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Physical Sciences and Mathematics

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Air Force Institute of Technology

Theses/Dissertations

2011

Ionosphere

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Verification Of Global Assimilation Of Ionospheric Measurements Gauss Markov (Gaim-Gm) Model Forecast Accuracy, Paul H. Domm Sep 2011

Verification Of Global Assimilation Of Ionospheric Measurements Gauss Markov (Gaim-Gm) Model Forecast Accuracy, Paul H. Domm

Theses and Dissertations

GAIM-GM is an operational Kalman filter data assimilation model of the ionosphere that can assimilate data from GPS total electron content (TEC), ionosonde electron density profiles, and satellite based in situ electron densities. The Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) uses GAIM-GM to specify and forecast the ionosphere. An in depth investigation into the accuracy of these forecasts has not been completed. GAIM-GM output obtained from four cases run from combinations of geomagnetic and solar activity was used to determine GAIM-GM forecast accuracy. Forecast accuracy was determined through the use of a skill score as well as other statistical tools to …


Analysis Of Plasma Bubble Signatures In The Ionosphere, Omar A. Nava Mar 2011

Analysis Of Plasma Bubble Signatures In The Ionosphere, Omar A. Nava

Theses and Dissertations

Plasma bubbles are large scale structures of depleted plasma density in Earth's ionosphere that disrupt radio and satellite communications, to include global navigation satellite systems. This study used the Ionospheric Forecast Model (IFM) to analyze affected look angles and total electron content (TEC) differences due to plasma bubbles of various sizes for 27 geophysical conditions consisting of different seasons and levels of solar and geomagnetic activity at 421 GPS ground stations worldwide. Overall, different geographic locations and plasma bubble configurations produced different affected look angle profiles. Bigger plasma bubbles, larger density depletion factors, higher levels of solar activity and the …


Sensitivity Analysis Of Empirical Parameters In The Ionosphere-Plasmasphere Model, Janelle V. Jenniges Mar 2011

Sensitivity Analysis Of Empirical Parameters In The Ionosphere-Plasmasphere Model, Janelle V. Jenniges

Theses and Dissertations

A sensitivity analysis of empirical parameters used in physics-based models was completed in this study to determine their effect on electron densities and total electron content (TEC) in the ionosphere. The model used was the Ionosphere-Plasmasphere Model (IPM) developed by Utah State University. The empirical parameters studied include the O+/O collision frequency, zonal wind, secondary electron production, nighttime ExB drifts, and tidal structure. The sensitivity analysis was completed by comparing a default run of the IPM to a run with the parameter adjusted for three geophysical cases. Many of the comparisons resulted in nonlinear changes to the model …