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The Accident Externality From Driving, Aaron S. Edlin, Pinar Karaca Mandic
The Accident Externality From Driving, Aaron S. Edlin, Pinar Karaca Mandic
Aaron Edlin
We estimate auto accident externalities (more specifically insurance externalities) using panel data on state-average insurance premiums and loss costs. Externalities appear to be substantial in traffic-dense states: in California, for example, we find that the increase in traffic density from a typical additional driver increases total state wide in-surance costs of other drivers by $1,725–$3,239 per year, depending on the model. High–traffic density states have large economically and statistically significant externalities in all specifications we check. In contrast, the accident externality per driver in low-traffic states appears quite small. On balance, accident externalities are so large that a correcting Pigouvian …