Statistics and Probability Commons^™

Information And Communication Technology To Link Criminal Justice Reentrants To Hiv Care In The Community, Ann Kurth, Irene Kuo, James Peterson, Nkiru Azikiwe, Lauri Bazerman, Alice Cates, Curt G. Beckwith

Epidemiology Faculty Publications

The United States has the world’s highest prison population, and an estimated one in seven HIV-positive persons in the USA passes through a correctional facility annually. Given this, it is critical to develop innovative and effective approaches to support HIV treatment and retention in care among HIV-positive individuals involved in the criminal justice (CJ) system. Information and communication technologies (ICTs), including mobile health (mHealth) interventions, may offer one component of a successful strategy for linkage/retention in care. We describe CARE+ Corrections, a randomized controlled trial (RCT) study now underway in Washington, that will evaluate the combined effect of computerized motivational …

Transmission Potential Of Influenza A/H7n9, February To May 2013, China, Gerardo Chowell, Lone Simonsen, Sherry Towers, Mark A. Miller, Cecile G. Viboud

Epidemiology Faculty Publications

Background

On 31 March 2013, the first human infections with the novel influenza A/H7N9 virus were reported in Eastern China. The outbreak expanded rapidly in geographic scope and size, with a total of 132 laboratory-confirmed cases reported by 3 June 2013, in 10 Chinese provinces and Taiwan. The incidence of A/H7N9 cases has stalled in recent weeks, presumably as a consequence of live bird market closures in the most heavily affected areas. Here we compare the transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9 with that of other emerging pathogens and evaluate the impact of intervention measures in an effort to guide pandemic …

A Case–Control Study Of Incident Rheumatological Conditions Following Acute Gastroenteritis During Military Deployment, Kathryn Deyoung, Mark A. Riddle, Larissa S. May, Chad K. Porter

Epidemiology Faculty Publications

Objectives The aim of this study was to assess the risk of incident rheumatological diagnoses (RD) associated with self-reported diarrhoea and vomiting during a first-time deployment to Iraq or Afghanistan. Such an association would provide evidence that RD in this population may include individuals with reactive arthritis (ReA) from deployment-related infectious gastroenteritis.

Design This case–control epidemiological study used univariate and multivariate logistic regression to compare the odds of self-reported diarrhoea/vomiting among deployed US military personnel with incident RD to the odds of diarrhoea/vomiting among a control population.

Setting We analysed health records of personnel deployed to Iraq or Afghanistan, including …

Environmental Exposure To Pyrethroids And Sperm Sex Chromosome Disomy: A Cross-Sectional Study, Heather A. Young, John D. Meeker, Sheena E. Martenies, Zaida I. Figueroa, Dana Boyd Barr, Melissa J. Perry

Epidemiology Faculty Publications

Background

The role of environmental pesticide exposures, such as pyrethroids, and their relationship to sperm abnormalities are not well understood. This study investigated whether environmental exposure to pyrethroids was associated with altered frequency of sperm sex chromosome disomy in adult men.

Methods

A sample of 75 subjects recruited through a Massachusetts infertility clinic provided urine and semen samples. Individual exposures were measured as urinary concentrations of three pyrethroid metabolites ((3-phenoxybenzoic acid (3PBA), cis- and trans- 3-(2,2-Dichlorovinyl)-1-methylcyclopropane-1,2-dicarboxylic acid (CDCCA and TDCCA)). Multiprobe fluorescence in situ hybridization for chromosomes X, Y, and 18 was used to determine XX, YY, XY, 1818, and …

Food For Thought … Mechanistic Validation, Thomas Hartung, Sebastian Hoffman, Martin Stephens

Experimentation Collection

Validation of new approaches in regulatory toxicology is commonly defined as the independent assessment of the reproducibility and relevance (the scientific basis and predictive capacity) of a test for a particular purpose. In large ring trials, the emphasis to date has been mainly on reproducibility and predictive capacity (comparison to the traditional test) with less attention given to the scientific or mechanistic basis. Assessing predictive capacity is difficult for novel approaches (which are based on mechanism), such as pathways of toxicity or the complex networks within the organism (systems toxicology). This is highly relevant for implementing Toxicology for the 21st …

Rna Profiles Of Porcine Embryos During Genome Activation Reveal Complex Metabolic Switch Sensitive To In Vitro Conditions, Olga Østrup, Gayla R. Olbricht, Esben Østrup, Poul Hyttel, Philippe Collas, Ryan A. Cabot

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Fertilization is followed by complex changes in cytoplasmic composition and extensive chromatin reprogramming which results in the abundant activation of totipotent embryonic genome at embryonic genome activation (EGA). While chromatin reprogramming has been widely studied in several species, only a handful of reports characterize changing transcriptome profiles and resulting metabolic changes in cleavage stage embryos. The aims of the current study were to investigate RNA profiles of in vivo developed (ivv) and in vitro produced (ivt) porcine embryos before (2-cell stage) and after (late 4-cell stage) EGA and determine major metabolic changes that regulate totipotency. The period before EGA was …

Modeling, Analysis, And Applications Of Complex Systems, Chuandong Li, Xiaodi Li, Shukai Duan, Yanzhi Zhang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Recent advances in theory and applications of complex dynamical systems have contributed much to the successful handling of certain problems in biology, physics, economics, engineering, and so forth that until recently were thought too difficult to be analyzed. These complex systems may be characterized by systems with uncertainty, impulse, time delay, stochastic perturbation, hybrid dynamics, distributed dynamics, and chaotic dynamics. The overall aim of this special issue is to bring together the latest or innovative knowledge and advances in mathematics for handling complex systems, which may depend largely on methods from mathematical analysis, artificial intelligence, statistics, and engineering, including nonlinear …

A Bound On The Vertical Transport Of Heat In The 'Ultimate' State Of Slippery Convection At Large Prandtl Numbers, Xiaoming Wang, Jared P. Whitehead

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

An upper bound on the rate of vertical heat transport is established in three dimensions for stress-free velocity boundary conditions on horizontally periodic plates. a variation of the background method is implemented that allows negative values of the quadratic form to yield 'small' (O.1=Pr/) corrections to the subsequent bound. for large (but finite) Prandtl numbers this bound is an improvement over the 'ultimate' Ra1=2 scaling and, in the limit of infinite Pr, agrees with the bound of Ra5=12 recently derived in that limit for stress-free boundaries. © 2013 Cambridge University Press.

Well-Posedness Of The Hele-Shaw-Cahn-Hilliard System, Xiaoming Wang, Zhifei Zhang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We study the well-posedness of the Hele-Shaw-Cahn-Hilliard system modeling binary fluid flow in porous media with arbitrary viscosity contrast but matched density between the components. for initial data in Hs, s>d2+1, the existence and uniqueness of solution in C([0,T];Hs) ∪L2(0,T;Hs+2) that is global in time in the two-dimensional case (d=2) and local in time in the three-dimensional case (d=3) are established. Several blow-up criterions in the three-dimensional case are provided as well. One of the tools that we utilized is the Littlewood-Paley theory in order to establish certain key commutator estimates. © 2012 Elsevier Masson SAS.

Complex Dynamics In Predator-Prey Models With Nonmonotonic Functional Response And Seasonal Harvesting, Jicai Huang, Jing Chen, Yijun Gong, Weipeng Zhang

Mathematics Faculty Articles

In this paper we study the complex dynamics of predator-prey systems with nonmonotonic functional response and harvesting. When the harvesting is constant-yield for prey, it is shown that various kinds of bifurcations, such as saddle-node bifurcation, degenerate Hopf bifurcation, and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation, occur in the model as parameters vary. The existence of two limit cycles and a homoclinic loop is established by numerical simulations. When the harvesting is seasonal for both species, sufficient conditions for the existence of an asymptotically stable periodic solution and bifurcation of a stable periodic orbit into a stable invariant torus of the model are given. …

Synthesis: What We Have Learned From The East Texas Radiocarbon Database, Robert Z. Selden Jr., Timothy K. Perttula

CRHR: Archaeology

This poster provides a short overview of what we have learned from the East Texas Radiocarbon Database since it became available on the Council of Texas Archeologists’ website in 2011. These successes are numerous and include the advancement of novel methodological approaches; an improvement in our comprehension of the temporal nuances within the East Texas Archaic; the division of the East Texas Woodland period into Early, Middle and Late; the refinement of Caddo temporal chronology – particularly from a geographic perspective -- and it has provided one line of evidence to use to argue for the fluorescence of corn-based agriculture …

Ceramic Petrofacies: Modeling The Angelina River Basin In East Texas, Robert Z. Selden Jr.

CRHR: Archaeology

Ceramic provenance studies remain the basis of worldwide archaeological research concerned with reconstructing exchange networks, tracing migrations, and informing upon ceramic economy. Unfortunately, Texas archaeologists have been plagued with an inability to trace ceramic production sources to the same extent as researchers within other regions. Ceramic petrofacies models have been employed successfully in archaeological contexts at the San Pedro Valley, Tonto basin, Tucson basin, Agua Fria, and Gila and Phoenix basins in Arizona, but have not yet been employed east of Arizona. Data resulting from the construction of an actualistic petrofacies model in the prehistoric coastal environment of East Texas …

Epistemology And Synthesis: Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis And The Caddo Tradition, Robert Z. Selden Jr.

CRHR: Archaeology

The statistical groupings illustrated herein represent the current iteration of Caddo INAA compositional groups based upon the chemical composition of archaeologically-recovered ceramics. For some time, a number of Caddo archaeologists have thought these results to be lacking. This poster symbolizes the first step toward a new interpretation of chemical composition groups, and the initial instancce within which GIS has been employed as an analytical tool.

Spatial Dynamics Of U.S. Cultural Resource Law, Robert Z. Selden Jr., C. Britt Bousman

CRHR: Archaeology

The American Antiquities Act, Historic Sites Act, Archeological and Historic Preservation Act, National Historic Preservation Act, American Indian Religious Freedom Act, Archeological Resources Protection Act, Abandoned Shipwreck Act, and the Native American Graves Protection and Repatriation Act comprise the basis of our exploration of cultural resource legislation in the United States. Since the passage of the American Antiquities Act in 1906, 1086 cases have challenged these statutes in U.S. courts. We investigate temporal and regional patterns of the case law to establish whether these laws are uniformly prosecuted throughout the U.S. Our findings suggest that case law is complex and …

Radiocarbon Trends And The East Texas Caddo Tradition (Ca. A.D. 800-1680), Robert Z. Selden Jr., Timothy K. Perttula

CRHR: Archaeology

Through the employment of radiocarbon (¹⁴C) dates as data, we use the date combination process to refine site-specific summed probability distributions for 555 dates from Caddo sites (n = 19) in East Texas with 10 or more ¹⁴C dates. Summed probability distributions are then contrasted across river basins and natural regions with the remainder of the East Texas Caddo Radiocarbon Database (n = 338 dates from 132 other Caddo sites), highlighting the temporal and spatial character of Caddo archaeological sites throughout East Texas.

Consilience: Radiocarbon, Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis, And Litigation In The Ancestral Caddo Region, Robert Z. Selden Jr.

CRHR: Archaeology

Through the creation and analysis of databases for radiocarbon, instrumental neutron activation analysis (INAA), and law, macro-level trends are exposed that form the framework of a broader research program aimed at advancing ideas of craft specialization and archaeological theory in the ancestral Caddo region of Southwest Arkansas, Northwest Louisiana, Northeast Texas, and Southeast Oklahoma. The findings of this investigation illustrate the research potential that remains buried within the context of cultural resource management (CRM) reports and legal databases (Westlaw and LexisNexis) that is awaiting consumption within regional research designs aimed at exploring the nuances and trends that appear through synthetic …

Initiation And Continuation Of Randomized Trials After The Publication Of A Trial Stopped Early For Benefit Asking The Same Study Question: Stopit-3 Study Design, Gabriela J. Prutsky, Juan Domecq, Patricia J. Erwin, Matthias Briel, Victor M. Montori, Elie A. Akl, Joerg J. Meerpohl, Dirk Bassler, Stefan Schandelmaier, Stephen D. Walter, Qi Zhou, Pablo Coello, Lorenzo Moja, Martin Walter, Kristian Thorlund, Paul Glasziou, Regina Kunz, Ignacio Ferreira-Gonzalez, Jason Busse, Xin Sun, Annette Kristiansen, Benjamin Kasenda, Osama Qasim-Agha, Gennaro Pagano, Hector Pardo-Hernandez, Gerard Urrutia, Mohammad Murad, Gordon Guyatt

Wayne State University Associated BioMed Central Scholarship

Abstract

Background

Randomized control trials (RCTs) stopped early for benefit (truncated RCTs) are increasingly common and, on average, overestimate the relative magnitude of benefit by approximately 30%. Investigators stop trials early when they consider it is no longer ethical to enroll patients in a control group. The goal of this systematic review is to determine how investigators of ongoing or planned RCTs respond to the publication of a truncated RCT addressing a similar question.

Methods/design

We will conduct systematic reviews to update the searches of 210 truncated RCTs to identify similar trials ongoing at the time of publication, or started …

Interactions Between Serotypes Of Dengue Highlight Epidemiological Impact Of Cross-Immunity, Nicholas Reich, Sourya Shrestha, Aaron King, Pejman Rohani, Justin Lessler, Siripen Kalayanarooj, In-Kyu Yoon, Robert Gibbons, Donald Burke, Derek Cummings

Nicholas G Reich

Dengue, a mosquito-borne virus of humans, infects over 50 million people annually. Infection with any of the four dengue serotypes induces protective immunity to that serotype, but does not confer long-term protection against infection by other serotypes. The immunological interactions between sero- types are of central importance in understanding epidemiological dynamics and anticipating the impact of dengue vaccines. We analysed a 38-year time series with 12 197 serotyped dengue infections from a hospital in Bangkok, Thailand. Using novel mechanistic models to represent different hypothesized immune interactions between serotypes, we found strong evidence that infec- tion with dengue provides substantial short-term …

Some Exponential Ratio-Product Type Estimators Using Information On Auxiliary Attributes Under Second Order Approximation, Prayas Sharma, Rajesh Singh, Hemant Kumar Verma, Amir Sanaullah

PRAYAS SHARMA

No abstract provided.

Study Of Some Improved Ratio Type Estimators Using Information On Auxiliary Attributes Under Second Order Approximation, Prayas Sharma, Rajesh Singh, Jong-Min Kim

PRAYAS SHARMA

No abstract provided.