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Hospitality Administration and Management

University of Central Florida

Cointegration

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The Role Of Tourism In Poverty Reduction: An Empirical Assessment, Robertico Croes Jan 2014

The Role Of Tourism In Poverty Reduction: An Empirical Assessment, Robertico Croes

Rosen Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

This paper assesses how tourism affects absolute poverty beyond its effects on growth in two developing countries. In particular, the author explores whether tourism spending leads to a decline in the proportion of people below the poverty line. An error correction model is applied to estimate the relationship between poverty and tourism spending. The results reveal that tourism does matter for the poor, but that it does not appear to have systematic effects, and that tourism development matters most for the poor at the lower levels of economic development. The findings from the two developing country case studies show differing …


Testing The Impact Of Tourism On Competitiveness: The Case Of Puerto Rico, Robertico Croes, Manuel A. Rivera Jan 2010

Testing The Impact Of Tourism On Competitiveness: The Case Of Puerto Rico, Robertico Croes, Manuel A. Rivera

Rosen Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

This study examines the empirical relationship between tourism and the competitiveness of a destination. It uses the cointegration and error correction model (ECM) in a bivariate context as a precondition to apply the Granger causality test. This procedure was carried out in the case of Puerto Rico's tourism industry during 1960–2004. The study found cointegration in the intertemporal rather than the contemporaneous effects, as well as a one-directional causality running from changes in tourism spending to changes in competitiveness. This result highlights the long-run equilibrium spending behaviour of tourists as a major concern of destination managers.