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2011

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Elisa Vecchione

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Science For The Environment: Examining The Allocation Of The Burden Of Uncertainty, Elisa Vecchione Jan 2011

Science For The Environment: Examining The Allocation Of The Burden Of Uncertainty, Elisa Vecchione

Elisa Vecchione

The aim of this paper is to review the basic literature on scientific uncertainty in its statistical paradigm in order to provide enlightenment on one pivotal facet of the precautionary principle, i.e. the allocation of the burden of proof to demonstrate that an activity is not harmful to the environment. The purpose is not to explain a new theory of statistical inference, but to show how regulatory policymaking that is properly informed by scientific expertise and designed to avoid one type of error, may actually make other errors more likely and thus expose the public to danger. This problem is …