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Adrian E Tschoegl

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Foreign Banks In Bulgaria, 1875-2002, Adrian E. Tschoegl, Kenneth Koford Jan 2005

Foreign Banks In Bulgaria, 1875-2002, Adrian E. Tschoegl, Kenneth Koford

Adrian E Tschoegl

We apply the analogy from biology of ecological succession that follows natural disasters as a conceptual framework for the history of foreign banks in Bulgaria. We argue that the current predominance of foreign banks is unlikely to be permanent, even without government action. The argument should also apply to other countries that have incurred sever financial collapse. In the case of Bulgaria, foreign banks have entered several times—before World War I, after that war, and after the fall of Communism in the early 1990s. The same source countries and even some of the same banks that were present before World …