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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons™
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Criminology and Criminal Justice
Automobile theft – Forecasting; Automobile theft—Prevention; Crime prevention
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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Risk Auto Theft: Predicting Spatial Distributions Of Crime Events, Tana J. Gurule, Tamara D. Madensen
Risk Auto Theft: Predicting Spatial Distributions Of Crime Events, Tana J. Gurule, Tamara D. Madensen
Graduate Research Symposium (GCUA) (2010 - 2017)
Police typically rely on retrospective hotspot maps to informe prevention strategies aimed at reducing future crime. The current study reviews environmental crime theories that help to identify casual factors associated with rish of auto theft. Map layers are created from data that operationalize these risk factors. These layers are combined using spatial analysis techniques to produce a "risk density" map. Analysis of crime data are used to determing wheter our "risk density" map better predicts subsequetnt theft events than a traditional retrospective hotspot map.