Business Commons^™

The Stock Market And Politics: An Analysis Of Stock Market Reactions To Political Decisions And World Events, Noah Endicott

Selected Honors Theses

The stock market is influenced by many outside factors around the world. Stock prices change every single day and there are many factors that cause this. This paper is structured as an extended literature review analyzing previous literature on the topic of politics and the stock market. There are six specific types of political decisions and world events analyzed to determine the effect on the stock market. The following topics are political elections, the presidential impact, tariffs, war, the pandemic, and tax cuts. Stock market data is gathered before and after the event takes place to understand the effects on …

Industry Stock Prices Around Covid-19, Daniel Cardall

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

In this study, I examine how market participants respond to global uncertainty around the Covid-19 pandemic. More specifically, I analyze the industries most affected by the outbreak. The pandemic has created events never before seen at such a global level. Governments closed their country’s borders and quarantined their residents. Business owners closed their doors. These unforeseen events put the world economy at a standstill. I find that these decisions caused the U.S. stock markets to crash by more than 30%. The industries that experienced the most negative value-weighted abnormal returns were Carry, Meals, and Books. The industries that exhibited the …

Costly Arbitrage And The Lead-Lag Structure Between Value And Glamour Stocks, Meng Li

Theses and Dissertations in Business Administration

Motivated by the findings of Lo and Mackinlay (1990) that size premium can be partially attributed to the lead-lag relation between the returns of large stocks and those of small stocks, in this thesis we hypothesize that a possible lead-lag structure between value and glamour returns can partially explain the value premium anomaly.

The thesis consists of three chapters. Chapter I documents a pronounced lead-lag structure between value and glamour stocks: the glamour stocks lead value stocks in terms of both mean returns and residual volatilities, suggesting that value stocks delay in price adjustment to new information. To further explore …

Operating Measures, Ipo Valuation, And After Market Performance-Perspective From Internet Bubble Period, Yuhong Fan

Theses and Dissertations in Business Administration

Internet related firms experienced an extremely high degree of underpricing in the year 1999 and 2000; 40 percent more than underpricing of Non-Internet firms. Two explanations for this phenomenon are examined: the changing-risk composition hypothesis and overreaction hypothesis. Empirical tests are conducted in three stages: first trading day, short-term, and long-term performances. The results are consistent with both hypotheses, and the high initial returns for Internet firms are explainable by investors' overreaction and the firm's high uncertainties.

Can Fundamental Value Predict Stock Returns? An Empirical Assessment Of The Feltham -Ohlson Model, Colin Anthony Pillay

Doctoral Dissertations

In valuation research, two modeling approaches that have become prominent are those based on the Residual Income Model (RIM) and those based on the G. Feltham-James A. Ohlson framework. Ohlson (1995) develops a valuation model which links a firm's fundamental value to the book value of equity, earnings and other relevant information. Feltham and Ohlson (1995) extend the Ohlson (1995) model to incorporate growth and conservative accounting.

This study provides an evaluation of the Feltham-Ohlson (1995) model assuming market inefficiency. Analyst forecast data are obtained from the international I/B/E/S files. Financial information and share prices are obtained from the Compustat …

The Fundamental And Non-Fundamental Components Of Stock Prices: The Role Of Time-Varying Expected Inflation, Maosen Zhong

Doctoral Dissertations

I derive testable implications of fundamental and non-fundamental components of stock prices. In order to control for the role of time-varying expected inflation and to be able to perform reasonable empirical tests, I use a nominal (rather than a real) interpretation of the present-value model (PVM), whereby nominal interest rates approximate expected inflation. I conjecture that the fundamental and non-fundamental components represent the permanent and temporary components of stock prices, respectively. A series of cointegration analysis over the annual period 1871–1997 confirms my conjecture for the model with time-varying expected inflation. Various fundamental and non-fundamental exclusion tests indicate that both …