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Examining Foreign Exchange Behaviour In Asia Pacific And Eastern European Emerging Countries, Catherine S. F. Ho, Mohamed Ariff Nov 2010

Examining Foreign Exchange Behaviour In Asia Pacific And Eastern European Emerging Countries, Catherine S. F. Ho, Mohamed Ariff

Mohamed Ariff

This paper reports new findings on exchange rate dynamics concerning whether non-parity fundamentals and parity factors affect exchange rates within a group of trade-related emerging countries: non-parity fundamentals suggested by economic theories have yet been systematically related to exchange rates. We use high- and low-frequency multi-country pooled time series panel data approach. The evidence that emerges from this paper is that non-parity factors are significant contributors to exchange rates. These new findings on other-than-parity fundamentals add to a richer understanding of exchange rate behaviour as well as clarifying why existing findings are mixed.


The Role Of Non-Parity Fundamentals In Exchange Rate Determination: Australia And The Asia Pacific Region, Mohamed Ariff, Catherine S. F. Ho Nov 2010

The Role Of Non-Parity Fundamentals In Exchange Rate Determination: Australia And The Asia Pacific Region, Mohamed Ariff, Catherine S. F. Ho

Mohamed Ariff

This paper extends the literature by looking at the contribution of non-parity variables after extracting the impact of parity variables on exchange rates of Australia and the Asia Pacific countries. Exchange rates are examined using high- and low-frequency multi-country panel time series data for a group of trade-related nations in the Asia Pacific, including Japan. Our findings suggest that exchange rate is affected by growth rate, and trade and capital flows: other less significant variables include sovereign debt; balance of payments; money supply; and trade openness. It also confirms that interest rate has significant effect on exchange rates while price …


Derivative Markets And Economic Growth: Is There A Relationship?, A. Baluch, Mohamed Ariff Aug 2009

Derivative Markets And Economic Growth: Is There A Relationship?, A. Baluch, Mohamed Ariff

Mohamed Ariff

The spread of capital markets during the half century to-date is a notable global phenomenon in economic development. Derivative markets spread globally in the last quarter century spreading form just two to some 50 in 2007. But the role of derivative markets to economic development has yet been studied. This paper reports new findings on the relationship between derivative market development and (a) economic growth and (b) spot market factors. The results provide very scant support to a positive functional contribution hypothesis by some scholars about derivative markets. However, a negative relationship between the liquidity level of derivative markets and …