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Uncertainties In The Projected Patterns Of Wave-Driven Longshore Sediment Transport Along A Non-Straight Coastline, Amin Reza Zarifsanayei, José A. A. Antolínez, Amir Etemad-Shahidi, Nick Cartwright, Darrell Strauss, Gil Lemos
Uncertainties In The Projected Patterns Of Wave-Driven Longshore Sediment Transport Along A Non-Straight Coastline, Amin Reza Zarifsanayei, José A. A. Antolínez, Amir Etemad-Shahidi, Nick Cartwright, Darrell Strauss, Gil Lemos
Research outputs 2022 to 2026
This study quantifies the uncertainties in the projected changes in potential longshore sediment transport (LST) rates along a non-straight coastline. Four main sources of uncertainty, including the choice of emission scenarios, Global Circulation Model-driven offshore wave datasets (GCM-Ws), LST models, and their non-linear interactions were addressed through two ensemble modelling frameworks. The first ensemble consisted of the offshore wave forcing conditions without any bias correction (i.e., wave parameters extracted from eight datasets of GCM-Ws for baseline period 1979–2005, and future period 2081–2100 under two emission scenarios), a hybrid wave transformation method, and eight LST models (i.e., four bulk formulae, four …
Sensitivity Analysis For Justification Of Utilising Special Purpose Machine Tools In The Presence Of Uncertain Parameters, Ana Vafadar, Kevin Hayward, Majid Tolouei-Rad
Sensitivity Analysis For Justification Of Utilising Special Purpose Machine Tools In The Presence Of Uncertain Parameters, Ana Vafadar, Kevin Hayward, Majid Tolouei-Rad
Research outputs 2014 to 2021
Decision-makers in manufacturing area frequently face machine tool selection problem under uncertainty due to competitive market changes. Special purpose machines (SPMs), a relatively new class of reconfigurable machine tools, are used to react quickly to changes. Justification of utilising these machines vs. other machine tools requires a technique to investigate the sources of uncertainties. In this work, sensitivity analysis is utilised to investigate the sources of these uncertainties and errors which may reveal new insights for evaluating a machine tool. An illustrative example is provided to show the sensitivity of parameters on the economic performance of SPMs compared to the …
Evaluation Of The Effect Of Product Demand Uncertainty On Manufacturing System Selection, Ana Vafadar, Majid Tolouei-Rad, Kevin Hayward
Evaluation Of The Effect Of Product Demand Uncertainty On Manufacturing System Selection, Ana Vafadar, Majid Tolouei-Rad, Kevin Hayward
Research outputs 2014 to 2021
The use of advanced manufacturing systems is widespread; however, manufacturers frequently face difficult decisions when it comes to selecting the most appropriate system. Uncertainty regarding product demand makes this process more difficult, as many factors are influencing simultaneously. This paper focuses on analyzing the demand uncertainty on the performance of modular drilling manufacturing systems versus other alternatives and evaluating the uncertainty’s impacts on the final decision. To do so, a model is suggested and the effect of demand uncertainty on the output is investigated. Three automotive components of varying complexity are used to examine the approach for making reliable decisions