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Persistent Dependence In Foreign Exchange Rates? A Reexamination, Atreya Chakraborty
Persistent Dependence In Foreign Exchange Rates? A Reexamination, Atreya Chakraborty
Atreya Chakraborty
We test for stochastic long-memory behavior in the returns series of currency rates for eighteen industrial countries using a semiparametric fractional estimation method. A sensitivity analysis is also carried out to analyze the temporal stability of the longmemory parameter. Contrary to the findings of some previous studies alluding to the presence of long memory in major currency rates, our evidence provides wide support to the martingale model (and therefore for foreign exchange market efficiency) for our broader sample of foreign currency rates. Any inference of long-range dependence is fragile, especially for the major currency rates. However, long-memory dynamics are found …
Risk Sharing And The Market For Corporate Control: A Case For Golden Parachutes, Atreya Chakraborty
Risk Sharing And The Market For Corporate Control: A Case For Golden Parachutes, Atreya Chakraborty
Atreya Chakraborty
The predictability of security returns has received considerable attention in the literature, and yet the predictability of bond returns beyond the US markets has remained far less explored. Here we plan to remedy the shortcoming, and in that effort we analyse the ability of several predetermined information variables in predicting bond returns in the European market. We test if variables, commonly used for that matter in the context of other markets (such as inverse relative wealth, term spread, real bond yield and a January dummy) are also useful predictors of European bond returns. Due to some particularities of the sample …