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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
2015 And The Rise Of China: Power Cycle Analysis And The Implications For Australia, Dylan Kissane
2015 And The Rise Of China: Power Cycle Analysis And The Implications For Australia, Dylan Kissane
Dylan Kissane
Research undertaken at the University of South Australia has produced a reformulated power cycle theory which balances both military and economic capabilities of actors, producing a graphical representation of the relative distribution of power. For the period between 2000 and 2030, this model suggests that China will continue to rise in power at the expense of the United States, achieving power parity in 2014 and overtaking the sole remaining superpower in 2015. This article introduces the power cycle method, extrapolates forecasts from collected sampling and suggests implications for Australia of an international environment where its principal ally is no longer …
Curves, Conflict And Critical Points: Rethinking Power Cycle Theory For The 21st Century, Dylan Kissane
Curves, Conflict And Critical Points: Rethinking Power Cycle Theory For The 21st Century, Dylan Kissane
Dylan Kissane
Power cycle theory, arising primarily from the work of Charles F. Doran, determines a sovereign state’s relative share of total power within a wider system of like states. Using unweighted measures of national material capabilities across five indicators, the power cycle method allows the analyst to estimate the relative hierarchical position of each state in a defined system or set of states, the rapidity of each state’s rise and decline in relative power and to forecast the likely future for each state in the system under review. The mapped ‘curve of relative power’ for a state also allows the analyst …
Curves, Conflict And Critical Points: Reformulating Power Cycle Theory For The 21st Century, Dylan Kissane
Curves, Conflict And Critical Points: Reformulating Power Cycle Theory For The 21st Century, Dylan Kissane
Dylan Kissane
This thesis provides a reformulated power cycle methodology to enhance the utility of power cycle analysis in the twenty-first century, while also pointing to future research which might develop the reformulated model further, particularly in measuring soft power.