Digital Commons Network^™

Social Network Analysis On Wisconsin Archival Facebook Community, Jennifer Stevenson

Theses and Dissertations

The purpose of this study was to understand how Wisconsin archives are using Facebook (Wisconson archives Facebook community, WAFC). Few archive studies use quantitative measurements to draw conclusions from social media application use. Quantitative data is needed in order to identify the various ways that social media is being used in an archive. Without the data behind the assumptions, it is impossible to improve service and outreach to the archive users. This study proposed a mixed methods approach to aid in the process, using social network analysis, inferential statistics and thematic analysis. This study measured the effects of implementation of …

Robust Latent Ability Estimation Based On Item Response Information And Model Fit, Hotaka Maeda

Theses and Dissertations

Aberrant testing behaviors may result in inaccurate person trait estimation. To counter its effects, a new robust ability estimation procedure called downweighting of aberrant responses estimation (DARE) is developed. This procedure downweights both uninformative items and model-misfitting response patterns. The purpose of this study is to present DARE and to evaluate its performance against other robust methods, including biweight (Mislevy & Bock, 1982) and biweight-MAP (BMAP; Maeda & Zhang, 2017b). The traditional maximum likelihood (MLE) and maximum a-posteriori (MAP) methods are also included as baseline methods. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted with the design variables being test length, type …

Optimal Warranty Period For Free-Replacement Policy Of Agm Batteries, Jennifer Paola Garantiva Poveda

Theses and Dissertations

The objective of this study is to analyze the suitability of the age-based warranty model and a millage based warranty model for absorbent glass mat batteries (AGM) for the automobile industry. The battery life expectancy can be assessed and described by a combination of different terms such as: state of health (SOH), deep of discharge (DOD), state of energy (SOE) and state of charge (SOC). However, using actual data from the field, the implementation of reliability engineering and statistical modeling we aim to calculate optimal limits for warranty policies that minimize warranty costs. The outcomes of this research will enable …

Development Of Lower Rio Grande River Water Quality Transportation Numerical Model For Bi-National River Management, Jose O. Gonzalez

Theses and Dissertations

Traditionally, water quality modelling has focused on modelling individual water bodies. However, water quality management problems must be analyzed at the larger scale to include influences from various water bodies that are interconnected. This paper provides a study on the hydrologic and quality transportation calculation by developing a hydrodynamic (unsteady state) channel routing model using a water-balanced approach. A one dimension Lagrangian river model was developed and applied to the 210 plus miles for the lower Rio Grande River Basin from the Falcon Dam to the head water of Brownsville that pours onto the Gulf of Mexico. This model can …

Infinite-Dimensional Traits: Estimation Of Mean, Covariance, And Selection Gradient Of Tribolium Castaneum Growth Curves, Ly Viet Hoang

Theses and Dissertations

In evolutionary biology, traits like growth curves, reaction norms or morphological shapes cannot be described by a finite vector of components alone. Instead, continuous functions represent a more useful structure. Such traits are called function-valued or infinite-dimensional traits. Kirkpatrick and Heckmann outlined the first quantitative genetic model for these traits. Beder and Gomulkiewicz extended the theory on the selection gradient and the evolutionary response from finite- to infinite-dimensional traits.

Rigorous methods for the estimation of these quantities were developed throughout the years. In his dissertation, Baur defines estimators for the mean and covariance function, as well as for the selection …

Robust And Computationally Efficient Methods For Fitting Loss Models And Pricing Insurance Risks, Qian Zhao

Theses and Dissertations

Continuous parametric distributions are useful tools for modeling and pricing insurance risks, measuring income inequality in economics, investigating reliability of engineering systems, and in many other areas of application. In this dissertation, we propose and develop a new method for estimation of their parameters—the method of Winsorized moments (MWM)—which is conceptually similar to the method of trimmed moments (MTM) and thus is robust and computationally efficient. Both approaches yield explicit formulas of parameter estimators for location-scale and log-location-scale families, which are commonly used to model claim severity. Large-sample properties of the new estimators are provided and corroborated through simulations. Their …

Associated Hypothesis In Linear Models With Unbalanced Data, Rica Katharina Wedowski

Theses and Dissertations

In a two-way linear model one can test six different hypotheses regarding the effects in this model. Those hypotheses can be ranked from less specific to more specific. Therefore the more specific hypotheses are nested in the less specific ones. To test those nested hypotheses sequential sums of squares are used. Searle sees a problem with these since they test an associated hypothesis that has the same sums of squares but involve the sample sizes. Hypotheses should be generic and not dependent on the data. The proof he uses in his book Linear Models for Unbalanced Data is not easy …

Ethnic Party Bans And Civil Unrest: A Measurement Modeling Approach To Predicting Effects Of Constitutional Engineering, Kelly Gleason

Theses and Dissertations

Political representation through exclusively ethnic parties has long been thought to create, or enforce, social cleavages leading to conflict. To gain support and mobilize ethnic constituents, ethnic party leadership has incentive to exaggerate differences between, or even antagonize, members of other ethnic groups through the process of ethnic outbidding. Classic political theory cautions that the exclusive nature of ethnic parties can also produce a dangerous zero sum game between ethnic groups that cannot be solved by compromise via democratic institutions. Several institutional solutions have been proposed to counter the problem of instability ethnic divisions create for new democracies, encountering varying …

Black-Scholes Model: An Analysis Of The Influence Of Volatility, Cornelia Krome

Theses and Dissertations

In this thesis the influence of volatility in the Black-Scholes model is analyzed. The deduced Black-Scholes formula estimates the price of European options. Contrary to the other parameters of the formula, the future volatility of the underlying asset cannot be observed in the market. The parameter needs to be assumed in order to calculate the option price. An inaccurate assumption may lead to an erroneous volatility. It is studied how a falsely assumed volatility impacts on the option price. Empirical simulations will be carried out to get an impression of possible errors in the computations. Afterwards, those results will be …

Topics In Group Testing With Multiple Infections, Peijie Hou

Theses and Dissertations

Group testing, dating back to the early 1940s, was first proposed to screen for syphilis among US inductees during World War II (Dorfman, 1943). Since then, the benefits of reducing testing costs by employing group testing have been demonstrated in many areas, such as drug discovery, genetics, and infectious disease testing. Traditionally, statistical research in group testing has largely been motivated by applications involving a single infection. With the recent development of multiplex assays that can diagnose multiple infections simultaneously, generalizing the existing group testing literature to incorporate multiple infections is a natural and necessary next step. This dissertation consists …

Bayesian Flexible Modeling Of Interval-Censored Failure Time Data, Sheng-Yang Wang

Theses and Dissertations

Interval-censored data are a special type of survival data, in which the survival time is not accurately observed but known to fall within a specific time interval. Interval censored data commonly arise in real-life epidemiological and medical studies that involve periodic examinations. In this dissertation, several semi-parametric regression models are investigated to provide flexible modeling and robust inference for interval censored data from Bayesian perspectives.

Chapter 1 provides a detailed description about interval-censored data and gives several examples. Existing models and methods for analyzing such interval-censored data are reviewed as well. Chapter 2 develops a unified Bayesian estimation approach under …

Semiparametric Estimation And Inference In Causal Inference And Measurement Error Models, Jianxuan Liu

Theses and Dissertations

This dissertation research has focused on theoretical and practical developments of semiparametric modeling and statistical inference for high dimensional data and measurement error data. In causal inference framework, when evaluating the effectiveness of medical treatments or social intervention policies, the average treatment effect becomes fundamentally important. We focus on propensity score modelling in treatment effect problems and develop new robust tools to overcome the curse of dimensionality. Furthermore, estimating and testing the effect of covariates of interest while accommodating many other covariates is an important problem in many scientific practices, including but not limited to empirical economics, public health and …

Weighted Quantile Sum Regression For Analyzing Correlated Predictors Acting Through A Mediation Pathway On A Biological Outcome, Bhanu M. Evani

Theses and Dissertations

Abstract

Weighted Quantile Sum Regression for Analyzing Correlated Predictors Acting Through a Mediation Pathway on a Biological Outcome

By

Bhanu M. Evani, Ph.D.

A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at Virginia Commonwealth University.

Virginia Commonwealth University, 2017.

Major Director: Robert A. Perera, Asst. Professor, Department of Biostatistics

This work examines mediated effects of a set of correlated predictors using the recently developed Weighted Quantile Sum (WQS) regression method. Traditionally, mediation analysis has been conducted using the multiple regression method, first proposed by Baron and Kenny (1986), which has since …

A Multi-Method Exploration Of The Genetic And Environmental Risks Contributing To Tobacco Use Behaviors In Young Adulthood, Elizabeth K. Do

Theses and Dissertations

Tobacco use remains the leading preventable cause of morbidity and mortality in both the United States and worldwide. Twin and family studies have demonstrated that both genetic and environmental factors are important contributors to tobacco use behaviors. Understanding how genes, the environment, and their interactions is critical to the development of public health interventions that focus on the reduction of tobacco related morbidity and mortality. However, few studies have examined the transition from adolescent to young adulthood – the time when many individuals are experimenting with and developing patterns of tobacco use. This dissertation thesis seeks to provide a comprehensive …

Comparing The Structural Components Variance Estimator And U-Statistics Variance Estimator When Assessing The Difference Between Correlated Aucs With Finite Samples, Anna L. Bosse

Theses and Dissertations

Introduction: The structural components variance estimator proposed by DeLong et al. (1988) is a popular approach used when comparing two correlated AUCs. However, this variance estimator is biased and could be problematic with small sample sizes.

Methods: A U-statistics based variance estimator approach is presented and compared with the structural components variance estimator through a large-scale simulation study under different finite-sample size configurations.

Results: The U-statistics variance estimator was unbiased for the true variance of the difference between correlated AUCs regardless of the sample size and had lower RMSE than the structural components variance estimator, providing better type 1 error …

Evaluation Of Goodness-Of-Fit Tests For The Cox Proportional Hazards Model With Time-Varying Covariates, Shanshan Hong

Theses and Dissertations

The proportional hazards (PH) model, proposed by Cox (1972), is one of the most popular survival models for analyzing time-to-event data. To use the PH model properly, one must examine whether the data satisfy the PH assumption. An alternative model should be suggested if the PH assumption is invalid. The main purpose of this thesis is to examine the performance of five existing methods for assessing the PH assumption. Through extensive simulations, the powers of five different existing methods are compared; these methods include the likelihood ratio test, the Schoenfeld residuals test, the scaled Schoenfeld residuals test, Lin et al. …

Improved Simultaneous Estimation Of Location And System Reliability Via Shrinkage Ideas, Beidi Qiang

Theses and Dissertations

In decision theory, when several parameters need to be estimated simultaneously, many standard estimators can be improved, in terms of a combined loss function. The problem of finding such estimators has been well studied in the literature, but mostly under parametric settings, which is inappropriate for heavy-tailed distributions. In the first part of this dissertation, a robust simultaneous estimator of location is proposed using the shrinkage idea. A nonparametric Bayesian estimator is also discussed as an alternative. The proposed estimators do not assume a specific parametric distribution and they do not require the existence of finite moments. The performance of …

Functional Data Smoothing Methods And Their Applications, Songqiao Huang

Theses and Dissertations

In many subjects such as psychology, geography, physiology or behavioral science, researchers collect and analyze non-traditional data, i.e., data that do not consist of a set of scalar or vector observations, but rather a set of sequential observations measured over a fine grid on a continuous domain, such as time, space, etc. Because the underlying functional structure of the individual datum is of interest, Ramsay and Dalzell (1991) named the collection of topics involving analyzing these functional observations functional data analysis (FDA). Topics in functional data analysis include data smoothing, data registration, regression analysis with functional responses, cluster analysis on …

Nonparametric Inference For Orderings And Associations Between Two Random Variables, Chuan-Fa Tang

Theses and Dissertations

Ordering and dependency are two aspects to describe the relationship between two random variables. In this thesis, we choose two hypothesis testing problems to tackle; i.e., a goodness-of-fit test for uniform stochastic ordering and one for positive quadrant dependence. For the test for uniform stochastic ordering, we propose new nonparametric tests based on ordinal dominance curves. We derive the limiting distributions of test statistics and provide the least favorable configuration to determine critical values. Numerical evidence is presented to support our theoretical results, and we apply our methods to a real data set. An extension for random right-censored data is …

Marginal Structural Cox Model For Survival Data With Treatment-Confounder Feedback, Yanan Zhang

Theses and Dissertations

In an observational longitudinal study, there can be time-varying exposure/treatment and time-varying confounders. When the confounders affect the exposure and prior exposure also has an impact on levels of confounders, there is treatment confounder feedback. To admit estimation of unbiased causal effects, these conditions need to be hold, exchangeability, positivity, consistency. The traditional method of conditioning on potential confounders does not meet these 3 conditions. Therefore, parameter estimates from traditional Cox model are biased casual effect estimates when the treatment confounder feedback exists. The marginal structural Cox model can be used to address this issue. By calculating and including inverse …

Longitudinal And Geographical Modeling Of Circular Data With An Application To Sudden Infant Death Syndrome, Xinyan Cai

Theses and Dissertations

The aim of this thesis is to study seasonality of death in U.S. infants who died from SIDS. We also propose to investigate secular trends and geographical patterns of seasonal patterns of mortality. The application of circular statistics is used to describe the seasonality of the month of death in infants who died from SIDS in 1990, 2000 and 2010. The secular trends of seasonal patterns of SIDS mortality are investigated using a circular linear regression model after adjusting for potential confounders. The geographical variation in seasonal patterns of SIDS mortality is explored from the U.S. map and quantified by …

Statistical Methods For Multivariate And Correlated Data, Xinling Xu

Theses and Dissertations

A commonly encountered data type in real life is count data, especially in selfreported behavioral studies. One issue of the self-reported count data is the inaccuracy. In the first part of the dissertation, we are going to address one specific type of inaccuracy in bivariate count data–heaping. Copula functions are used for the formulation of the bivariate distribution. Using copula functions for solving data inaccuracy problems is still a new area, which we are going to explore in this dissertation.

We also discuss the methods for variable selection when the explanatory variables are highly correlated. In particular, our method is …

The Generalized Monotone Incremental Forward Stagewise Method For Modeling Longitudinal, Clustered, And Overdispersed Count Data: Application Predicting Nuclear Bud And Micronuclei Frequencies, Rebecca Lehman

Theses and Dissertations

With the influx of high-dimensional data there is an immediate need for statistical methods that are able to handle situations when the number of predictors greatly exceeds the number of samples. One such area of growth is in examining how environmental exposures to toxins impact the body long term. The cytokinesis-block micronucleus assay can measure the genotoxic effect of exposure as a count outcome. To investigate potential biomarkers, high-throughput assays that assess gene expression and methylation have been developed. It is of interest to identify biomarkers or molecular features that are associated with elevated micronuclei (MN) or nuclear bud (Nbud) …

Parametric, Nonparametric And Semiparametric Approaches In Profile Monitoring Of Poisson Data, Sepehr Piri

Theses and Dissertations

Profile monitoring is a relatively new approach in quality control best used when the process data follow a profile (or curve). The majority of previous studies in profile monitoring focused on the parametric modeling of either linear or nonlinear profiles under the assumption of the correct model specification. Our work considers those cases where the parametric model for the family of profiles is unknown or, at least uncertain. Consequently, we consider monitoring Poisson profiles via three methods, a nonparametric (NP) method using penalized splines, a nonparametric (NP) method using wavelets and a semi parametric (SP) procedure that combines both parametric …

Tuning Optimization Software Parameters For Mixed Integer Programming Problems, Toni P. Sorrell

Theses and Dissertations

The tuning of optimization software is of key interest to researchers solving mixed integer programming (MIP) problems. The efficiency of the optimization software can be greatly impacted by the solver’s parameter settings and the structure of the MIP. A designed experiment approach is used to fit a statistical model that would suggest settings of the parameters that provided the largest reduction in the primal integral metric. Tuning exemplars of six and 59 factors (parameters) of optimization software, experimentation takes place on three classes of MIPs: survivable fixed telecommunication network design, a formulation of the support vector machine with the ramp …

Adversarial Decision Making In Counterterrorism Applications, Dogucan Mazicioglu

Theses and Dissertations

Our main objective is to improve decision making in counterterrorism applications by implementing expected utility for prescriptive decision making and prospect theory for descriptive modeling. The areas that we aim to improve are behavioral modeling of adversaries with multi objectives in counterterrorism applications and incorporating risk attitudes of decision makers to risk matrices in assessing risk within an adversarial counterterrorism framework. Traditionally, counterterrorism applications have been approached on a single attribute basis. We utilize a multi-attribute prospect theory approach to more realistically model the attacker’s behavior, while using expected utility theory to prescribe the appropriate actions to the defender. We …

Application Of The Fisher Dimer Model To Dna Condensation, John C. Baker Iii

Theses and Dissertations

This paper considers the statistical mechanics occupation of the edge of a single helix of DNA by simple polymers. Using Fisher's exact closed form solution for dimers on a two-dimensional lattice, a one-dimensional lattice is created mathematically that is occupied by dimers, monomers, and holes. The free energy, entropy, average occupation, and total charge on the lattice are found through the usual statistical methods. The results demonstrate the charge inversion required for a DNA helix to undergo DNA condensation.