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Department of Medicine

Gastroenterology

2018

Mathematical model

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Full-Text Articles in Medicine and Health Sciences

Curbing The Hepatitis C Virus Epidemic In Pakistan: The Impact Of Scaling Up Treatment And Prevention For Achieving Elimination, Aaron G. Lim, Huma Qureshi, Hassan Mahmood, Saeed Hamid, Charlotte F. Davies, Adam Trickey, Nancy Glass, Quaid Saeed, Hannah Fraser, Josephine G. Walker, Apr 2018

Curbing The Hepatitis C Virus Epidemic In Pakistan: The Impact Of Scaling Up Treatment And Prevention For Achieving Elimination, Aaron G. Lim, Huma Qureshi, Hassan Mahmood, Saeed Hamid, Charlotte F. Davies, Adam Trickey, Nancy Glass, Quaid Saeed, Hannah Fraser, Josephine G. Walker,

Department of Medicine

Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) has developed a global health strategy to eliminate viral hepatitis. We project the treatment and prevention requirements to achieve the WHO HCV elimination target of reducing HCV incidence by 80% and HCV-related mortality by 65% by 2030 in Pakistan, which has the second largest HCV burden worldwide.
Methods: We developed an HCV transmission model for Pakistan, and calibrated it to epidemiological data from a national survey (2007), surveys among people who inject drugs (PWID), and blood donor data. Current treatment coverage data came from expert opinion and published reports. The model projected the HCV …