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The Efficacy Of Auditors' Going-Concern Opinions Compared With A Temporal And An Atemporal Bankruptcy Risk Model: Analysing Us Trade And Service Industry Failures 1974-1988, Carolyn Windsor, P Cybinski

Carolyn Windsor

Conflicting results have emerged from several past studies as to whether bankruptcy prediction models are able to forecast corporate failure more accurately than auditors’ going-concern opinions. Nevertheless, the last decade has seen improved modelling of the path-to-failure of financially distressed firms over earlier static models of bankruptcy. In the light of the current crisis facing the auditing profession, this study evaluates the efficacy of auditors’ going-concern opinions in comparison to two bankruptcy prediction models. Bankrupt firms in the U.S. service and trade industry sectors were used to compare model predictions against the auditors’ going-concern opinion for two years prior to …