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Statistics and Probability

Selected Works

2014

Articles 1 - 30 of 34

Full-Text Articles in Medicine and Health Sciences

Can Acute Dermal Systemic Toxicity Tests Be Replaced With Oral Tests? A Comparison Of Route-Specific Systemic Toxicity And Hazard Classifications Under The Globally Harmonized System Of Classification And Labelling Of Chemicals (Ghs), Nigel P. Moore, David J. Andrew, Donald L. Bjerke, Stuart Creton, David Dreher, Thomas Holmes, Pilar Prieto, Troy Seidle, Tim G. Rowan Dec 2014

Can Acute Dermal Systemic Toxicity Tests Be Replaced With Oral Tests? A Comparison Of Route-Specific Systemic Toxicity And Hazard Classifications Under The Globally Harmonized System Of Classification And Labelling Of Chemicals (Ghs), Nigel P. Moore, David J. Andrew, Donald L. Bjerke, Stuart Creton, David Dreher, Thomas Holmes, Pilar Prieto, Troy Seidle, Tim G. Rowan

Troy Seidle, PhD

Acute systemic toxicity data (LD50 values) and hazard classifications derived in the rat following oral administration and dermal application have been analysed to examine whether or not orally-derived hazard classification or LD50 values can be used to determine dermal hazard classification. Comparing the oral and dermal classifications for 335 substances derived from oral and dermal LD50 values respectively revealed 17% concordance, and indicated that 7% of substances would be classified less severely while 76% would be classified more severely if oral classifications were applied directly to the dermal route. In contrast, applying the oral LD50 values within the dermal classification …


Expert Testimony In Capital Sentencing: Juror Responses, John H. Montgomery, J. Richard Ciccone, Stephen P. Garvey, Theodore Eisenberg Dec 2014

Expert Testimony In Capital Sentencing: Juror Responses, John H. Montgomery, J. Richard Ciccone, Stephen P. Garvey, Theodore Eisenberg

Stephen P. Garvey

The U.S. Supreme Court, in Furman v. Georgia (1972), held that the death penalty is constitutional only when applied on an individualized basis. The resultant changes in the laws in death penalty states fostered the involvement of psychiatric and psychologic expert witnesses at the sentencing phase of the trial, to testify on two major issues: (1) the mitigating factor of a defendant’s abnormal mental state and (2) the aggravating factor of a defendant’s potential for future violence. This study was an exploration of the responses of capital jurors to psychiatric/psychologic expert testimony during capital sentencing. The Capital Jury Project is …


Volunteer Studies In Pain Research — Opportunities And Challenges To Replace Animal Experiments: The Report And Recommendations Of A Focus On Alternatives Workshop, C. K. Langley, Q. Aziz, C. Bountra, N. Gordon, P. Hawkins, A. Jones, G. Langley, T. Nurmikko, I. Tracey Nov 2014

Volunteer Studies In Pain Research — Opportunities And Challenges To Replace Animal Experiments: The Report And Recommendations Of A Focus On Alternatives Workshop, C. K. Langley, Q. Aziz, C. Bountra, N. Gordon, P. Hawkins, A. Jones, G. Langley, T. Nurmikko, I. Tracey

Gill Langley, PhD

Despite considerable research, effective and safe treatments for human pain disorders remain elusive. Understanding the biology of different human pain conditions and researching effective treatments continue to be dominated by animal models, some of which are of limited value. British and European legislation demands that non-animal approaches should be considered before embarking on research using experimental animals. Recent scientific and technical developments, particularly in human neuroimaging, offer the potential to replace some animal procedures in the study of human pain. A group of pain research experts from academia and industry met with the aim of exploring creatively the tools, strategies …


The Validity Of Animal Experiments In Medical Research, Gill Langley Nov 2014

The Validity Of Animal Experiments In Medical Research, Gill Langley

Gill Langley, PhD

Other animals, such as mice, rats, rabbits, dogs and monkeys, are widely used as surrogates for humans in fundamental medical research. This involves creating disorders in animals by chemical, surgical or genetic means, with the aim of mimicking selected aspects of human illnesses. It is a truism that any model or surrogate is not identical to the target being modelled. So, in medical research, experiments using animals or cell cultures or even healthy volunteers instead of patients (being the target population with the target illness) will inevitably have limitations, although these will be greater or lesser depending on the model.


Trends In The Prevalence And Mortality Of Cognitive Impairment In The United States: Is There Evidence Of A Compression Of Cognitive Morbidity, Kenneth Langa, Eric Larson, Jason Karlawish, David Cutler, Mohammed Kabeto, Scott Kim, Allison Rosen Nov 2014

Trends In The Prevalence And Mortality Of Cognitive Impairment In The United States: Is There Evidence Of A Compression Of Cognitive Morbidity, Kenneth Langa, Eric Larson, Jason Karlawish, David Cutler, Mohammed Kabeto, Scott Kim, Allison Rosen

Jason Karlawish

BACKGROUND: Recent medical, demographic, and social trends might have had an important impact on the cognitive health of older adults. To assess the impact of these multiple trends, we compared the prevalence and 2-year mortality of cognitive impairment (CI) consistent with dementia in the United States in 1993 to 1995 and 2002 to 2004. METHODS: We used data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), a nationally representative population-based longitudinal survey of U.S. adults. Individuals aged 70 years or older from the 1993 (N = 7,406) and 2002 (N = 7,104) waves of the HRS were included. CI was determined …


Stochastic Variation In Network Epidemic Models: Implications For The Design Of Community Level Hiv Prevention Trials, David Boren, Patrick Sullivan, Chris Beyrer, Stefan Baral, Linda-Gail Becker, Ron Brookmeyer Sep 2014

Stochastic Variation In Network Epidemic Models: Implications For The Design Of Community Level Hiv Prevention Trials, David Boren, Patrick Sullivan, Chris Beyrer, Stefan Baral, Linda-Gail Becker, Ron Brookmeyer

Ron Brookmeyer

Important sources of variation in the spread of HIV in communities arise from overlapping sexual networks and heterogeneity in biological and behavioral risk factors in populations. These sources of variation are not routinely accounted for in the design of HIV prevention trials. In this paper, we use agent based models to account for these sources of variation. We illustrate the approach with an agent based model for the spread of HIV infection among men who have sex with men (MSM) in South Africa. We find that traditional sample size approaches that rely on binomial (or Poisson) models are inadequate and …


Long-Term Survival For Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure According To Ejection Fraction Findings, Andrew Coles, Kimberly Fisher, Chad Darling, Jorge Yarzebski, David Mcmanus, Joel Gore, Darleen Lessard, Robert Goldberg Sep 2014

Long-Term Survival For Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure According To Ejection Fraction Findings, Andrew Coles, Kimberly Fisher, Chad Darling, Jorge Yarzebski, David Mcmanus, Joel Gore, Darleen Lessard, Robert Goldberg

Jorge L. Yarzebski

Limited data exist about the long-term prognosis of patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) further stratified according to ejection fraction (EF) findings. The primary objective of this population-based observational study was to characterize and compare trends in long-term prognosis after an episode of ADHF across 3 EF strata. Hospital medical records were reviewed for 3,604 residents of the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area who were discharged after ADHF from all 11 medical centers in central Massachusetts during 1995, 2000, 2002, and 2004 and had EF measurements during their index hospitalizations. The average age of this population was 75 years, most …


Cluster Randomized Trials And Statistical Power, Stephen A. Lauer, Nicholas G. Reich Sep 2014

Cluster Randomized Trials And Statistical Power, Stephen A. Lauer, Nicholas G. Reich

Nicholas G Reich

The cluster-randomized trial (CRT) is a common study design in public health research. In situations where dividing a group of individuals into treatment and controls is unethical or impossible, a CRT design maintains the strengths of a randomized study design. By comparing the outcomes of small populations (clusters), we can observe the impacts of interventions on the community as a whole. Public health researchers around the world have utilized CRTs to measure the effect of, for example, de-worming medication on school attendance, financial incentives on doctor absenteeism, and providing chlorine to waterholes. The CRT can be a potent tool, however …


A Multi-Center, Two-Arm, Single-Blind Randomized Trial Of Two Different Intravenous Fluids During Labor (Poster)., Lisa M. Dapuzzo-Argiriou Md, John C. Smulian Md, Mph, Meredith Rochon Md, Lisa Galdi Do, Jessika Kissling Md, Peter F. Schnatz Do, George Neubert Md, Angel Gonzalez-Rios Md, James Airoldi Md, Mary Anne Carrillo Md, Jaimie Maines Md, Allen R. Kunselman Ms, John Repke Md, Richard S. Legro Md Sep 2014

A Multi-Center, Two-Arm, Single-Blind Randomized Trial Of Two Different Intravenous Fluids During Labor (Poster)., Lisa M. Dapuzzo-Argiriou Md, John C. Smulian Md, Mph, Meredith Rochon Md, Lisa Galdi Do, Jessika Kissling Md, Peter F. Schnatz Do, George Neubert Md, Angel Gonzalez-Rios Md, James Airoldi Md, Mary Anne Carrillo Md, Jaimie Maines Md, Allen R. Kunselman Ms, John Repke Md, Richard S. Legro Md

John C Smulian MD, MPH

No abstract provided.


The Effect Of Commercial Tests For Aneuploidy Screening Using Cell-Free Fetal Dna On Rates Of Invasive Testing In Clinical Practice, Adetola Louis-Jacques Md, Courtney R. Burans Ms, Cgc, Sarah Robinson, Elizabeth A. Schofield, Joanne Quiñones Md, Msce, John C. Smulian Md, Mph, Meredith Rochon Md Sep 2014

The Effect Of Commercial Tests For Aneuploidy Screening Using Cell-Free Fetal Dna On Rates Of Invasive Testing In Clinical Practice, Adetola Louis-Jacques Md, Courtney R. Burans Ms, Cgc, Sarah Robinson, Elizabeth A. Schofield, Joanne Quiñones Md, Msce, John C. Smulian Md, Mph, Meredith Rochon Md

John C Smulian MD, MPH

No abstract provided.


The ‘‘Ice’’ Study: Feasibility Of Inexpensive Commercial Coolers On Mobile Ems Units, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert J. Tomsho Do, Ms, Karen Pheasant Do, Thomas Stauffer Do, Brent R. Schoenfeldt Do, Scott Hamilton Do, Travis Kain Do, Bryan G. Kane Md Sep 2014

The ‘‘Ice’’ Study: Feasibility Of Inexpensive Commercial Coolers On Mobile Ems Units, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert J. Tomsho Do, Ms, Karen Pheasant Do, Thomas Stauffer Do, Brent R. Schoenfeldt Do, Scott Hamilton Do, Travis Kain Do, Bryan G. Kane Md

Kathleen E Kane MD, FACEP

Introduction: Prehospital postresuscitation induced hypothermia (IH) has been shown to reduce neurological complications in comatose cardiac-arrest survivors. Retrofitting ambulances to include equipment appropriate to initiate hypothermia, such as refrigeration units for cooled saline, is expensive. The objective of this nonhuman subject research study was to determine if inexpensive, commercially available coolers could, in conjunction with five reusable ice packs, keep two 1 L bags of precooled 0.9% normal saline solution (NSS) at or below 48C for an average shift of eight to 12 hours in a real-world environment, on board in-service Emergency Medical Service (EMS) units, over varying weather conditions …


The ‘‘Ice’’ Study: Feasibility Of Inexpensive Commercial Coolers On Mobile Ems Units, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert J. Tomsho Do, Ms, Karen Pheasant Do, Thomas Stauffer Do, Brent R. Schoenfeldt Do, Scott Hamilton Do, Travis Kain Do, Bryan G. Kane Md Sep 2014

The ‘‘Ice’’ Study: Feasibility Of Inexpensive Commercial Coolers On Mobile Ems Units, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert J. Tomsho Do, Ms, Karen Pheasant Do, Thomas Stauffer Do, Brent R. Schoenfeldt Do, Scott Hamilton Do, Travis Kain Do, Bryan G. Kane Md

Bryan G Kane MD

Introduction: Prehospital postresuscitation induced hypothermia (IH) has been shown to reduce neurological complications in comatose cardiac-arrest survivors. Retrofitting ambulances to include equipment appropriate to initiate hypothermia, such as refrigeration units for cooled saline, is expensive. The objective of this nonhuman subject research study was to determine if inexpensive, commercially available coolers could, in conjunction with five reusable ice packs, keep two 1 L bags of precooled 0.9% normal saline solution (NSS) at or below 48C for an average shift of eight to 12 hours in a real-world environment, on board in-service Emergency Medical Service (EMS) units, over varying weather conditions …


Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md Sep 2014

Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md

Marna R Greenberg DO, MPH, FACEP

No abstract provided.


Diagnostic Performance Of Cardiac Troponin I For Early Rule-In And Rule-Out Of Acute Myocardial Infarction: Results Of A Prospective Multicenter Trial, Alan Storrow, Robert Christenson, Richard Nowak, Deborah Diercks, Adam Singer, Alan Wu, Erik Kulstad, Frank Lovecchio, Christian Fromm, Gary Headden, Tracie Potis, Christopher Hogan, Jon Schrock, Daniel Zelinski, Marna Greenberg, James Ritchie, Janna Chamberlin, Kurtis Bray, Daniel Rhodes, Deirdre Trainor, Dawn Holmes, Paula Southwick Sep 2014

Diagnostic Performance Of Cardiac Troponin I For Early Rule-In And Rule-Out Of Acute Myocardial Infarction: Results Of A Prospective Multicenter Trial, Alan Storrow, Robert Christenson, Richard Nowak, Deborah Diercks, Adam Singer, Alan Wu, Erik Kulstad, Frank Lovecchio, Christian Fromm, Gary Headden, Tracie Potis, Christopher Hogan, Jon Schrock, Daniel Zelinski, Marna Greenberg, James Ritchie, Janna Chamberlin, Kurtis Bray, Daniel Rhodes, Deirdre Trainor, Dawn Holmes, Paula Southwick

Marna R Greenberg DO, MPH, FACEP

OBJECTIVES: To compare emergency department TnI serial sampling intervals, determine optimal diagnostic thresholds, and report representative diagnostic performance characteristics for early rule-in and rule-out of MI. METHODS: We prospectively measured TnI (AccuTnI+3™, Beckman Coulter) at serial time intervals in 1929 subjects with chest pain or equivalent ischemic symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndromes at 14 medical centers. Diagnosis was adjudicated by an independent central committee. RESULTS: TnI ≥0.03ng/mL provided 96.0% sensitivity and 89.4% specificity at 1-3h after admission, and 94.9% sensitivity and 86.7% specificity at 3-6h. NPV (rule-out, non-MI) was 99.5% at 1-3h, and 99.0% at 3-6h when TnI is …


Pubertal And Adult Leydig Cell Function In Mullerian Inhibiting Substance-Deficient Mice, Xiufeng Wu, Ramamani Arumugam, Stephen Baker, Mary Lee Sep 2014

Pubertal And Adult Leydig Cell Function In Mullerian Inhibiting Substance-Deficient Mice, Xiufeng Wu, Ramamani Arumugam, Stephen Baker, Mary Lee

Mary M. Lee

Mullerian inhibiting substance (MIS) causes Mullerian duct regression during sexual differentiation and regulates postnatal Leydig cell development. MIS knockout (MIS-KO) mice with targeted deletions of MIS develop Leydig cell hyperplasia, but their circulating androgen concentrations are reportedly unaltered. We compared reproductive hormone profiles, androgen biosynthesis, and the expression of key steroidogenic and metabolic enzymes in MIS-KO and wild-type (WT) mice at puberty (36 d) and sexual maturity (60 d). In pubertal animals, basal testosterone and LH concentrations in plasma were lower in MIS-KO than WT mice, whereas human chorionic gonadotropin-stimulated testosterone concentrations were similar. In adults, basal LH, and both …


Depicting Estimates Using The Intercept In Meta-Regression Models: The Moving Constant Technique, Blair T. Johnson Dr., Tania B. Huedo-Medina Dr. Aug 2014

Depicting Estimates Using The Intercept In Meta-Regression Models: The Moving Constant Technique, Blair T. Johnson Dr., Tania B. Huedo-Medina Dr.

Blair T. Johnson

In any scientific discipline, the ability to portray research patterns graphically often aids greatly in interpreting a phenomenon. In part to depict phenomena, the statistics and capabilities of meta-analytic models have grown increasingly sophisticated. Accordingly, this article details how to move the constant in weighted meta-analysis regression models (viz. “meta-regression”) to illuminate the patterns in such models across a range of complexities. Although it is commonly ignored in practice, the constant (or intercept) in such models can be indispensible when it is not relegated to its usual static role. The moving constant technique makes possible estimates and confidence intervals at …


Laboratory Routines Cause Animal Stress, Jonathan P. Balcombe, Neal D. Barnard, Chad Sandusky May 2014

Laboratory Routines Cause Animal Stress, Jonathan P. Balcombe, Neal D. Barnard, Chad Sandusky

Jonathan Balcombe, PhD

Eighty published studies were appraised to document the potential stress associated with three routine laboratory procedures commonly performed on animals: handling, blood collection, and orogastric gavage. We defined handling as any non-invasive manipulation occurring as part of routine husbandry, including lifting an animal and cleaning or moving an animal's cage. Significant changes in physiologic parameters correlated with stress (e.g., serum or plasma concentrations of corticosterone, glucose, growth hormone or prolactin, heart rate, blood pressure, and behavior) were associated with all three procedures in multiple species in the studies we examined. The results of these studies demonstrated that animals responded with …


Models For Improving Patient Throughput And Waiting At Hospital Emergency Departments, Jomon Aliyas Paul, Lin Li Apr 2014

Models For Improving Patient Throughput And Waiting At Hospital Emergency Departments, Jomon Aliyas Paul, Lin Li

Jomon Aliyas Paul

Background: Overcrowding diminishes Emergency Department (ED) care delivery capabilities.

Objectives: We developed a generic methodology to investigate the causes of overcrowding and to identify strategies to resolve them, and applied it in the ED of a hospital participating in the study.

Methods: We utilized Discrete Event Simulation (DES) to capture the complex ED operations. Using DES results, we developed parametric models for checking the effectiveness and quantifying the potential gains from various improvement alternatives. We performed a follow-up study to compare the outcomes before and after the model recommendations were put into effect at the hospital participating …


Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md Apr 2014

Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md

Kathleen E Kane MD

No abstract provided.


A Statewide Survey Of Institutional Trauma Human Resource Allocation And Associated Patient Mortality, Bryan G. Kane Md, Quincy Gerrald Do, Catherine Fischer Do, Kevin Vong Do, Mary Sibley Do, Justin Binstead Do Apr 2014

A Statewide Survey Of Institutional Trauma Human Resource Allocation And Associated Patient Mortality, Bryan G. Kane Md, Quincy Gerrald Do, Catherine Fischer Do, Kevin Vong Do, Mary Sibley Do, Justin Binstead Do

Bryan G Kane MD

No abstract provided.


Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md Apr 2014

Gender Differences In Perceptions And Self-Reported Driving Behaviors Among Teenagers. (Poster), Gavin C. Barr Jr. Md, Kathleen E. Kane Md, Robert D. Barraco Md, Timarie Rayburg Do, Lauren Dugan Do, Chadd K. Kraus Do, Mph, Marna R. Greenberg Do, Mph, Facep, Valerie Rupp Rn, Bsn, Kimberly Hamilton, Bryan G. Kane Md

Bryan G Kane MD

No abstract provided.


Does Destination Determine Destiny? A Statewide Analysis Of Trauma Center Mortality, Bryan G. Kane Md, Quincy Gerrald Do, Catherine Fischer Do, Kevin Vong Do, Mary Sibley Do, Justin Binstead Do Apr 2014

Does Destination Determine Destiny? A Statewide Analysis Of Trauma Center Mortality, Bryan G. Kane Md, Quincy Gerrald Do, Catherine Fischer Do, Kevin Vong Do, Mary Sibley Do, Justin Binstead Do

Bryan G Kane MD

No abstract provided.


A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study To Assess The Effect Of Recombinant Human Erythropoietin On Functional Outcomes In Anemic, Critically Ill, Trauma Subjects: The Long Term Trauma Outcomes Study, Fred Luchette, Michael Pasquale, Timothy Fabian, Wayne Langholff, Marsha Wolfson Mar 2014

A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study To Assess The Effect Of Recombinant Human Erythropoietin On Functional Outcomes In Anemic, Critically Ill, Trauma Subjects: The Long Term Trauma Outcomes Study, Fred Luchette, Michael Pasquale, Timothy Fabian, Wayne Langholff, Marsha Wolfson

Michael D Pasquale MD, FACS, FCCM

BACKGROUND: Achieving a higher hemoglobin (Hb) level might allow the anemic, critically ill, trauma patient to have an improved outcome during rehabilitation therapy. METHODS: Patients with major blunt trauma orthopedic injuries were administered epoetin alfa or placebo weekly both in hospital and for up to 12 weeks after discharge or until the Hb level was >12.0 g/dL, whichever occurred first. The 36-question Short Form Health Assessment questionnaire (SF-36) was used to evaluate physical function (PF) outcomes at baseline, at hospital discharge, and at several time points posthospital discharge. RESULTS: One hundred ninety-two patients were enrolled (epoetin alfa [n = 97], …


An Analysis Of The Educational Value And Impact Of A Dual, Versus Single, Robotic Surgical Console In The Training Of Obgyn Residents, Joseph E. Patruno Md, Hubert K. Huang Ms, Med, Michelle W. Huang Md, Thomas Hutchinson Md, Martin A. Martino Md Mar 2014

An Analysis Of The Educational Value And Impact Of A Dual, Versus Single, Robotic Surgical Console In The Training Of Obgyn Residents, Joseph E. Patruno Md, Hubert K. Huang Ms, Med, Michelle W. Huang Md, Thomas Hutchinson Md, Martin A. Martino Md

Martin A Martino M.D. FACOG, FACS

No abstract provided.


Rapid Door To Balloon Time In The Treatment Of Acute St- Elevation Myocardial Infarction Meaningfully Reduces Overall Hospital Stay, Amit N. Nanavati Md, Nainesh Patel Md, Bruce Feldman Do, J Patrick Kleaveland Md, Orlando E. Rivera Rn, David A. Cox Md Mar 2014

Rapid Door To Balloon Time In The Treatment Of Acute St- Elevation Myocardial Infarction Meaningfully Reduces Overall Hospital Stay, Amit N. Nanavati Md, Nainesh Patel Md, Bruce Feldman Do, J Patrick Kleaveland Md, Orlando E. Rivera Rn, David A. Cox Md

Bruce A. Feldman DO

No abstract provided.


Massively Parallel Nonparametric Regression, With An Application To Developmental Brain Mapping, Philip T. Reiss, Lei Huang, Yin-Hsiu Chen, Lan Huo, Thaddeus Tarpey, Maarten Mennes Feb 2014

Massively Parallel Nonparametric Regression, With An Application To Developmental Brain Mapping, Philip T. Reiss, Lei Huang, Yin-Hsiu Chen, Lan Huo, Thaddeus Tarpey, Maarten Mennes

Lei Huang

We propose a penalized spline approach to performing large numbers of parallel nonparametric analyses of either of two types: restricted likelihood ratio tests of a parametric regression model versus a general smooth alternative, and nonparametric regression. Compared with naively performing each analysis in turn, our techniques reduce computation time dramatically. Viewing the large collection of scatterplot smooths produced by our methods as functional data, we develop a clustering approach to summarize and visualize these results. Our approach is applicable to ultra-high-dimensional data, particularly data acquired by neuroimaging; we illustrate it with an analysis of developmental trajectories of functional connectivity at …


Adaptive Pair-Matching In The Search Trial And Estimation Of The Intervention Effect, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan Jan 2014

Adaptive Pair-Matching In The Search Trial And Estimation Of The Intervention Effect, Laura Balzer, Maya L. Petersen, Mark J. Van Der Laan

Laura B. Balzer

In randomized trials, pair-matching is an intuitive design strategy to protect study validity and to potentially increase study power. In a common design, candidate units are identified, and their baseline characteristics used to create the best n/2 matched pairs. Within the resulting pairs, the intervention is randomized, and the outcomes measured at the end of follow-up. We consider this design to be adaptive, because the construction of the matched pairs depends on the baseline covariates of all candidate units. As consequence, the observed data cannot be considered as n/2 independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) pairs of units, as current practice assumes. …


A Serial Risk Score Approach To Disease Classification That Accounts For Accuracy And Cost, Ron Brookmeyer, Dat Huynh, Oliver Laeyendecker Dec 2013

A Serial Risk Score Approach To Disease Classification That Accounts For Accuracy And Cost, Ron Brookmeyer, Dat Huynh, Oliver Laeyendecker

Ron Brookmeyer

The performance of diagnostic tests for disease classification is often measured by accuracy (e.g., sensitivity or specificity); however, costs of the diagnostic test are a concern as well. Combinations of multiple diagnostic tests may improve accuracy, but incur additional costs. Here, we consider serial testing approaches that maintain accuracy while controlling costs of the diagnostic tests. We present a serial risk score classification approach. The basic idea is to sequentially test with additional diagnostic tests just until persons are classified. In this way, it is not necessary to test all persons with all tests. The methods are studied in simulations …


Graphical Assessment Of Internal And External Calibration Of Logistic Regression Models Using Loess Smoothers, Peter C. Austin Dec 2013

Graphical Assessment Of Internal And External Calibration Of Logistic Regression Models Using Loess Smoothers, Peter C. Austin

Peter Austin

Predicting the probability of the occurrence of a binary outcome or condition is important in biomedical research. While assessing discrimination is an essential issue in developing and validating binary prediction models, less attention has been paid to methods for assessing model calibration. Calibration refers to the degree of agreement between observed and predicted probabilities, and is often assessed by testing lack-of-fit. The objective of our study was to examine the ability of graphical methods to assess calibration of logistic regression models. We examined lack of internal calibration, which was related to mis-specification of the logistic regression model, and lack of …


Spatial Epidemiology And Climatic Predictors Of Paediatric Dengue Infections Captured Via Sentinel Site Surveillance, Phnom Penh Cambodia 2011–2012, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Buchy, Anne Rachline, Duch Moniboth, Rekol Huy, Chour Y. Meng, Yee Sin Leo, Kdan Yuvatha, Ung Sophal, Ngan Chantha, Bunthin Y, Veasna Duong, Sophie Goyet, Jeremy Brett, Arnaud Tarantola, Philippe Cavailler Dec 2013

Spatial Epidemiology And Climatic Predictors Of Paediatric Dengue Infections Captured Via Sentinel Site Surveillance, Phnom Penh Cambodia 2011–2012, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Buchy, Anne Rachline, Duch Moniboth, Rekol Huy, Chour Y. Meng, Yee Sin Leo, Kdan Yuvatha, Ung Sophal, Ngan Chantha, Bunthin Y, Veasna Duong, Sophie Goyet, Jeremy Brett, Arnaud Tarantola, Philippe Cavailler

Andrew Lover

Background
Dengue is a major contributor to morbidity in children aged twelve and below throughout Cambodia; the 2012 epidemic season was the most severe in the country since 2007, with more than 42,000 reported (suspect or confirmed) cases.
Methods
We report basic epidemiological characteristics in a series of 701 patients at the National Paediatric Hospital in Cambodia, recruited during a prospective clinical study (2011–2012). To more fully explore this cohort, we examined climatic factors using multivariate negative binomial models and spatial clustering of cases using spatial scan statistics to place the clinical study within a larger epidemiological framework.
Results
We …