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Intra-Industry Trade, Multilateral Trade Integration, And Invasive Species Risk, Anh T. Tu, John C. Beghin Dec 2006

Intra-Industry Trade, Multilateral Trade Integration, And Invasive Species Risk, Anh T. Tu, John C. Beghin

CARD Working Papers

We analyze the linkage between protectionism and invasive species (IS) hazard in the context of two-way trade and multilateral trade integration, two major features of real-world agricultural trade. Multilateral integration includes the joint reduction of tariffs and trade costs among trading partners. Multilateral trade integration is more likely to increase damages from IS than predicted by unilateral trade opening under the classic Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson (HOS) framework because domestic production (the base susceptible to damages) is likely to increase with expanding export markets. A country integrating its trade with a partner characterized by relatively higher tariff and trade costs is also more ...


Nontariff Barriers, John C. Beghin Dec 2006

Nontariff Barriers, John C. Beghin

CARD Working Papers

Nontariff barriers (NTBs) refer to the wide range of policy interventions other than border tariffs that affect trade of goods, services, and factors of production. Most taxonomies of NTBs include market-specific trade and domestic policies affecting trade in that market. Extended taxonomies include macro-economic policies affecting trade. NTBs have gained importance as tariff levels have been reduced worldwide. Common measures of NTBs include tariff-equivalents of the NTB policy or policies and count and frequency measures of NTBs. These NTB measures are subsequently used in various trade models, including gravity equations, to assess trade and/or welfare effects of the measured ...


Removal Of U.S. Ethanol Domestic And Trade Distortions: Impact On U.S. And Brazilian Ethanol Markets, Amani E. Elobeid, Simla Tokgoz Oct 2006

Removal Of U.S. Ethanol Domestic And Trade Distortions: Impact On U.S. And Brazilian Ethanol Markets, Amani E. Elobeid, Simla Tokgoz

CARD Working Papers

We analyze the impact of trade liberalization and removal of the federal tax credit in the United States on U.S. and Brazilian ethanol markets using a multi-market international ethanol model calibrated on 2005 market data and policies. The removal of trade distortions induces a 23.2 percent increase in the price of world ethanol on average between 2006 and 2015 relative to the baseline. The U.S. domestic ethanol price decreases by 14.1 percent, which results in a 7.5 percent decline in production and a 3.2 percent increase in consumption. The lower domestic price leads to ...


U.S. Sugar Policy Options And Their Consequences Under Nafta And Doha, David Abler, John C. Beghin, David Blandford, Amani E. Elobeid Jun 2006

U.S. Sugar Policy Options And Their Consequences Under Nafta And Doha, David Abler, John C. Beghin, David Blandford, Amani E. Elobeid

CARD Working Papers

We analyze the potential impact of continuing the existing U.S. sugar program, replacing it with a standard program, and implementing the standard program with multilateral trade liberalization. Under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), duty-free sugar imports from Mexico will undermine the program’s ability to operate on a “no-cost” basis to U.S. taxpayers. As the Mexican beverage industry is likely to expand considerably its highfructose corn syrup use, the sugar thereby displaced will seek a market in the United States. Under these conditions, marketing allotments could not be utilized under current legislation and prices would likely ...


Westernization Of The Asian Diet: The Case Of Rising Wheat Consumption In Indonesia, Jacinto F. Fabiosa Apr 2006

Westernization Of The Asian Diet: The Case Of Rising Wheat Consumption In Indonesia, Jacinto F. Fabiosa

CARD Working Papers

With sustained income growth and fast urbanization, Indonesia will see a major shift in the growth of grain consumption from rice to wheat products. New demand estimates from consumption survey data give a relatively high income elasticity of demand for wheat-based products, in the range of 0.44 to 0.84, with 26% to 34% of this response coming from the impact of income on the probability of consumption for non-consuming households and the remaining impact coming from the response on the level of consumption for households currently consuming wheat products. Urban location of households also contributes an increase of ...