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Shocking Technology: What Happens When Firms Make Large It Investments?, James Bessen, Cesare Righi
Shocking Technology: What Happens When Firms Make Large It Investments?, James Bessen, Cesare Righi
Faculty Scholarship
Many economists see information technology (IT) as central to understanding trends in productivity, labor’s share of output, and employment, especially as new “artificial intelligence” (AI) technologies emerge. Yet it has been difficult to measure its effects. This paper takes a first look at the economic impacts of large custom software investment by firms—“IT shocks.” Using a novel difference-in-differences methodology, we estimate the productivity of these shocks and the associated effects on revenues and employment and we explore the implications in terms of labor’s share and other variables, including heterogeneous relationships by industry, AI use, and time. In our preferred models, …