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Full-Text Articles in Psychology
Hindsight Bias In The 2012 United States Presidential Election, Judith Gilbert
Hindsight Bias In The 2012 United States Presidential Election, Judith Gilbert
Modern Psychological Studies
Hindsight bias refers to the tendency for people to increase their confidence in a prediction after they've learned the outcome of an event; this is also known as the knew-it-all-along effect. The present study explored hindsight bias in the context of the 2012 United States presidential election. Participants were asked to predict various election outcomes one week before the election and then were asked to reconstruct those predictions one week after the outcome was known. The study showed strong evidence of hindsight bias and this bias did not depend on political affiliation, gender, or prior knowledge.
A Behavior Based Approach To Improving Safety In A Manufacturing Facility, Laura G. Kreager
A Behavior Based Approach To Improving Safety In A Manufacturing Facility, Laura G. Kreager
Modern Psychological Studies
Behavior-based safety has flourished in organizations committed to changing and improving their safety programs. Through the programs, organizations are focusing their attention on the individual behaviors of employees to decrease the number of accidents occurring within the organization; thus, improving the safety record. The current study analyzes the effect of a behaviorally based safety intervention, comprised of four components, on the number of accidents occurring at a local manufacturing facility over a time span of 18 months. Based on a timeseries analysis, using an ARIMA model, results indicated a statistically significantly reduction in the number of accidents by 75.6% (p < .05) after the implementation of the intervention.