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Potential Impacts Of Wildfires In The Rio Grande Watershed: Probability Of Occurrence Of Future Fire Events In The Risk Area Of El Rito Watershed, Zakia Afrin
Architecture and Planning ETDs
The main goals of this paper were to improve the understanding of the hydro-geomorphic effects of wildfires in the Rio Grande headwaters and identify the El Rito watershed as a fire prone risk area. To achieve the goals the researcher has conducted an extensive literature review about the impacts of wildfires in the Rio Grande watershed and built a system dynamic (SD) model to project the risk of fire occurrences in the El Rito watershed. The Powersim tool was used to simulate the probability of fire occurrence in the study area from 1970 to 2050 following the logit regression equation …