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Is The Term Premium A Risk Premium?, Louis H. Ederington, Jeremy C. Goh
Is The Term Premium A Risk Premium?, Louis H. Ederington, Jeremy C. Goh
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
This paper explores whether excess holding period returns on long vis-a-vis short-term securities behave in a manner that is consistent with (1) market efficiency, (2) the time-varying-term-premium variant of the expectations hypothesis, and (3) theories of the term premium that view it as a reward for risk bearing. Both traditional and modern theories of the term premium imply that it should evolve fairly slowly over time as attitudes toward risk and/or perceived covariances with wealth or consumption change. This implies that this period's term premium should have some predictive ability for next period's. However, we find that this quarter's ex-post …
Private Placement Of Common Equity And Earnings Expectations, Jeremy C. Goh, Michael Gombola, Hai Wei Lee, Feng Ying Liu
Private Placement Of Common Equity And Earnings Expectations, Jeremy C. Goh, Michael Gombola, Hai Wei Lee, Feng Ying Liu
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
Earnings forecast revisions by analysts subsequent to the announcement of private equity placements are examined. Results show that analysts make significant upward revisions to their forecasts for current-year earnings. Furthermore, these forecast revisions are significantly related to announcement-period abnormal returns, but not to the risk changes accompanying the equity placement. These findings are consistent with the information hypothesis, which suggests that private equity placements convey favorable information about future earnings.
Transparency Of Ownership And Control In Germany, Marco Becht, Ekkehart Boehmer
Transparency Of Ownership And Control In Germany, Marco Becht, Ekkehart Boehmer
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
We first analyze legal provisions relating to corporate transparency in Germany. We show that despite the new securities trading law (WpHG) of 1995, the practical efficacy of disclosure regulation is very low. On the one hand, the formation of business groups involving less regulated legal forms as intermediate layers can substantially reduce transparency. On the other hand, the implementation of the law is not practical and not very effective. We illustrate these arguments using several examples of WpHG filings. To illustrate the importance of transparency, we show next that German capital markets are dominated by few large firms accounting for …
Cross Sectional Variation Of The Effect Of Bond Rating Changes On Stock Prices, Jeremy C. Goh, Louis H. Ederington
Cross Sectional Variation Of The Effect Of Bond Rating Changes On Stock Prices, Jeremy C. Goh, Louis H. Ederington
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
Previous research has found that the stock market reacts negatively to bond rating downgrades and that downgrades tend to follow periods of negative returns, indicating that at least some downgrades are partially predictable. Hypothesizing that the reaction to a downgrade depends on both the implications for cash flows and the degree of surprise, we explore how the reaction to downgrade announcements varies across bond issues. We find that the equity market reacts much more negatively to bond rating downgrades to and within the speculative bond category than to downgrades within the investment grade category. Within the speculative category, the reaction …