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Modeling The Abundance And Distribution Of Terrestrial Plants Through Space And Time, Caroline Curtis
Modeling The Abundance And Distribution Of Terrestrial Plants Through Space And Time, Caroline Curtis
Doctoral Dissertations
Anthropogenically-driven changes threaten ecosystems and species over regional to global scales. I addressed several questions related to how species ranges will respond to these changes over large spatial and temporal extents to better understand what determines where a species occurs. First, I modeled presence and abundance of two widespread invasive plants in the southwest U.S. under current and projected future climatic conditions, from which I inferred impact risk. These results provide more insight than presence modeling alone and highlight the possibility of increased invasion pressure in the future. Second, I tested the assumption that expert-based climatic tolerance data will better …
Preparing Water Supply Systems For Climate Change: The Role Of Hydrologic Forecasting In The Northeast, Leslie Decristofaro
Preparing Water Supply Systems For Climate Change: The Role Of Hydrologic Forecasting In The Northeast, Leslie Decristofaro
Doctoral Dissertations
Fresh water is a resource strongly impacted by climactic conditions. Water supply systems in the northeastern United States will see the effects of climate change on their water quality and quantity in various ways, including changes in seasonality of flows, changes in the frequency and magnitude of extreme precipitation events, and changes in the variability of precipitation and water availability. Five northeastern water supplies examined are expected to maintain at least 95% monthly reliability over a range of climates wider than the current projections. However, model results indicate that turbidity levels in New York City's Ashokan Reservoir will change with …
Evaluating Policy And Climate Impacts On Water Resources Systems Using Coupled Human-Natural Models, Hassaan Furqan Khan
Evaluating Policy And Climate Impacts On Water Resources Systems Using Coupled Human-Natural Models, Hassaan Furqan Khan
Doctoral Dissertations
Extensive human intervention in the terrestrial hydrosphere means that virtually every river basin globally reflects the interaction between human and natural hydrologic processes. Thus, sustainable watershed management needs to not only account for the diverse ways humans benefit from the environment but also incorporate the impact of human actions on the natural system. Informed policy making to address our water challenges requires a comprehensive understanding of these feedbacks and how they might be affected by future changes in climate. This work develops coupled human-natural models for improved surface water and groundwater management in water-scarce regions under future changes in climate. …
Flood Risk Assessment, Management And Perceptions In A Changing World, Katherine Schlef
Flood Risk Assessment, Management And Perceptions In A Changing World, Katherine Schlef
Doctoral Dissertations
Floods are a global challenge that is increasing due to changes in climate and human populations. Using an interdisciplinary approach, this work contributes novel methodologies and knowledge to three key challenges associated with floods. The first chapter builds upon the atmospheric and statistical sciences to provide a general methodology for climate informed approaches to projecting long-term flood events based on large-scale ocean-atmospheric processes. The second chapter builds upon the engineering, decision analysis, and economics disciplines to integrate climate-informed projections with decision-scaling, a decision-making under uncertainty framework, to further flood risk management. The third chapter builds upon the social sciences to …