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Identifying Local Transit Resources For Evacuation, Alaa Shams
Identifying Local Transit Resources For Evacuation, Alaa Shams
LSU Master's Theses
The objective of this thesis is to establish a GIS that can be used to identify local human-services and special-needs transit resources in Louisiana’s 20 coastal parishes. The intention is that the system be used to identify and then call upon local transit services to assist in the evacuation of an area during an emergency. ArcGIS Online was selected as the platform on which to establish the GIS for this purpose. Socio-economic and transit vehicle data were collected from a variety of official sources and loaded on to the ArcGIS Online portal at LSU. The development of the system is …
Dynamic Route Choice In Hurricane Evacuation, Meisam Akbarzadeh
Dynamic Route Choice In Hurricane Evacuation, Meisam Akbarzadeh
LSU Doctoral Dissertations
In this research a framework is developed for modeling route choice in hurricane evacuation. Two behavioral hypotheses are evaluated which together with the route choice model, constitute the contributions of the research. The first hypothesis states that beside congestion, other variables such as familiarity with the route, availability of fuel and shelter, facility class, and length of route have an effect on an evacuees' route choice. The second hypothesis states that as time passes and storm conditions change, the impact each variable has on route choice changes. The logit structure was used for modeling the choice process and stated choice …
Dynamic Trip Distribution Models For Hurricane Evacuation, Guangxiang Cheng
Dynamic Trip Distribution Models For Hurricane Evacuation, Guangxiang Cheng
LSU Doctoral Dissertations
The dissertation presents several methods to estimate time-dependent origin-destination (O-D) trip tables for hurricane evacuation using survey data from hurricane Floyd in South Carolina in 1999. A static disaggregate destination choice model in multinomial logit form was developed considering household characteristics, hurricane threats, and destination socioeconomic and demographic characteristics. Models were developed for persons evacuating to friends or relatives, and hotels or motels separately. None of the household characteristics of evacuees were found to be significant in distinguishing destination choice but destination characteristics were. The model was tested by comparing the observed destination choices with predicted values via trip length …
A Decision Making Framework For Hurricane Evacuation And Sheltering, Jason Fennell
A Decision Making Framework For Hurricane Evacuation And Sheltering, Jason Fennell
LSU Master's Theses
There are few tools currently available to emergency managers to assist in making decisions about whether to evacuate, shelter locally, or shelter-in-place, and none of these tools explicitly consider risk to life safety. A methodology was developed to provide risk-based guidance for evacuation versus sheltering decision making. The hurricane hazards considered in the developed methodology are high winds, storm surge flooding and waves, and rainfall flooding. Vulnerability of buildings to these hazards and the associated risks to life safety are then determined. These results are compared to the hazards and risks associated with evacuation, particularly for medical special needs populations …
Modeling Destination Choice And Measuring The Transferability Of Hurricane Evacuation Patterns, Naveen Kumar Modali
Modeling Destination Choice And Measuring The Transferability Of Hurricane Evacuation Patterns, Naveen Kumar Modali
LSU Master's Theses
In this study a gravity model was used to model destination choice during a hurricane evacuation. Hurricane Floyd data was used to calibrate and apply the gravity model. Two different models were generated for different destination types; home of friends/relative and hotels and motels are the two different destination types for which the models were generated. The performance of the gravity model was tested by comparing the observed and estimated OD matrices using the chi-squared test. The results have indicated that gravity model developed in this study can successfully reproduce the observed trip destinations during a hurricane evacuation The Floyd …
Modeling Destination Choice In Hurricane Evacuation With An Intervening Opportunity Model, Bin Chen
Modeling Destination Choice In Hurricane Evacuation With An Intervening Opportunity Model, Bin Chen
LSU Master's Theses
In this study, a trip distribution model for hurricane evacuation using the intervening opportunity method was developed. Post Hurricane Floyd survey data was used for model calibration and comparison. To model the behavior that people tend to evacuate away from the path of the hurricane, a new concept of equal destination attractiveness was introduced and an extended intervening opportunity model was built on this basis and implemented in TransCAD. The gravity model, intervening opportunity model and its extended version were compared using several statistical measures. This study demonstrates that it is possible to use the intervening opportunity theory to model …
Development Of Trip Generation Models Of Hurricane Evacuation, Bing Mei
Development Of Trip Generation Models Of Hurricane Evacuation, Bing Mei
LSU Master's Theses
In this study, alternative trip generation models for hurricane evacuation movement were developed using logistic regression and neural networks. The southwest Louisiana post-Andrew survey data were used for model estimation, validation, and comparison. The performance of the alternative models was compared with each other as well as against that of an existing evacuation model, the PBS&J model, developed for the same area. The results showed that the models developed in this study displayed similar performance. It was also found that the models developed in this study performed better than the existing PBS&J model in predicting household evacuation trip generation for …
A State-Of-The-Practice Review Of Hurricane Evacuation Plans And Policies, Elba Alicia Urbina
A State-Of-The-Practice Review Of Hurricane Evacuation Plans And Policies, Elba Alicia Urbina
LSU Master's Theses
The events of recent hurricane seasons have made evacuation one of the leading emergency management issues. In 1998 and 1999, Hurricanes Georges and Floyd precipitated the two largest evacuations in U.S. history and perhaps, its two largest traffic jams. In response to the problems experienced during these events, many State Department’s of Transportation (DOT) have begun to take a more active role in the planning, management, and operation of hurricane evacuations. Since the involvement of transportation professionals in the evacuation field has been a fairly recent development; many of the newest practices and policies have only been used once, if …