Urban Studies and Planning Commons^™

Estimates Of Broad Age Groups By County 2017, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Estimates of Population Age Groups (under 18, 18-64, 65 and over) for Oregon and Its Counties, July 1, 2017.

Certified Population Estimates, July 2017, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

Certified Population Estimates for Oregon and Its Counties. This item also contains estimates for Incorporated Cities/Towns.

Oregon Trail School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts, 2018-19 To 2027-28, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon Trail School District (OTSD) for the 10-year period between 2018-19 and 2027-28. Each enrollment forecast scenario relates to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 10-year period.

Newberg School District Enrollment Forecasts 2018-19 To 2027-28, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Newberg School District (NSD) for the 10-year period between 2018-19 and 2027-28. Each enrollment forecast scenario relates to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 10-year period.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2017-18 To 2031-32: Based On October 2016 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2017‐18 to 2031‐32. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast.

Coordinated Population Forecast For Tillamook County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Tillamook County’s total population has grown slowly since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of less than one-half percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. Nehalem, Manzanita, and Bay City posted average annual growth rates greater than one percent at 2.5, 1.5, and 1.2 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period.

Tillamook County’s positive population …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Columbia County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Columbia County’s total population has grown modestly since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of above one percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. The most populous UGB, St. Helens, along with the second most populous, Scappoose, posted the highest average annual growth rates at 2.3 and 2.8 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period. …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Clackamas County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Clackamas County’s total population has grown steadily since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of 1.1 percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of the county’s sub-areas outside of Clackamas County’s Metro boundary experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. Sandy and Molalla posted the highest average annual growth rates at 5.6 and 3.8 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period.

Clackamas County’s positive population …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Lincoln County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience different growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Lincoln County’s total population has grown slowly since 2000, with average annual growth rates of 0.3 percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. Depoe Bay and Siletz posted the highest average annual growth rates at 1.7 and 1.5 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period.

Lincoln County’s positive population growth in the 2000s was the result …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Yamhill County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Yamhill County’s total population grew rapidly during the 2000s, with average annual growth rates above one and a half percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1); however, most of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. With the exception of Amity, Sheridan, and Willamina, all other sub-areas grew at a faster rate than the county.

Yamhill County’s positive population growth in the 2000s was largely the result …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Clatsop County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Clatsop County’s total population has grown slowly since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of less than one half of one percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth. Warrenton, the third most populous UGB, and Gearhart, posted average annual growth rates of 2.0 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively.

Clatsop County’s positive population growth in the 2000s was largely the …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Linn County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience different growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Linn County’s total population has grown steadily since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of 1.2 percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth while others experienced opposite trends during the 2000s. Millersburg and Harrisburg posted the highest average annual growth rates at 7.1 and 2.6 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period. Concurrently, the Linn portions of Gates …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Marion County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Marion County’s total population has grown steadily since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of one percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth while others experienced opposite trends during the 2000s. Donald and Turner posted the highest average annual growth rates at 4.9 and 4.4 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period. Concurrently, the Marion portions of Idanha …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Polk County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of Polk County experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Polk County’s total population has grown moderately since 2000, with an average annual growth rate just below two percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1). However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth. The Polk County portion of Salem-Keizer, the most populous UGB, posted an annual average growth rate of 2.8 percent, while both Independence and Monmouth saw average annual growth rates above those of the county, at …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Washington County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience differing growth patterns. Local trends within the UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Washington County’s total population has grown strongly during the 2000s, with an average annual growth rate of 1.8 percent between 2000 and 2010. However, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. North Plains, the most populous UGB in Washington County outside of the Metro boundary, and Banks, posted the highest average annual growth rates at 2.0 and 3.0 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 …

Coordinated Population Forecast For Benton County, Its Urban Growth Boundaries (Ugb), And Area Outside Ugbs 2017-2067, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Jason R. Jurjevich, Nicholas Chun, Kevin Rancik, Risa Proehl, Julia Michel, Matt Harada, Charles Rynerson, Randy Morris

Oregon Population Forecast Program

Different parts of the county experience different growth patterns. Local trends within UGBs and the area outside them collectively influence population growth rates for the county as a whole.

Benton County’s total population has grown slowly since 2000, with an average annual growth rate of less than one percent between 2000 and 2010 (Figure 1); however, some of its sub-areas experienced more rapid population growth during the 2000s. The Benton County portion of Albany and Adair Village posted the highest average annual growth rates at 2.4 and 4.7 percent, respectively, during the 2000 to 2010 period while all other sub-areas …

Silver Falls School District Enrollment Forecast 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents a series of three scenarios of district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Silver Falls School District (SFSD) for the 10-year period between 2017-18 and 2026-27. Each enrollment forecast scenario relates to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series scenario are also presented for the 10-year period.

2016 Annual Population Report Tables (April 15, 2017), Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa Proehl

Oregon Population Estimates and Reports

The population data in the 2016 annual report tables were compiled by the Population Research Center, Portland State University, 4/18/2017.

The tables in the tabs in this workbook hold the 2016 population estimates produced by the Population Research Center, Portland State University. The July 1 estimates of total population for counties and cities and towns were certified December 15, 2016.

Some tables include the U.S. Census Bureau's decennial Census counts and historical population estimates produced by our Center, and other tables include calculations of change since Census 2010. Also included are population estimates for broad age groups and 5-year age …

Two Forecasting Models For Portland, Oregon: Hamilton –Perry Vs Metroscope, Richard Lycan

Institute on Aging Publications

Presentation focuses on population forecasting models and compares the Metroscope Forecasting Model and the Hamilton-Perry Model.

North Clackamas School District Population And Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the North Clackamas School District (NCSD) in recent years and forecasts of district-wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017-18 to 2026-27 school years.

Mcminnville School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the McMinnville School District (MSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and forecasts of district‐wide enrollments for a ten year period from 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 and of individual schools for a five year period from 2017‐18 to 2021‐22.

Oregon City School District Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Oregon City School District (OCSD) for the 10 year period between 2017‐18 and 2026‐27. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle range scenario are also presented for the 10 year period.

Ashland School District: Population And Enrollment Forecasts 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Scott Stewart, Nicholas Chun

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents two district-wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Ashland School District (ASD) for the 10-year period between 2017-18 and 2026-27. The forecasts are based upon two different sets of assumptions. The HIGH SERIES forecast assumes that ASD’s open enrollment policy continues similar to recent years. The LOW SERIES forecast assumes no new open enrollment for the District after 2016-17, and that non-resident enrollment reverts to levels observed before 2012-13. Individual school forecasts consistent with the HIGH SERIES are also presented for the 10-year period.

Tigard-Tualatin School District Enrollment Forecast Update 2017-18 To 2026-27, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the Tigard‐Tualatin School District (TTSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on TTSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2017‐18 to 2026‐27 school years.