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Will Reducing Drug Prices Slow Innovation?, Gregory Vaughan, Fred Ledley May 2022

Will Reducing Drug Prices Slow Innovation?, Gregory Vaughan, Fred Ledley

Natural & Applied Sciences Faculty Publications

The pharmaceutical industry has long argued that high drug prices reflect the high cost of innovation and that reducing drug prices would necessarily slow the pipeline of new drugs. These arguments have been bolstered by studies of large pharmaceutical companies showing statistical associations between the projected market size or revenue for pharmaceutical products and research & development (R&D) activity. Our analysis recognizes the increasingly important role of small biopharmaceuticals in drug development , companies that typically have little revenue and negative earnings, but are now responsible for more than 40% of new drug approvals. We examine the relationship between changes …


Government As The First Investor In Biopharmaceutical Innovation: Evidence From New Drug Approvals 2010–2019, Ekaterina Galkina Cleary, Matthew J. Jackson, Fred D. Ledley Jul 2021

Government As The First Investor In Biopharmaceutical Innovation: Evidence From New Drug Approvals 2010–2019, Ekaterina Galkina Cleary, Matthew J. Jackson, Fred D. Ledley

Natural & Applied Sciences Faculty Publications

The discovery and development of new medicines classically involves a linear process of basic biomedical research to uncover potential targets for drug action, followed by applied, or translational, research to identify candidate products and establish their effectiveness and safety.

This Working Paper describes the public sector contribution to that process by tracing funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) related to published research on each of the 356 new drugs approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration from 2010-2019 as well as research on their 218 biological targets.


How To Lie With (Fda) Statistics, Fred D. Ledley May 2014

How To Lie With (Fda) Statistics, Fred D. Ledley

Natural & Applied Sciences Faculty Publications

The FDA approved 27 new drugs in 2013. Is this a downward trend? Is it an upward trend? Does it suggest that the pharmaceutical industry is failing, or that genomics is finally paying dividends? We revisit Darrell Huff’s 1954 classic How to Lie with Statistics for insights into these pressing questions.