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Medicine and Health Sciences Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Epidemiology

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

2017

Logistic regression

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Development Of Clinical Prediction Models For Surgery And Complications In Crohn’S Disease, Leonard M. Guizzetti Apr 2017

Development Of Clinical Prediction Models For Surgery And Complications In Crohn’S Disease, Leonard M. Guizzetti

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Background and Objective: Crohn’s disease (CD)-related complications account for a substantial proportion of IBD-related healthcare expenditure. Identifying patients at risk for complications may allow for targeted use of early therapeutic interventions to alter this natural course. The objective of this project was to develop risk prediction models of CD-related surgery and complications.

Methods: Using data from the REACT cluster-randomized clinical trial (N=1898 from 41 community practices), prediction models were developed and internally validated for CD-related surgery and CD-related complications, defined as the first CD-related surgery, hospitalization or complication within 24 months. Performance of each model was assessed in terms of …