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Predicting Impacts Of Chemicals From Organisms To Ecosystem Service Delivery: A Case Study Of Endocrine Disruptor Effects On Trout, Valery E. Forbes, Steve Railsback, Chiara Accolla, Bjorn Birnir, Randall J.F. Bruins, Virginie Ducrot, Nika Galic, Kristina Garber, Bret C. Harvey, Henriette I. Jager, Andrew Kanarek, Robert Pastorok, Richard Rebarber, Pernille Thorbek, Chris J. Salice
Predicting Impacts Of Chemicals From Organisms To Ecosystem Service Delivery: A Case Study Of Endocrine Disruptor Effects On Trout, Valery E. Forbes, Steve Railsback, Chiara Accolla, Bjorn Birnir, Randall J.F. Bruins, Virginie Ducrot, Nika Galic, Kristina Garber, Bret C. Harvey, Henriette I. Jager, Andrew Kanarek, Robert Pastorok, Richard Rebarber, Pernille Thorbek, Chris J. Salice
Department of Mathematics: Faculty Publications
We demonstrate how mechanistic modeling can be used to predict whether and how biological responses to chemicals at (sub)organismal levels in model species (i.e., what we typically measure) translate into impacts on ecosystem service delivery (i.e., what we care about). We consider a hypothetical case study of two species of trout, brown trout (Salmo trutta; BT) and greenback cutthroat trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii stomias; GCT). These hypothetical populations live in a high-altitude river system and are exposed to human-derived estrogen (17α‑ethinyl estradiol, EE2), which is the bioactive estrogen in many contraceptives. We use the individual based model in STREAM …