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Business Administration, Management, and Operations

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

2014

Propagation of recessions

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Geography Of Firms And Propagation Of Local Economic Shocks, Gennaro Bernile, George Korniotis, Alok Kumar Nov 2014

Geography Of Firms And Propagation Of Local Economic Shocks, Gennaro Bernile, George Korniotis, Alok Kumar

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This study shows that the geographical distribution of publicly-traded firms generates an economic network that links the economic environments of all U.S. states. Using a novel measure of economic linkages among publicly-traded firms, we build a state-level network of economic connections and show that local economic shocks propagate through this geographical network. Specifically, for each state, we identify U.S. states that are economically relevant for firms headquartered in that state and show that economic conditions in economically relevant states predict the economic environment in the headquarter state. These results do not merely reflect the impact of omitted common national shocks. …