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Antitrust and Trade Regulation

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Faculty Articles

2009

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The Path To Profitability: Reinvigorating The Neglected Phase Of Merger Analysis, Jack Kirkwood Jan 2009

The Path To Profitability: Reinvigorating The Neglected Phase Of Merger Analysis, Jack Kirkwood

Faculty Articles

This article reviews every litigated federal merger case since 1992, when the federal enforcement agencies revised the entry section of their merger guidelines. This review, unprecedented in the literature, shows that courts continue to neglect the entry phase of merger analysis, the phase that addresses whether, if the merged firm raised prices, new firms would enter the market and restore competition. In determining whether new entry is likely, most courts do not ask whether it would be profitable, but whether the market is protected by entry barriers. This “yes or no” approach is flawed, for all markets have some barriers …