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Plant Sciences

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Plants, Soils, and Climate Faculty Publications

2018

Climate extremes

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Concurrent Increases In Wet And Dry Extremes Projected In Texas And Combined Effects On Groundwater, Jin-Ho Yoon, S-Y Simon Wang, Min-Hui Lo, Wen-Ying Wu Apr 2018

Concurrent Increases In Wet And Dry Extremes Projected In Texas And Combined Effects On Groundwater, Jin-Ho Yoon, S-Y Simon Wang, Min-Hui Lo, Wen-Ying Wu

Plants, Soils, and Climate Faculty Publications

The US state of Texas has experienced consecutive flooding events since spring 2015 with devastating consequences, yet these happened only a few years after the record drought of 2011. Identifying the effect of climate variability on regional water cycle extremes, such as the predicted occurrence of La Nina in winter 2017–2018 and its association with drought in Texas, remains a challenge. The present analyses use large-ensemble simulations to project the future of water cycle extremes in Texas and assess their connection with the changing El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnection under global warming. Large-ensemble simulations indicate that both intense drought and …