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Articles 1 - 30 of 57
Full-Text Articles in Business
Prediction Markets To Forecast Electricity Demand, Peter Cramton, Luciano De Castro
Prediction Markets To Forecast Electricity Demand, Peter Cramton, Luciano De Castro
Luciano I. de Castro
Forecasting electricity demand for future years is an essential step in resource planning. A common approach is for the system operator to predict future demand from the estimates of individual distribution companies. However, the predictions thus obtained may be of poor quality, since the reporting incentives are unclear. We propose a prediction market as a form of forecasting future demand for electricity. We describe how to implement a simple prediction market for continuous variables, using only contracts based on binary variables. We also discuss specific issues concerning the implementation of such a market.
A Pitch For Microfinance: Using An Animation To Promote An Economic Movement, Yelena Kozlova
A Pitch For Microfinance: Using An Animation To Promote An Economic Movement, Yelena Kozlova
Art and Design
Microfinance refers to the idea of providing financial services to low-income clients. The purpose of this project was to create an animation using Adobe Flash that could be published online to inform the public about microfinance and to encourage the viewers to take part in this movement.
Private Fund Adviser Registration Act Hr-3818, Anita Krug
Private Fund Adviser Registration Act Hr-3818, Anita Krug
All Faculty Scholarship
This paper comments on the Obama administration's 2009 proposal for the regulation of hedge fund investment advisers.
Dating The Timeline Of Financial Bubbles During The Subprime Crisis, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu
Dating The Timeline Of Financial Bubbles During The Subprime Crisis, Peter C. B. Phillips, Jun Yu
Research Collection School Of Economics
A new recursive regression methodology is introduced to analyze the bubble characteristics of various financial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods modify a technique proposed in Phillips, Wu, and Yu (2011) and provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior with consistent dating of their origination and collapse. The tests serve as an early warning diagnostic of bubble activity and a new procedure is introduced for testing bubble migration across markets. Three relevant financial series are investigated, including a financial asset price (a house price index), a commodity price (the crude oil price), and one bond price (the spread …
Restarting Securitization Markets: Policy Proposals And Pitfalls, John Kiff, Andy Jobst, Jodi Scarlata, Michael Kisser
Restarting Securitization Markets: Policy Proposals And Pitfalls, John Kiff, Andy Jobst, Jodi Scarlata, Michael Kisser
John Kiff
This chapter tracks the rise and fall of securitization markets, and evaluates the various initiatives aimed at restarting them on a sounder footing, focusing on the markets for securities not backed by governments or government-sponsored enterprises. The analysis attempts to discern how securitization can positively contribute to financial stability and sustainable economic growth. While most of the current proposals are unambiguously positive for securitization markets and financial stability, some proposals—such as those designed to improve the alignment of securitizer and investor interests and accounting changes that will result in more securitized assets remaining on balance sheets—may be combined in ways …
Liaisons Dangereuses: Increasing Connectivity, Risk Sharing, And Systemic Risk By Battiston, Delli Gatti, Gallegati, Greenwald And Stiglitz: Discussion, Carlo Drago
Carlo Drago
No abstract provided.
Alternative Estimators Of Cointegrating Parameters In Models With Non-Stationary Data: An Application To Us Export Demand (Working Paper), James J. Forest, Paul Turner
Alternative Estimators Of Cointegrating Parameters In Models With Non-Stationary Data: An Application To Us Export Demand (Working Paper), James J. Forest, Paul Turner
James J Forest
This paper presents Monte Carlo simulations which compare the empirical performance of two alternative single equation estimators of the equilibrium parameters in a dynamic relationship. The estimators considered are Stock and Watson’s dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) estimator and Bewley’s transformation of the general autoregressive distributed lag model. The results indicate that the Bewley transformation produces a lower mean-square error as well as superior serial correlation properties even with lower truncation lags for the lagged variables included in the estimation equation. An application is then provided which examines the nature of the equilibrium relationship between aggregate US exports, world trade …
The Research On Function And Application Of Financial Leasing For Small And Medium Size Shipping Enterprise: Decision Making On Ship Financing In M Company, Yu Miao
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
A Study On Development Strategy Of Shipping Company C Dalian Branch, Minghui Xu
A Study On Development Strategy Of Shipping Company C Dalian Branch, Minghui Xu
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Influence Of Financial Storm On The Ship Chartering Market And The Way Of Risks Control, Xingyuan Sun
Influence Of Financial Storm On The Ship Chartering Market And The Way Of Risks Control, Xingyuan Sun
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Study The Chio Chemical Logistics Business Development Strategy Base On The Global Financial Crisis, Shang Xia
Study The Chio Chemical Logistics Business Development Strategy Base On The Global Financial Crisis, Shang Xia
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Analysis On Strategies Of Liners Against The Global Financial Crisis, Feng Chen
Analysis On Strategies Of Liners Against The Global Financial Crisis, Feng Chen
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
The Evolution Of Lianyungang Port Fund From Share Market, Pengyu Bai
The Evolution Of Lianyungang Port Fund From Share Market, Pengyu Bai
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Research On Scf Model Under Financial Crisis: An Integrated Sc Project In China Based On Financing, Rui Liu
Research On Scf Model Under Financial Crisis: An Integrated Sc Project In China Based On Financing, Rui Liu
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
The Correlation Analysis Between Financial And Shipping Industry, Bailin Sui
The Correlation Analysis Between Financial And Shipping Industry, Bailin Sui
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
The Construction And Development Of Shanghai International Shipping Center, Shimin Wang
The Construction And Development Of Shanghai International Shipping Center, Shimin Wang
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Research On The Supply Chain Inventory Management To Gen Garment Co. Ltd, Wei Wang
Research On The Supply Chain Inventory Management To Gen Garment Co. Ltd, Wei Wang
World Maritime University Dissertations
No abstract provided.
Financial Regulatory Reform And Private Funds, Anita Krug
Financial Regulatory Reform And Private Funds, Anita Krug
All Faculty Scholarship
This white paper comments on the Obama administration's June 2009 proposal for the regulation of hedge fund investment advisers.
There Should Be Little Or No Liquidity Discounts For Controlling Interests In Closely Held Businesses, Michael Sack Elmaleh
There Should Be Little Or No Liquidity Discounts For Controlling Interests In Closely Held Businesses, Michael Sack Elmaleh
Michael Sack Elmaleh
The application of liquidity discounts to the appraised values of controlling interests in closely held businesses reflects a failure of the valuation community to fully appreciate the fact that these equity interests belong to a fundamentally different investment class than publicly traded securities. Investors in publicly traded securities have dramatically different expectations about the benefits and sacrifices of such investments, compared to the expectations of benefits and sacrifices of investors in closely held companies. Investors in publicly traded securities expect their minority interest investments to be highly liquid, yield free cash flow, and require no participation in the management of …
Are Credit Unions In Ecuador Achieving Economies Of Scale?, Nick A. Marchio
Are Credit Unions In Ecuador Achieving Economies Of Scale?, Nick A. Marchio
Economics Honors Projects
This study tests the assertion that membership growth in credit unions is constrained by their unique structural features, such as their non-profit mission and member-based ownership. Although these features enhance inclusiveness, existing theory suggest that they work against efficiency when membership grows too diffuse. To address this issue, this study uses a model that takes into account existing theory on constrained-optimization in credit unions and theory on the adverse effects of diffuse ownership. Using data on 36 public credit unions in Ecuador, the empirical analysis finds evidence that credit unions can achieve economies of scale despite their problematic structural features. …
Ethics, Evidence And International Debt, Julie A. Nelson
Ethics, Evidence And International Debt, Julie A. Nelson
Economics Faculty Publication Series
The assumption that contracts are largely impersonal, rational, voluntary agreements drawn up between self-interested individual agents is a convenient fiction, necessary for analysis using conventional economic methods. Papers prepared for a recent conference on ethics and international debt were shaped by just such an assumption. The adequacy of this approach is, however, challenged by evidence about who is affected by international debt, how contracts are actually made and followed, the behavior of actors in financial markets, and the motivations of scholars themselves. This essay uses insights from feminist and relational scholarship from several disciplines to analyze the reasons for this …
Ethics, Evidence And International Debt, Julie Nelson
Ethics, Evidence And International Debt, Julie Nelson
Julie A. Nelson
The assumption that contracts are largely impersonal, rational, voluntary agreements drawn up between self-interested individual agents is a convenient fiction, necessary for analysis using conventional economic methods. Papers prepared for a recent conference on ethics and international debt were shaped by just such an assumption. The adequacy of this approach is, however, challenged by evidence about who is affected by international debt, how contracts are actually made and followed, the behavior of actors in financial markets, and the motivations of scholars themselves. This essay uses insights from feminist and relational scholarship from several disciplines to analyze the reasons for this …
South Burlington Vt: New Urbanist South Village, Jack Kartez, Richard Barringer
South Burlington Vt: New Urbanist South Village, Jack Kartez, Richard Barringer
Planning
The 220 acre master plan for South Village, the largest project in the City of South Burlington’s history, encompasses multiple housing types and innovative provisions for affordable housing. It integrates housing with open space and natural resource conservation, including a major Community Supported Agriculture project developed by a nonprofit partner, the Intervale Foundation. While not a mixed-use project (that is, commercial as well as residential development), South Village nonetheless represents a qualitative change in approach for South Burlington by incorporating large-scale open space preservation as part of development and multiple housing-types in one project. The case study recounts events leading …
Policies To Mitigate Procyclicality, John Kiff, Jochen Andritzky, Laura Kodres, Jodi Scarlata, Andrea Maechler, Pamela Madrid, Aditya Narain, Noel Sacasa
Policies To Mitigate Procyclicality, John Kiff, Jochen Andritzky, Laura Kodres, Jodi Scarlata, Andrea Maechler, Pamela Madrid, Aditya Narain, Noel Sacasa
John Kiff
The present crisis has focused attention on how procyclicality in the financial system can have outsized effects. This paper examines the reasons for this, specifically focusing on regulations or market practices that can accentuate economic cycles. In this light, the paper thus discusses the role of private sector risk management practices (including liquidity risk management), compensation practices, capital adequacy requirements and provisioning rules, deposit insurance regimes, and monetary policy actions. While recognizing various practical limitations, new policy responses are identified that could help to mitigate procyclicality.
Using High-Frequency Transaction Data To Estimate The Probability Of Informed Trading, Anthony S. Tay, Christopher Ting, Yiu Kuen Tse, Mitchell Warachka
Using High-Frequency Transaction Data To Estimate The Probability Of Informed Trading, Anthony S. Tay, Christopher Ting, Yiu Kuen Tse, Mitchell Warachka
Research Collection School Of Economics
This paper applies the asymmetric autoregressive conditional duration (AACD) model of Bauwens and Giot (2003) to estimate the probability of informed trading (PIN) using irregularly spaced transaction data. We model trade direction (buy versus sell orders) and the duration between trades jointly. Unlike the Easley, Hvidkjaer, and O'Hara (2002) approach, which uses the aggregate numbers of daily buy and sell orders to estimate PIN, our methodology allows for interactions between consecutive buy-sell orders and accounts for the duration between trades and the volume of trade. We extend the Easley–Hvidkjaer–O'Hara framework by allowing the probabilities of good news and bad news …
Hype My Stock: Do Firms Really Want Biased Research?, Roger Loh
Hype My Stock: Do Firms Really Want Biased Research?, Roger Loh
Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business
Analyst research is alleged to be biased because of conflicts of interest when analysts’ employers underwrite securities for the firms covered. I posit that affiliated analyst optimism should be the strongest for offering firms with a desire to over-inflate stock prices. I hypothesize that a firm’s corporate governance and its CEO incentives are related to the affiliation bias. Using stock recommendations data, I find evidence that the affiliation bias is indeed more pervasive for firms with high CEO wealth sensitivity to stock price (i.e., high CEO delta). The larger affiliation bias for high delta firms remains even after the introduction …
Learn This Lesson: We Really Can't Have It All, Aaron W. Hughey
Learn This Lesson: We Really Can't Have It All, Aaron W. Hughey
Counseling & Student Affairs Faculty Publications
No abstract provided.
The Regulatory Response To Madoff, Anita Krug
The Regulatory Response To Madoff, Anita Krug
All Faculty Scholarship
This white paper evaluates investor protection mechanisms in the securities regulatory regime at the time the Madoff fraud was exposed. It considers whether the post-Madoff call for additional regulation of hedge funds and/or their managers - and/or their respective activities - was warranted.
A Two-Sided Auction For Legacy Loans, Peter Cramton
A Two-Sided Auction For Legacy Loans, Peter Cramton
Peter Cramton
On Monday, 23 March 2009, Treasury Secretary Geithner presented the Public-Private Investment Program as a key instrument to resolve the financial crisis (www.financialstability.gov). The Treasury’s description still leaves many issues unanswered. We flesh out the auction design for legacy loans. A two-sided auction is required. Both banks and private investors must compete in a transparent and competitive process.
The Hedge Fund Transparency Act Of 2009, Anita Krug
The Hedge Fund Transparency Act Of 2009, Anita Krug
All Faculty Scholarship
This white paper provides a review and critique of a bill introduced by Senators Charles Grassley (R-Iowa) and Carl Levin (D-Mich.) in the Senate in early 2009 that, if enacted, would have imposed certain registration and disclosure requirements on hedge funds and certain other private funds.