large multidisciplinary project named Next Generation Hydro Software. The main focus of the project is to improve, harmonize and integrate existing hydro software that has been developed throughout the years. Important technological innovations include development of the new computational core D-Flow Flexible Mesh, as well as the user-friendly, open modelling environment Delta Shell. The project involves more than 40 scientists and software engineers. The new integrated system will allow both water managers and modellers to do their work better and faster. The unique characteristic of the project is that it focuses on the …


Probabilistic Integrated Urban Inundation Modeling Using Sequential Data Assimilation, Seong Jin Noh, Seungsoo Lee, Hyunjun Kim Aug 2014

Probabilistic Integrated Urban Inundation Modeling Using Sequential Data Assimilation, Seong Jin Noh, Seungsoo Lee, Hyunjun Kim

International Conference on Hydroinformatics

Urban inundation due to climate change and heavy rainfall is one of the most common natural disasters worldwide. However, it is still insufficient to obtain accurate urban inundation predictions due to various uncertainties coming from input forcing data, model parameters, and observations. Despite of numerous sophisticated data assimilation algorithms proposed to increase the certainty of predictions, there have been few attempts to combine data assimilation with integrated inundation models due to expensive computations and computational instability such as breach of conservation and momentum equations in the updating procedure. In this study, we propose a probabilistic integrated urban inundation modeling scheme …