Urban Studies and Planning Commons^™

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2022-23 To 2036-37, Based On October 2021 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall, for students residing in each of its high school clusters (HSCLs), for students residing in each school attendance area, and for students enrolled at each school. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for HSCLs, attendance areas, and for individual schools are consistent with the …

Centennial School District Enrollment Forecasts 2021-22 To 2030-31, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Christina Wei

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

In August 2021 the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) prepared high, middle, and low scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the Centennial School District (CSD) for the 10‐year period between 2021‐22 and 2030‐31. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. To facilitate the boundary review process, PRC also provided forecasts of CSD students residing within each existing elementary attendance area, consistent with the middle series, to CSD …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2021-22 To 2035-36, Based On October 2019 And October 2020 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Mac Cunningham

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, and annual enrollment forecasts for the District overall, for students residing in each of its high school clusters (HSCLs), for students residing in each school attendance area, and for students enrolled at each school. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for HSCLs, attendance areas, and for individual schools are consistent with the …

David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2021-22 To 2040-41, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Mac Cunningham

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents a range of three scenarios of district‐wide enrollment forecasts by grade level for the David Douglas School District (DDSD) for the 21 year period between 2019‐20 and 2040‐41. Each enrollment forecast scenario is related to population forecasts that incorporate different assumptions about growth within the District, with the primary differences being the contribution of net migration to the District’s population and age distribution. Individual school forecasts consistent with the middle series are also presented for the 21 year period.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast 2020-2021 To 2034-35, Based On October 2019 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Joshua Ollinger

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing, and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15‐year horizon, from 2020‐21 to 2034‐35. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the middle district‐wide forecast.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2019-20 To 2033-34: Based On October 2018 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Joshua Ollinger, Jason Jurjevich

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2019‐20 to 2033‐34. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the middle district‐wide forecast.

David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2019-20 To 2038-39, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Joshua Ollinger

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the David Douglas School District (DDSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on DDSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2019‐20 to 2038‐39 school years.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2018-19 To 2032-33: Based On October 2017 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Joshua Ollinger

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2018‐19 to 2032‐33. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, middle, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the middle district‐wide forecast.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2017-18 To 2031-32: Based On October 2016 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Xi Yang

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2017‐18 to 2031‐32. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2016-17 To 2030-31: Based On October 2015 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Nicholas Chun

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2016‐17 to 2030‐31. Enrollment forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast.

Centennial School District Enrollment Forecast Report 2015-16 To 2029-30, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Kevin Christopher Rancik, Ryan Dann

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents Centennial School District (CSD) district‐wide school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2029‐30 school years, and a brief discussion of the methodology and assumptions.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2014-15 To 2028-29, Based On October 2013 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for Portland Public Schools (PPS). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the number of PPS students by housing type, and annual forecasts of enrollment for a 15 year horizon, from 2014‐15 to 2028‐29. Enrollment Forecasts were prepared under high, medium, and low scenarios for the District. Forecasts for attendance areas by place of residence and for individual schools are consistent with the medium district‐wide forecast.

David Douglas School District Enrollment Forecasts 2014-15 To 2033-34, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Kevin Christopher Rancik, Ryan Dann

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report presents the results of a demographic study conducted by the Portland State University Population Research Center (PRC) for the David Douglas School District (DDSD). The study includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, estimates of the impacts of housing development on DDSD enrollment, and forecasts of district‐wide and individual school enrollments for the 2014‐15 to 2033‐34 school years.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2012-13 To 2025-26, Based On October 2011 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Ryan Dann, Jason R. Jurjevich

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 46,206 K‐12 students in Fall 2011, an increase of 465 students (1.0 percent) from Fall 2010. This was the third consecutive year of K‐12 growth, a reversal from the 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses between 1997 and 2008. For the three year period since 2008‐09, the District has grown by 1,182 K‐12 students (2.6 percent). This report includes analysis of population, housing and enrollment trends affecting the District in recent years, forecasts of district‐wide enrollment, and Enrollment Forecasts by area of residence (high school clusters, school attendance areas) and by individual school …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2011-12 To 2025-26, Based On October 2010 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, David West

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

In Fall 2011, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 46,206 students in grades K-12, an increase of 465 students from Fall 2010. This is the third consecutive year of enrollment growth, following 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses that occurred between 1996- 97 and 2008-09. For the three year period since 2008-09, PPS K-12 enrollment has grown by 1,182 students, or 2.6 percent. In seven of the past eight years, actual K-12 enrollment in the first year of the forecast has been within 300 students of the medium scenario characterized as the “most likely” Enrollment Forecast in reports similar to this …

Who’S Home? – A Look At Households And Housing In Oregon, Risa S. Proehl

Publications, Reports and Presentations

Where we live and who we live with have a huge influence on our everyday lives. Do we live alone or share a home with family or friends? Do we own or rent? How affordable is our housing when compared to our income and how is the value of our house changing? All of these issues shape how we live our lives.

Similarly, housing and households influence the character of neighborhoods and communities. The share of households with children and seniors, the share of households that rent or own, the size of households, and the cost and supply of housing …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2010-11 To 2020-21, Based On October 2009 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,592 K-12 students in Fall 2009, an increase of 568 students (1.3 percent) from Fall 2008. This growth breaks the string of 12 consecutive years of enrollment losses and represents the District’s biggest growth since 1992. Growth was concentrated at the elementary level (K-5th grade), which added 577 students (2.6 percent). District-wide secondary levels experienced relatively stable enrollments, with a loss of 55 students (0.6 percent) in middle school grades (6th-8th), and growth of 46 students (0.4 percent) in high school grades (9th-12th). The medium growth scenario forecast prepared last year, based on …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2009-10 To 2020-21, Based On October 2008 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Danan Gu, Richard Lycan, Kenneth Radin

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring and Summer 2009, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2008 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after preliminary Fall 2009 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2009 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within subareas such as high school clusters. All 2009-10 enrollment figures are preliminary figures as of October 1, tabulated by the District …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2008-09, Based On October 2007 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Vivian Siu, Risa Proehl, Richard Lycan, George C. Hough Jr.

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Enrollment Forecasts in this report were prepared in Spring 2008, based on historic enrollment data from Fall 2007 and previous years. However, the entire report was not ready for publication until after the Fall 2008 enrollment data became available. This preface briefly addresses the district-wide trends observed in Fall 2008 and evaluates the forecasts in the short term. The next report will include more analysis of enrollment trends with respect to area demographics and trends within sub-areas such as high school clusters. In Fall 2008, Portland Public Schools (PPS) enrolled 45,024 students in grades K-12, only 59 fewer students …

Indicators Of The Metroscape: Home Sales, Elizabeth Mylott

Metroscape

Is there a market crisis in real estate? Across the country communities are concerned about the effects of the sub-prime mortgage crisis. At first analysts thought Portland might escape unscathed, but now they are not so sure. The full impact of the mortgage crisis probably won’t be known for years. A look at indicators for the five Oregon counties in the metroscape gives us a picture of the current state of Portland’s residential real estate market and how news of the crisis might have made some buyers nervous.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecasts, 2007-08, Based On October 2006 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Charles Rynerson, Risa Proehl, Vivian Siu, Richard Lycan, George C. Hough Jr.

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Portland Public School District (PPS) enrolled 45,446 K-12 students in Fall 2006, a decrease of 676 students (1.5 percent) from Fall 2005. This was the second consecutive year that PPS lost about 700 students, following three years of much steeper losses averaging over 1,500 annually between 2001-02 and 2004-05. Enrollment has fallen in each of the past 10 years, and the 2006-07 K-12 enrollment was 17 percent below its 1996-97 peak of 54,697. About half of the 10 year decline occurred during the 2001-02 to 2004-05 period, when the recession slowed regional employment growth but housing prices continued to …

Centennial School District: Enrollment Forecast, 2004 To 2015, Portland State University. Population Research Center, George C. Hough Jr.

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center at Portland State University was asked by Centennial School District to provide Enrollment Forecasts for the District by grade level for the years 2004 to 2015. This report presents Enrollment Forecasts for the school district, as well as background information on the District, and the methods used for the forecast.

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2006-2015, Based On October 2005 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Vicky Buelow, Kenneth Radin, George C. Hough Jr., Charles Rynerson

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 7 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2005 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2005 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual …

Dreamscape: The Face Of Regional Housing, Alton Straub

Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies Publications

Few things are more central to the “American Dream” than owning your own home. Home ownership provides privacy and security. It binds us to our neighbors and communities, defi nes our consumption habits, and allows us to express our individuality. In the last few years, however, our homes have become “cash cow” investments that, for some people, substitute for retirement plans and college savings. The saga of American homeownership plays out across a complex landscape throughout the US and the Portland metropolitan region. It’s fi lled with many issues: housing supply, neighborhood amenities, population demographics, transportation networks, personal income levels, …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2005-2015, Based On October 2004 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Richard Lycan

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The Population Research Center has prepared district-wide and individual school Enrollment Forecasts for the Portland Public Schools (PPS) for the past 6 years. This year’s forecast relies on October 2004 PPS enrollment figures. It considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2004 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. The forecasts do not take into account local factors such as changing school programs or future school reorganizations that may have a significant effect on an individual …

Portland Public Schools Enrollment Forecast, 2004-2015, Based On October 2003 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Risa S. Proehl, Sonoko Endo, Chen Chen, Richard Lycan

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This is the fourth annual report prepared by the Population Research Center (PRC) forecasting future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools (PPS). Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, 2001, and 2002 enrollments; this report considers October 2003 PPS enrollments. This report provides a district-wide Enrollment Forecast, Enrollment Forecasts for individual schools, and demographic information for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the October 2003 and 2015, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the …

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2002-2010, Based On October 2002 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa S. Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999, 2000, and 2001 enrollments; this report relies on October 2002 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this …

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2001-2010, Based On October 2001 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the third annual report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. Previous annual reports were based on October 1999 and October 2000 enrollments; this report relies on October 2001 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this …

The Path Ahead: Future Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, 2000-2010, Based On October 2000 Enrollments, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston, Richard Lycan, Risa Proehl

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

This report provides a school Enrollment Forecast, including demographic information, for Portland Public Schools. The report considers several factors that are likely to affect the school district's enrollments between the present and 2010, including the future number of births, net migrants, and the proportion of school-age children and youth enrolled in the public schools. This is the second report that forecasts future enrollments for the Portland Public Schools. The first report (dated July 2000) was based on October 1999 enrollments; this report relies on October 2000 enrollments. To take into account a variety of demographic and enrollment possibilities, this report …

Changing Times, Changing Enrollments: How Recent Demographic Trends Are Affecting Enrollments In Portland Public Schools, Portland State University. Population Research Center, Barry Edmonston

School District Enrollment Forecast Reports

The purpose of this report is to provide an analysis of the demographic factors affecting recent enrollment changes in Portland Public Schools. Toward this goal, the report discusses how trends in births, migration, and international migration have affected public school enrollments in Portland. This report reaches four main conclusions: * First and foremost, public school enrollments have declined in recent years primarily because there have been sizeable decreases in the number of students entering kindergarten and the early elementary school grades. Smaller numbers of entering students are, in turn, the result of substantial reductions in the number of births--reductions that …