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How Effects Of Local Labor Demand Shocks Vary With Local Labor Market Conditions, Timothy J. Bartik
How Effects Of Local Labor Demand Shocks Vary With Local Labor Market Conditions, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
This paper estimates how effects of shocks to local labor demand on local labor market outcomes vary with initial local economic conditions. The data are on U.S. metro areas from 1979 to 2011. The paper finds that demand shocks to local job growth have greater effects in reducing local unemployment rates if the local economy is initially depressed than if the local economy is booming. Demand shocks have greater effects on local wage rates if the local unemployment rate is initially low, but lesser effects if local job growth is initially high. These different effects of local demand shocks imply …
Social Costs Of Jobs Lost Due To Environmental Regulations, Timothy J. Bartik
Social Costs Of Jobs Lost Due To Environmental Regulations, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
This paper estimates the social costs of job loss due to environmental regulation. Per job lost, potential social costs of job loss are high, plausibly over $100,000 in present value costs (2012 dollars) per permanently lost job. However, these social costs will typically be far less than the earnings associated with lost jobs, because labor markets and workers adjust, increased leisure has some value, and employers benefit from wage reductions. A plausible range for social costs is 8–32 percent of the associated earnings of the lost jobs. Social costs will be higher for older workers, high-wage jobs, and in high …
What Should Michigan Be Doing To Promote Long-Run Economic Development?, Timothy J. Bartik
What Should Michigan Be Doing To Promote Long-Run Economic Development?, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
This paper argues that Michigan can take cost-effective actions to significantly improve the primary state economic development goal: higher per capita income of Michigan's residents. Higher per capita income of Michigan's residents can be achieved through state policy actions that use cost-effective means to either lower the marginal costs of businesses that expand in the state, or boost the skills of state residents. In this paper, I offer eight ideas for how to lower marginal business costs and boost skills. Four of these ideas focus on lowering marginal business costs. Four other ideas focus on boosting skills. For each of …
Adding Labor Demand Incentives To Encourage Employment For The Disadvantaged, Timothy J. Bartik
Adding Labor Demand Incentives To Encourage Employment For The Disadvantaged, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
No abstract provided.
Economic Development And Black Economic Success, Timothy J. Bartik
Economic Development And Black Economic Success, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
No abstract provided.
Question - What Can Be Done To Promote Inner City Development?: Answer - Focus On Labor Demand Policies To Increase Employment Of The Poor, Timothy J. Bartik
Question - What Can Be Done To Promote Inner City Development?: Answer - Focus On Labor Demand Policies To Increase Employment Of The Poor, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
No abstract provided.
Including Jobs In Benefit-Cost Analysis, Timothy J. Bartik
Including Jobs In Benefit-Cost Analysis, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
Public policies may affect employment by directly creating jobs, facilitating job creation, or augmenting labor supply. In labor markets with high unemployment, such employment changes may have significant net efficiency benefits, which should be included in benefit-cost analyses.
The research literature offers diverse recommendations on measuring employment benefits. Many of the recommendations rely on arbitrary assumptions. The resulting employment benefit estimates vary widely.
This paper reviews this literature, and offers recommendations on how to better measure employment benefits using estimable parameters. Guidance is provided on measuring policy-induced labor demand, estimating the demand shock’s impact on labor market outcomes, and translating …
Fighting Poverty With Labor Demand Policies, Timothy J. Bartik
Fighting Poverty With Labor Demand Policies, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
No abstract provided.
Aggregate Effects In Local Labor Markets Of Supply And Demand Shocks, Timothy J. Bartik
Aggregate Effects In Local Labor Markets Of Supply And Demand Shocks, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
Anti-poverty policy in the U.S. has emphasized labor supply policies, such as welfare reform or job training. Anti-poverty policy in the U.S. has not emphasized policies to increase labor demand for the poor, such as public employment or subsidizing private employers to hire the poor. What are the aggregate effects of such policies on wages and unemployment of different groups? This paper estimates and simulates a model with several types of labor, using data from the Current Population Survey on state labor markets. The simulations suggest that forcing more disadvantaged persons into the labor market can displace many other persons …
The Effects Of Local Labor Demand On Individual Labor Market Outcomes For Different Demographic Groups And The Poor, Timothy J. Bartik
The Effects Of Local Labor Demand On Individual Labor Market Outcomes For Different Demographic Groups And The Poor, Timothy J. Bartik
Timothy J. Bartik
The contribution of this paper is to use panel data on individuals (specifically, data from the Panel Survey on Income Dynamics) to examine how local demand conditions affect the economic well-being of disadvantaged groups and the poor. Previous research on local labor demand conditions uses data from a single cross-section of local economies, or a time-series of cross-sections of regions. With such data, estimated effects of local labor demand conditions on average labor market outcomes might be attributable to changes in local population composition, as we would expect local demand conditions to change in- and out-migration patterns. Because panel data …