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Time Series Analysis: Forecasting Treasury Bill Interest Rates, Nadine P. Innes May 2019

Time Series Analysis: Forecasting Treasury Bill Interest Rates, Nadine P. Innes

Honors College Theses

A Treasury Bill is a short-term investment typically with a maturity date of 12 months or less that is backed by the Treasury Department of the United States government. Rates of return for Treasury Bills are constantly changing over time due to the constant change of demand from borrowers and supply from lenders. This study seeks to forecast treasury bill rates that mature in 3 months. Since actuaries employ their knowledge of mathematics and statistical methods to analyze the likelihood of future events and their possible financial repercussions, having a projection of future treasury bill rates can provide guidance to ...


The Effect Of A Risk-Based Deposit Insurance Program In Korea, Youngil Oh Jan 2016

The Effect Of A Risk-Based Deposit Insurance Program In Korea, Youngil Oh

MPA/MPP Capstone Projects

Countries introduce a deposit insurance system to prevent bank-run and stabilize the financial market by protecting depositors. However, deposit insurance with a flat-rate system induces the insured banks to take more risky activities, an example of moral hazard. To deal with this problem, the Korea Deposit Insurance Corporation ('KDIC') adopted a Risk-Based Insurance Program ('RBIP ') for the Savings Banks ('SBs') on July 1, 2013, by charging a higher rate for the weak SB s and a lower rate for the healthy SBs. To mitigate the initial drastic impact on the SBs in an economic regression, the KDIC had reduced the ...


The Benefits Of Having A Comprehensive Financial Plan For The Average Consumer, And The Necessary Components Comprised To Make An Effective And Efficient Plan, Nicholas M. Lund Jan 2016

The Benefits Of Having A Comprehensive Financial Plan For The Average Consumer, And The Necessary Components Comprised To Make An Effective And Efficient Plan, Nicholas M. Lund

CMC Senior Theses

Socioeconomic changes in American society over the past few decades, as well as an overwhelming amount of uncertainty and misconceptions, have resulted in a majority of Americans to fall short of their financial goals in the short-term, the mid-term, and the long-term. Without proper preparation and financial planning, it is likely that these Americans, and many more, will be unable to reach these goals as well as retire comfortably. Many Americans are overwhelmed with the immense amount of financial information, tools and resources, and as a consequence are unable to plan their finances efficiently and effectively. Americans need a better ...


Implications Of Off-Farm Income For Farm Income Stabilization Policies, Simon Jette-Nantel Jan 2013

Implications Of Off-Farm Income For Farm Income Stabilization Policies, Simon Jette-Nantel

Theses and Dissertations--Agricultural Economics

This dissertation examines to what extent off-farm diversification may be an appropriate and accessible tool to mitigate the adverse effects from market failures and incompleteness in the crop and farm income insurance market. While the influence of the nonfarm sector has long been recognized as a primary force in shaping farm structure, off-farm income is rarely acknowledge as a risk management tool for operators and households of commercial farms. The dissertation develops a dynamic model that includes capital market imperfections, economies of scale in farm production, and the presence of adjustment costs in labor allocation decisions. The model provides a ...


Essays In Retirement Security, Hungyee Fong May 2011

Essays In Retirement Security, Hungyee Fong

Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations

The first chapter “Investment Patterns in Singapore’s Central Provident Fund System” investigates how plan participants in a national defined contribution system invest their pension accumulations. I find that only a small fraction of participants elects to invest in outside investment products like professionally-managed mutual funds. Simulation results using cost data from over 200 funds demonstrate that the minimum hurdle rate of return a fund must generate is about five percent a year. Accordingly, more policy attention can be devoted to lowering fund commission charges and rationalizing the investment menu offered to participants.

In the second chapter “Longevity Risk Management ...


Managing Catastrophic Risk By Alternative Risk Transfer Instruments, Chieh Ou Yang Aug 2010

Managing Catastrophic Risk By Alternative Risk Transfer Instruments, Chieh Ou Yang

Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations

Chapter 1 analyzes hybrid-trigger CAT bonds, a new CAT bond deal that can reduce basis risk and eliminate moral hazard simultaneously. It is the first research that provides analytical evidence on the condition under which the hybrid trigger has lower basis risk. Simulation results support my analyses. Major findings in this study provide insights to insurers who would proactively manage the basis risk of CAT bonds. Chapter 2 examines whether the parimutuel mechanism can hedge risk-averse people against catastrophic losses. Two optimal stake choice models are constructed. In the first model where the stakes of other players are exogenous, the ...


Executive Incentives And Corporate Decisions: The Risk Management Channel, Jeremy O. Skog Dec 2009

Executive Incentives And Corporate Decisions: The Risk Management Channel, Jeremy O. Skog

Publicly Accessible Penn Dissertations

This paper provides evidence that insurance executives respond to their compensation incentives by adjusting observable risk-management policy variables – the reinsurance purchase decision, type of business conducted, and firm leverage. Executive incentives are modeled by the executive sensitivity of wealth to stock price (Delta) and stock volatility (Vega). Firms respond to increased executive incentives to bear risk by purchasing less reinsurance, but also conducting less business in long-tailed lines – a change which rewards the executive through increased market volatility. The cost of altering executive incentives to effect firm policy is much less than a similar change in firm structural variables.