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Management Information Systems

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California State University, San Bernardino

2023

ARIMA Models

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Forecasting Gasoline Price With Time Series Models, Xin James He Oct 2023

Forecasting Gasoline Price With Time Series Models, Xin James He

Communications of the IIMA

This research forecasts the gasoline price in U.S. and analyzes its managerial implications by means of both univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models. Gasoline price forecast is among the most difficulty time series variables during its importance to the economy and extremely volatile nature. The average regular gasoline price in U.S. reached $5.06 per gallon in the month of June 2022, as opposed to $3.41 at the beginning of 2022, a 48% increase. While gasoline prices had been rising over the first half of 2022 due to supply chain disruptions as a result of global Covid 19 lockdowns and …