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Full-Text Articles in Business

Predictable Responses In Currency Markets To Macroeconomic News: A Trading System Approach, Bruce Vanstone, Warwick Schneller Jul 2014

Predictable Responses In Currency Markets To Macroeconomic News: A Trading System Approach, Bruce Vanstone, Warwick Schneller

Bruce Vanstone

This paper analyses how the release of a macro news event affects exchange rate behaviour. The event examined was the US non-farm payrolls announcement and the British Pound (GBP)/ US Dollar (USD) were the selected currency pair. A trading system model was developed based on a formal methodology previously applied to equity markets. The system examined the currencies reaction to the announcement in determining whether any behavioural patterns were present. Based on the trading system, no exploitable trading patterns were found.


Developing High Frequency Foreign Exchange Trading Systems, Bruce Vanstone Jul 2014

Developing High Frequency Foreign Exchange Trading Systems, Bruce Vanstone

Bruce Vanstone

The foreign exchange (FX) spot markets are well suited to high frequency trading. They are highly liquid, allow leverage, and trade 24 hours a day, 5 days a week. This paper documents and tests the stylized facts known about high-frequency FX markets. It then postulates a high frequency trading system on the basis of these stylized facts. Benchmarking confirms the robustness of the approach, demonstrating the role algorithmic trading has to play in higher frequency trading environments.


Financial Trading Systems Using Artificial Neural Networks, Bruce Vanstone, Gavin Finnie Nov 2012

Financial Trading Systems Using Artificial Neural Networks, Bruce Vanstone, Gavin Finnie

Bruce Vanstone

Soft computing represents that area of computing adapted from the physical sciences. Artificial intelligence techniques within this realm attempt to solve problems by applying physical laws and processes. This style of computing is particularly tolerant of imprecision and uncertainty, making the approach attractive to those researching within “noisy” realms, where the signal-to-noise ratio is quite low. Soft computing is normally accepted to include the three key areas of fuzzy logic, artificial neural networks, and probabilistic reasoning (which include genetic algorithms, chaos theory, etc.). The arena of investment trading is one such field where there is an abundance of noisy data. …


Developing High Frequency Foreign Exchange Trading Systems, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie Nov 2012

Developing High Frequency Foreign Exchange Trading Systems, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie

Bruce Vanstone

The foreign exchange (FX) spot markets are well suited to high frequency trading. They are highly liquid, allow leverage, and trade 24 hours a day, 5 days a week. This paper documents and tests the stylized facts known about high-frequency FX markets. It then postulates a high frequency trading system on the basis of these stylized facts. Benchmarking confirms the robustness of the approach, demonstrating the role algorithmic trading has to play in higher frequency trading environments.


Momentum Returns To S&P/Asx 100 Constituents, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie Jun 2012

Momentum Returns To S&P/Asx 100 Constituents, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie

Bruce Vanstone

No abstract provided.


The Great Debate: Fundamental V Technical Analysis, Alison Harrington, Max Knobel, Bruce Vanstone, George Karakatsanis Jul 2010

The Great Debate: Fundamental V Technical Analysis, Alison Harrington, Max Knobel, Bruce Vanstone, George Karakatsanis

Bruce Vanstone

So, you want be a successful share market trader? It doesn’t matter whether you have a burning desire to be a hotshot analyst for a large fund manager or you just want to be a lot more hands-on with your own portfolio – you need to understand both Fundamental and Technical Analysis.


How To Generate Maximum Returns And Reduce Risk Using Position Sizing Techniques, Bruce Vanstone Jul 2010

How To Generate Maximum Returns And Reduce Risk Using Position Sizing Techniques, Bruce Vanstone

Bruce Vanstone

Selecting what and when to buy and sell is an important aspect of trading. However, it is not the only technique that determines how profitable a trader or investor will be. Overall profitability is also determined by how much is bought. Determining how much to buy or sell is the field of position sizing. Unfortunately, most traders tend to focus on their entry and exit signals, and position sizing usually receives only a cursory glance.


Momentum (Part 3 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone Dec 2009

Momentum (Part 3 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone

Bruce Vanstone

Extract:

This article is part 3 of a 3‐part series. In this final article, I will summarize the key characteristics of investing using momentum based approaches. I will also discuss some approaches to managing risk in momentum models, and the benefits investors expect when investing with rules‐based funds.


Momentum (Part 2 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone Dec 2009

Momentum (Part 2 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone

Bruce Vanstone

Extract:

This article is part 2 of a 3‐part series. In this article, I will focus on using simulations to demonstrate the potential risks and rewards of the momentum approach. In the final part of the series, I will discuss the way in which investors can benefit from rule‐based approaches to investment.


Momentum (Part 1 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone Dec 2009

Momentum (Part 1 Of 3), Bruce Vanstone

Bruce Vanstone

Extract:

The purpose of this 3‐part series of articles is to provide information about the potential benefits of momentum investing. In this series, I will try and explain what momentum is, the potential returns available to momentum investors, and the way that the Porter Capital Management combine mechanical, rules‐based strategies with the momentum effect to deliver benefits to investors.


Fundamental Investment Research – Do Us Results Apply To Australian Investors?, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie Nov 2009

Fundamental Investment Research – Do Us Results Apply To Australian Investors?, Bruce Vanstone, Tobias Hahn, Gavin Finnie

Bruce Vanstone

For many investors, the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009 has sparked renewed interest in value-based investment approaches. There is much published research supporting the use of fundamental analysis for value-based investment, and much of this research comes from the US. In previous articles, we have shown that US based fundamental investment research does not translate well to the Australian market. In this paper, we show how to test a well documented US fundamental investment strategy and find that it also does not transfer well to our Australian market.