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International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

2010

Temperature

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Evaluating The Impact Of Climate Change On Global Hpai H5n1 Outbreaks, Zhijie Zhang, Dongmei Chen, Wenbao Liu, Lei Wang Jul 2010

Evaluating The Impact Of Climate Change On Global Hpai H5n1 Outbreaks, Zhijie Zhang, Dongmei Chen, Wenbao Liu, Lei Wang

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses H5N1 have spread throughout Asia, Europe, and Africa in the past decade, raising serious worldwide concerns about a potential new pandemic. Many studies have investigated the spread of the HPAI H5N1 virus and discussed its possible risk factors. However, the climate factor, which can affect the whole process of H5N1 outbreaks, has been greatly ignored. The objective of this preliminary study is to use a GIS-based approach to explore the potential impacts of temperature change on H5N1 outbreaks. We have divided the outbreaks into five epidemic waves. Although the temperature ranges of different epidemic waves …


Modeling Dynamical Temperature Influence On Tick Ixodes Scapularis Population, Xiaotian Wu, Venkata R S K Duvvuri, Jianhong Wu Jul 2010

Modeling Dynamical Temperature Influence On Tick Ixodes Scapularis Population, Xiaotian Wu, Venkata R S K Duvvuri, Jianhong Wu

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Lyme disease has been recognised as one of the emerging vector borne diseases in Canada. Ticks, Ixodes scapularis SAY, play a major role as vectors of Lyme disease causative agent Borrelia burgdorferi. Ticks become infected with Borrelia while feeding on the primary hosts (mice, squirrels, shrews, and other small vertebrates). Deers are primary source of nourishment for each gravid female I. scapularis and are fundamental to the tick establishment without infection. The life cycle of tick, I. scapularis, is very complex and takes nearly two years to reach adult stage from egg. Studies have shown that tick life cycle is …


The Climatic Change Impact In Water Potential Processe On The Albanian Hydrographic River Network, Niko Pano, Alfred Frasheri, Bardhyl Avdyli Jul 2010

The Climatic Change Impact In Water Potential Processe On The Albanian Hydrographic River Network, Niko Pano, Alfred Frasheri, Bardhyl Avdyli

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The general cascade impt of climatic change on the water potential processe in the Albanian hydrographic river network is presented in this paper. Hydrological change impact in the sediment regime of the Albanian river system as an important part of the paper is present. The climatic change impact has been analysed in two principal aspects. Firstly by evaluation of the global water potential of the Albanian river system and secondly, by the influence of the climatic change in the multi-annual variation of this potential in the territory catchment area of this system.The climatic change impact processes in the Albanian hydrographic …


Statistical Picture Of Climate Changes In Central Asia: Temperature, Precipitation, And River Flow, Darya Savitskaya Jul 2010

Statistical Picture Of Climate Changes In Central Asia: Temperature, Precipitation, And River Flow, Darya Savitskaya

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The research presented in this paper is dedicated to the temperature, precipitationand rivers runoff observations in Central Asia. Conclusions about the current situation andthe impact of future climate change in the region based on observations from more than 600meteorological stations during the last hundred years. Special interest was paid to theclimatic changes that occurred in the region during the first seven years of the 21 century.The changes in runoff of major Central Asian rivers, such as Naryn, Karadarya, Zerafshan,Amu Darya and its tributary Vakhsh, since the beginning of the last century were studied.Trends in the climatologic and hydrologic data were …


Evaluating The Impact Of Climate Change On Global Hpai H5n1 Outbreaks, Zhijie Zhang, Dongmei Chen, Wenbao Liu, Lei Wang Jul 2010

Evaluating The Impact Of Climate Change On Global Hpai H5n1 Outbreaks, Zhijie Zhang, Dongmei Chen, Wenbao Liu, Lei Wang

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses H5N1 have spread throughout Asia, Europe, and Africa in the past decade, raising serious worldwide concerns about a potential new pandemic. Many studies have investigated the spread of the HPAI H5N1 virus and discussed its possible risk factors. However, the climate factor, which can affect the whole process of H5N1 outbreaks, has been greatly ignored. The objective of this preliminary study is to use a GIS-based approach to explore the potential impacts of temperature change on H5N1 outbreaks. We have divided the outbreaks into five epidemic waves. Although the temperature ranges of different epidemic waves …


Modeling Dynamical Temperature Influence On Tick Ixodes Scapularis Population, Xiaotian Wu, Venkata R S K Duvvuri, Jianhong Wu Jul 2010

Modeling Dynamical Temperature Influence On Tick Ixodes Scapularis Population, Xiaotian Wu, Venkata R S K Duvvuri, Jianhong Wu

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

Lyme disease has been recognised as one of the emerging vector borne diseases in Canada. Ticks, Ixodes scapularis SAY, play a major role as vectors of Lyme disease causative agent Borrelia burgdorferi. Ticks become infected with Borrelia while feeding on the primary hosts (mice, squirrels, shrews, and other small vertebrates). Deers are primary source of nourishment for each gravid female I. scapularis and are fundamental to the tick establishment without infection. The life cycle of tick, I. scapularis, is very complex and takes nearly two years to reach adult stage from egg. Studies have shown that tick life cycle is …


The Climatic Change Impact In Water Potential Processe On The Albanian Hydrographic River Network, Niko Pano, Alfred Frasheri, Bardhyl Avdyli Jul 2010

The Climatic Change Impact In Water Potential Processe On The Albanian Hydrographic River Network, Niko Pano, Alfred Frasheri, Bardhyl Avdyli

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The general cascade impt of climatic change on the water potential processe in the Albanian hydrographic river network is presented in this paper. Hydrological change impact in the sediment regime of the Albanian river system as an important part of the paper is present. The climatic change impact has been analysed in two principal aspects. Firstly by evaluation of the global water potential of the Albanian river system and secondly, by the influence of the climatic change in the multi-annual variation of this potential in the territory catchment area of this system.The climatic change impact processes in the Albanian hydrographic …


Statistical Picture Of Climate Changes In Central Asia: Temperature, Precipitation, And River Flow, Darya Savitskaya Jul 2010

Statistical Picture Of Climate Changes In Central Asia: Temperature, Precipitation, And River Flow, Darya Savitskaya

International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software

The research presented in this paper is dedicated to the temperature, precipitationand rivers runoff observations in Central Asia. Conclusions about the current situation andthe impact of future climate change in the region based on observations from more than 600meteorological stations during the last hundred years. Special interest was paid to theclimatic changes that occurred in the region during the first seven years of the 21 century.The changes in runoff of major Central Asian rivers, such as Naryn, Karadarya, Zerafshan,Amu Darya and its tributary Vakhsh, since the beginning of the last century were studied.Trends in the climatologic and hydrologic data were …