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Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

2019

Uncertainty

Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

Articles 1 - 3 of 3

Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Gcps Adaptive Scheduling Model Based On Cooperative Executor, Zhang Jing, Chen Yao, Sun Jun, Hongbo Fan Dec 2019

Gcps Adaptive Scheduling Model Based On Cooperative Executor, Zhang Jing, Chen Yao, Sun Jun, Hongbo Fan

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Aiming at the problem that the uncertainty of grid cyber physical systems leads to chain failure, an adaptive GCPS dispatching model based on co-actuator is established. First, the constraint conditions of the system are analyzed. A model constraints of GCPS system is presented to describe the constraint conditions of the power system, and it is proved that it meets the consistency of the measure and representing methods. Second, the optimal value of approximation error is solved by PILOT, and the framework of CA-SADM is described. Finally, the performance index, output power accuracy and the influence of fault on the …


Uncertainty And Error In Combat Modeling, Simulation, And Analysis, Jason A. Blake Dec 2019

Uncertainty And Error In Combat Modeling, Simulation, And Analysis, Jason A. Blake

Theses and Dissertations

Due to the infrequent and competitive nature of combat, several challenges present themselves when developing a predictive simulation. First, there is limited data with which to validate such analysis tools. Secondly, there are many aspects of combat modeling that are highly uncertain and not knowable. This research develops a comprehensive set of techniques for the treatment of uncertainty and error in combat modeling and simulation analysis. First, Evidence Theory is demonstrated as a framework for representing epistemic uncertainty in combat modeling output. Next, a novel method for sensitivity analysis of uncertainty in Evidence Theory is developed. This sensitivity analysis method …


Method Of Power System Energy Storage Configuration Based On Flexibility Promotion, Weiqing Sun, Li Zhen, Yiming Tan, Fenglei Lü, Wenping Qiu, Hongzhong Li Jan 2019

Method Of Power System Energy Storage Configuration Based On Flexibility Promotion, Weiqing Sun, Li Zhen, Yiming Tan, Fenglei Lü, Wenping Qiu, Hongzhong Li

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To solve the problem of renewable energy access and aiming at system’s response capability to short-term uncertainty, power system flexibility and its evaluation index are defined. A method of energy storage configuration based on flexibility evaluation is proposed. The uncertainty from power supply is analyzed. Aiming at the uncertainty of renewable energy, a source flexibility evaluation index is defined. The principle and method of energy storage configuration are presented from the aspect of siting and sizing. The energy storage configuration model is created and solved considering both the system flexibility requirements and energy storage costs based on the …